Originally Posted by MrBaldBastard

Reasons why NZ is in such strict lock-down became clear today when NZ Government released modelling for pandemic.

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"The country has only 221 ICU beds, which an ICU expert told the modellers could be doubled in “extreme circumstances”."

https://www.smh.com.au/national/nz-s...31-p54fmv.html

effects of three R0 scenarios (1.5, 2.5 and 3.5)

Least severe scenario of R0 1.5, 92,500 people would need to be hospitalised, 14,400 people admitted to ICU, 6480 ventilated and 8190 people would die.

A more severe R0 of 2 would lead to 124,000 hospitalisations, 19,400 ICU admissions (8690 on ventilators) and 10,983 deaths (0.22 per cent).

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It's a side effect of the stop smoking campaign, less smokers less ventilators required in hospitals.