Originally Posted by Matt 26z

Here is something more definitive that I worked out....

Hillary 197

If she wins these...
MN 10
IA 6 (actually leaning Trump right now, but whatever)
WI 10
MI 16
PA 20
ME 4
... she ends up 263


These are leaning Trump right now:
WA 12
UT 6
AZ 11
GA 16
NH 4

So she has to take all of the first group plus one of WA, AZ and GA.