Quote:
Originally Posted by Dead Eye
We'll see in 2020. The only people I know irl who still support trump are old Jessie Ventura weirdos. Everybody else flipped and will vote for anything but trump.
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So you're on here bragging that you don't know anybody?
Quote:
Originally Posted by thommy
538 was the ONLY poll that gave him a higher approval as disapproval rating than any other poll in the start.
for the dreamers here the reality
rasmussen do the polling in the morning with phonecalls on landlines.
so they reach older conservative people and have shown the best numbers
for trump in the 2 years.
here are rasummen results
as you see there not even the tax cut had a longterm effect.
so no - he will not survive the next elections even when the nobrainers here will not even believe that after he lost.
i am already looking forward to read the conspiracy theories of all theose asspimps and oneiqlows. it will be amusing. |
This is pretty much exactly correct. Rasmussen is a CONSERVATIVE polling firm. They routinely misjudge about 4% positive for conservative causes, though not always. Even disregarding that, they have Trump down 15 points now. This could change of course but they had him down 7 points when the democrats won the midterms by 7& of the popular vote.
It isn't scientific but it is reasonable to assume that Trump would lose by 13%. Further, a poll where he and most democrat front runners go head to head he is at 40-53%.
None of this is written in stone, but he is not "winning" right now.