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Here is something more definitive that I worked out....
Hillary 197
If she wins these...
MN 10
IA 6 (actually leaning Trump right now, but whatever)
WI 10
MI 16
PA 20
ME 4
... she ends up 263
These are leaning Trump right now:
WA 12
UT 6
AZ 11
GA 16
NH 4
So she has to take all of the first group plus one of WA, AZ and GA.
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