Thread: Coronavirus
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Old 02-06-2020, 11:02 PM  
BaldBastard
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Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Sydney
Posts: 15,877
Quote:
Originally Posted by Paul&John View Post
Luckily both numbers are off as of 02/06/2020..
Confirmed 28k , deaths 560+
Prediction chart is not mine, its just the standard math model based on the early stats this virus presented. So not a baldy prediction and no doubt something that's been changed since, because more data is available. However collection of the data is proving the biggest headache

Currently its looking like a 50/50 chance of containment or pandemic

https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2020...or-go-pandemic

If you want to hold me to a prediction its that it’s probably too late to contain the virus and we're already at pandemic levels in one of these three Africa, North Korea or Indonesia. Because of how the UK, Australia, USA and other western countries have reacted to outbreak so far in China, no 3rd world shitholes will be releasing any data unless we drag it out of them for fear of repercussions.

btw update stats are much more dire

https://www.nationalgeographic.com/s...us-quarantine/
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