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Old 08-16-2020, 10:46 AM  
Paul Markham
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Join Date: Jun 2001
Location: On the sofa, watching TV or doing my jigsaws.
Posts: 52,943
Quote:
Originally Posted by celandina View Post
Porn as ever will stay. I also believe that it will be all about fresh new content. All of the re-cyclers, tube hacks and thieves, got three things wrong:

1) Customers are stupid.
2) Nobody wants to pay for quality.
3) Affiliates are great

Hence you see the same crap over and over everywhere and they all live from clicks usually accidental clicks where customers are looking for something new. Soon, every Botoxed and tattooed camwhore will look like another camwhore. As the clicks decrease the answer of these hacks is simple " get more tubes, steal more content". So you see even here people with 100 + sites, diluting other hacks of their clicks. Sooner or later these "click counters" will NOT get the clicks and the add servers will stop serving and the affiliate paymasters will go one after another out of business. You can just look at my posts with Queen's " Another Bites the Dust". There is almost one/per week not paying or going out of business.

In short ALL of the " recycling click scams" sooner or later will run out of steam ( lets hope that it is sooner) and we'll get back to normal. Making and selling content. The analogy between mainstream media and porn is palpable. Yes, you can watch " MASH" many times over BUT if nothing new is created recycling MASH will NOT make anybody rich and will turn people off who will then look elsewhere for entertainment.
There are fundemental problem with your synopsis.

1. The skills set to produce the top level of porn and keep it fresh.
2. The money required to shoot such porn.
3. The return on investment.

We've seen the bottom of the barrel slip and fail over the last ten years. Most have gone to the wall or on their way to it. A few still make some money by deals with companies that offer 50-100s of sites for $30 a month memberships.

Next will be the fall of the middle rank, finally only a very few will be left.

Remember I'm talking 5-10 years.

The other problem with your synopsis is I was around when there was no ceiling on porn as far as budgets were concerned. Hustler, Private, Playboy, etc were able to spend what ever was needed to produce a product that blew away the opposition. People like Andrew Blake, Marc Dorcel, Jules Jordan, etc. Producing movies of this quality because spending $100,000 to $1,000,000 on a film was possible.

The problem is the consumer never wanted that level of porn except with a few niches and a few suppliers. If another company came into your market and produced a clone of your content, your membership would have 2 options to choose from. Imagine ten people producing clones of your content.

This is the ultimate problem with porn and the internet. Any fool can point a camera, open a site, drive traffic and it took a couple of years to flood the market. By 2000 the consumer was over supplied with porn the problem was finding producers who could produce a good product for what the market could afford. Today it's a real struggle, tomorrow it will get harder. Because 99.99% of the consumers can get off with what's offered today.

To survive we need something to throttle supply like "shelf space".
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