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Old 06-21-2018, 02:43 PM  
kane
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Join Date: Aug 2001
Location: portland, OR
Posts: 20,684
Quote:
Originally Posted by xClips Jim View Post
You think the youngsters will matter in this one, huh? I haven't been seeing that - for sure 2020 they will be a heavy, determining factor.

Pleasure "talking" with you, as always.
There were some interesting articles I read over the last handful of months that did a voter data breakdown of states that Trump won that people weren't expecting him to win. In a few of those states it was very interesting. When you looked at the numbers from the previous election in 2012 with Romney and Obama and compared them to Trump/Hillary, you see that Trump did about as well as Romney did across the board with a few more blue collar workers voting for him than Romney. The big differences, however, was with young voters. They turned out in droves for Obama but not Hillary. Interestingly enough, independent candidates in those states did a hell of a lot better than before and they did very well with young voters.

The idea is that young voters didn't like either candidate so many of them either didn't vote or voted for 3rd party candidates out of spite. I find myself wondering if that will happen again in November or if those young voters, most of whom hate Trump, will decide to turn out and vote. My guess is that they have now seen Trump in action so it is no longer speculation and they don't like what they see so they will turn out and vote.
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