Quote:
Originally Posted by C H R I S
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If huuuge loss was predicted his odds would be WAAAAY less than that.
Learn how statistics, probability theory works.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...tion-forecast/ 20% is 1 red ball and 4 blue balls, get blinded and pick one. It would not be a huge surprise to pick red one, so yeah, his chances of winning are damn real.