Thread: Oprah 2020
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Old 01-09-2018, 11:00 AM  
ilnjscb
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Very simple - No white candidate will win against a credible black candidate in democratic primaries.



When a black candidate is running, black turnout in primaries increases. Black voters made up 25 percent of the Democratic primary electorate in 2016 without a black candidate.

More importantly, they make up a large part of several early southern state voters. Clinton lost whites to Bernie Sanders 48% - 50%, but won black voters by 77% to 22%. She also won the primary.

Any black credible candidate will win blacks by more than 77%, as Obama did. No white candidate will ever win against a credible black candidate again. If Oprah runs, her real competition will be Harris, Booker, or Patrick. I can imagine those candidates will step aside and wait for a VP nod.
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