Quote:
Originally Posted by Matt 26z
Only a tiny percentage of cars on the road right now are electric. None are autonomous.
So what's going to happen to all of the traditional cars between now and 10-15 years? What process is going to send them to the junkyard so that electric autonomous can be the majority?
Your 10-15 year outlook shows a gross lack of common sense.
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Cash for clunkers was already a thing to give people incentive to buy newer cars with better mileage & emissions. The process will be as more and more people go electric there will be less and less demand for fuel, which drives up the prices. The cost will be split among a smaller market which will drive the price up. Average people will be priced out of gas cars. (why do you think the Saudis have been dumping as much oil as they can, they aren't dumb, they see what will happen, they are trying to kill electric but haven't been able to do it)
It will be the same story with self driving cars. People who drive themselves will be in a smaller and smaller pool for insurance liability. This means the price for insurance will keep going up until it's not affordable for the average person to insure a car they drive themselves..
Trust me, I love driving my self and I like gas/diesel cars but you can't change progress when it's being driven by the market. It doesn't matter if you believe it's good progress or bad you aren't stopping it. It's very obvious what's going to happen.. The trick will be for the big oil companies to try and figure out a way to keep themselves in charge of it all, that's why they want to push hydrogen because you'd have to fill up at a pumping station vs changing your car at home.
With electric, the oil companies lose control because you can fast charge your car at home , at lowes at the hotel you stay at, at work.. ect..ect.. There will be no need for pumping stations anymore, because regular businesses will set up charging stations.. This is already a fact it's happening all over..
The problem big oil is facing is electric is already ready for mainstream.. It's here now, hydrogen is still too far out to make the move "NOW" and NOW is when shit's changing. They are a bit too late to the game and aren't capable of undermining a guy like Musk who for the most part single handily drove the market to electric.
You should get down on your knees and praise Musk, because by pushing electric like he has done he made other car manufacturers jump on board and in the long run we will finally be free of big oil monopolies and their war agenda for resources.. The world just doesn't realize it yet..