Originally Posted by Joshua G

one more thing OP...the best scientists cant forecast the weather 5 days out. nevermind 1 year out, or 100.

the best economists cant forecast the national debt 10 years out. predictions from the 80s & 90s are wayyyy off.

the best pollsters & pundits could not forecast the 2016 election. they totally missed the voters that decided the election.

in 91, when the kuwaiti oil wells burned, the green people said it would be an environmental apocalypse. a couple years of cleaning, all good. & wasnt a polar ice cap supposed to be gone by now?

people who do long range forecasting, are almost always grossly wrong, when forecasting systems with dynamic inputs.