The methodology of this poll is after an early vote is recorded Target Smart calls the voter & asks who they voted for. This is done all day, daily. So far 3,695,359 people have already cast their votes in Florida.
They are saying that Trump can't win if he does not win Florida.
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In a Last Word exclusive, TargetSmart CEO Tom Bonier shares with Lawrence the results of a new Florida Early and Likely Voter survey, which show Clinton winning a staggering 28% of Republican early voters.
As of the morning of November 1st, 2016, TargetSmart tracks that 3,695,359 people have already cast their votes in Florida. Leveraging TargetSmart?s proprietary voter file ? that is updated daily through the early voting window ? this poll reached a significant number of voters who have already participated. Among those early voters (who were asked which candidate they had voted for), Clinton outpaces Trump by a 17-point margin, 55 to 38 percent.
Reflective of the trends that have been published in other public polls in recent days, the TargetSmart/William & Mary poll shows the contest in Florida is very competitive among those who have yet to cast their ballot. Among those non-early voters (who were asked which candidate they will vote for), Clinton attracts 42 percent of the vote and 43 percent back Donald Trump.
The poll also shows the U.S. Senate race tilting decidedly in Marco Rubio?s direction as Democratic challenger Patrick Murphy trails Rubio 43 to 49 percent. Unlike Clinton, Murphy only breaks even with early voters, having garnered 48 percent of the vote among them to Rubio?s 47 percent. And, among non-early voters, Rubio holds a solid lead with 51 percent of the vote to Murphy?s 39 percent.
TargetSmart â?? CEO Tom Bonier on MSNBC?s ?Last Word with Lawrence O?Donnell?