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To understand some of the changes about to happen, first understand that small cars are not big profit makers in the US.
And, we have a average everyday drive 2-3x more than the rest of the world.
Electrics are going to be bigger outside of the US.
But here lives a problem.
Big auto makers want to sell into the Chinese and EU markets where they are going to be a larger share of the pie.
So if I were one of the big 3, I would not want to make them here and ship them there.
So, you can forget about the export market for autos in the future.
So as I stated above, the market is in electric trucks/suv's in the future in the US, or, at least they will be testing for it now.
I still can't see them not trying to compete with many low cost electrics that will soon be shipping from China, if they want to sell anything at all, but we shall see. Perhaps they know they can't compete against small cars from China..
It would be my prediction that the electric market will turn from less than 1% to more than 10% in just 8 years from now. Most likely in warmer climate areas of the states.
Some of the more advanced battery tech that was developed years ago, will finally be making its way to the manufacturing process.
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