GoFuckYourself.com - Adult Webmaster Forum - View Single Post - think dems will get power back in 18 or 20? think again

kane · 12-07-2016, 06:18 PM

At this point, who knows. I think a lot of it will be determined by how Trump does. The Senate map and Republican gerrymandering will make it hard for the democrats to win back the House or Senate, but two years is a long time. If Trump is doing well and things are good, I doubt the Democrats will make much progress. If Trump is doing poorly and things are not good, the Democrats have a chance to potentially regain control.

Historically speaking, the party in power loses seats in the first midterm election because the opposition tends to be pretty energized after a loss and often times the party in power's supporters get a little disinterested. I would expect many of the Millenial voters who opted to not vote for Hillary to turn out and support Democrats, especially if Trump is doing poorly.

Let's not forget, 8 years ago Obama and the Democrats won big. A lot of people looked at that and thought, "We can gerrymander the shit out of things in 2010, we have some Supreme Court nominations that will likely come up allowing us to stack the court, and the Republican party is in shambles and going in 10 different directions. We can run this country for the next 15-20 years." Two years later they lost control of the House. If this election taught us anything it is that you never know for sure what is going to happen.

Let's also not forget, it isn't like the Republicans won a landslide. Trump barely won the election and they actually lost seats in both the House and Senate so it isn't like the country overwhelmingly carried them into power.

12-07-2016, 06:18 PM
kane Too lazy to set a custom title Join Date: Aug 2001 Location: portland, OR Posts: 20,684	At this point, who knows. I think a lot of it will be determined by how Trump does. The Senate map and Republican gerrymandering will make it hard for the democrats to win back the House or Senate, but two years is a long time. If Trump is doing well and things are good, I doubt the Democrats will make much progress. If Trump is doing poorly and things are not good, the Democrats have a chance to potentially regain control. Historically speaking, the party in power loses seats in the first midterm election because the opposition tends to be pretty energized after a loss and often times the party in power's supporters get a little disinterested. I would expect many of the Millenial voters who opted to not vote for Hillary to turn out and support Democrats, especially if Trump is doing poorly. Let's not forget, 8 years ago Obama and the Democrats won big. A lot of people looked at that and thought, "We can gerrymander the shit out of things in 2010, we have some Supreme Court nominations that will likely come up allowing us to stack the court, and the Republican party is in shambles and going in 10 different directions. We can run this country for the next 15-20 years." Two years later they lost control of the House. If this election taught us anything it is that you never know for sure what is going to happen. Let's also not forget, it isn't like the Republicans won a landslide. Trump barely won the election and they actually lost seats in both the House and Senate so it isn't like the country overwhelmingly carried them into power.