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Old 08-08-2016, 07:54 PM  
kane
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Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: portland, OR
Posts: 20,684
Quote:
Originally Posted by crockett View Post
I'm not saying it will happen in 5-10 years, I'm saying once there is a proven system ready to go it will replace drivers over the course of 5 to 10 years.

My thought, is it will start like a train system. Driverless trucks will do the over the road trucking and drop off and pick up at localized shipment yards. Actual drivers will then do the local driving to the final destination.

As far as 5 and 10 year old trucks, I'm talking mostly big fleet trucks but the lowered savings on insurance will squeeze out the little guys.

As insurance premiums go down for driverless trucks they will go up for trucks with drivers as insurance companies have less and less of a pool to cover the losses. The same will happen to normal drivers as well.

It will get too expensive to drive yourself because of the cost of insurance.
I agree. It will be phased in over a number of years. If I were a 40 year old trucker today I wouldn't worry about losing my job to auto-driving trucks, but I think in 20-30 years that map will look a lot different and there will likely not be nearly as many trucking jobs.
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