Quote:
Originally Posted by kane
A record high turnout of Republicans doesn't affect the polling data. They simply ask if you are registered to a party and who you plan to vote for. If the person says they are a registered Democrat and plan to vote for Hillary, you have to take them at their word. Maybe they won't vote for her come election day, but that doesn't mean the poll is wrong because the poll reflects the answers given to the questions asked.
I have said for a while this election may come down to turnout. The independents are clearly not happy with either candidate nor, frankly, are many members of either of the parties. Trump has a fired up core of supporters, and Hillary has a great ground game in place. Whoever can get more of their base to the polls on election day may well win this election.
Still, if you have 10 people and 4 of them are Republicans, 6 of them are Democrats, and 4 are independents you can't ignore one Democrat and go out and find another Republican to make it "fair" because that doesn't reflect the political make-up of the country.
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Republicans had a record high and democrats had a low turnout. So yes it does matter. You can't just use one factor to figure. I would love to see latimes method myself because I honestly think theirs is a bit more of reality as far as polling. Just to cheap to pay for it
I personally believe Trump will win popular and Clinton electoral because some will go against the electorate and it will drag out more than likely past inauguration day. History will be made on this election even more so than it is now. I hope it puts an end to the electoral college myself.
BTW that's 14 people