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With some exeptions, most of the income in this business is people forgetting to cancel their memberships...the loss of recur billing will hurt this business more than nearly any government regulation, VISA demands, poltician, etc.
If the day comes that recur billing for adult products goes bye-bye, it'll shift the tides for sure. It will also, as mentioned previously, lead to higher membership fees. Think about it...in addition to giving away a lot of free porn in this industry by TGP/MGP's, membership sites are charging $30-40 per month for an entire video store worth of porn...think of how much it costs just to rent a couple porn videos per week....compared to what the average pornsite membership costs.
I also see a lot more "porn communities" popping up...sites like anywebcam.com for people to chat, swap pics, have webcam cyber sex, etc. Sites that are basically a framework for people to join and these members "build" the site and are the content (not necessarily in the "porn content" way).
I see a lot more adult portal type membership sites popping up...example: jerkoff joe can come in and get his jerk on but also grab some sports scores, reserve that sex holiday vacation, check out the webcam of his neighbor as she sucks off her husband on cam, grabs some stock quotes after tossing the used kleenex in the garbage, etc. I think the dating sites could become one of these communities..instead of just putting a shitload of profiles up, they can offer more "stuff".
The live webcam sites and single girl sites have always done well and should continue to do well.
It'll be interesting for sure....
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