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I don't know how much insurance premiums will affect the election.
Poor people get massive subsidies or are on Medicaid so they won't see an increase. Many middle class people get their insurance through their jobs so they will see very little if any increase. The people who will see it and will get hurt are either self-employed or they work for very small companies that will pass much of the increase onto them.
I'm not so sure how many of those people were going to vote for her in the first place.
I think the real October surprise is going to be Obama making a big assault on Isis. I think he will declare some kind of action and we will ramp things up. If he strikes and deals a heavy blow against them it could nullify Trump's claim that he will defeat them.
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