GoFuckYourself.com - Adult Webmaster Forum - View Single Post - OHIO PREDICTIONS (lived all over this state for 13yrs, why not?)

FuckFind · 11-02-2004, 06:41 PM

lived all over this state in the last 13 yrs and have a pretty good feel for each 5 major cities (Cleveland, Akron, Columbus, Dayton, Cincinnati)...

these are all assumptions but figured i'd throw them out...

Cleveland = Kerry
Cincinnati = Bush (media CLAIMS to be swaying to Kerry, but I just don't buy it, too close to the border and hickville territories)
Akron = toss-up
Dayton = seems to be leaning Bush gauging from everyone I know in this area, probably talked with over 300 people from various age groups, small pool of people of course but just what i've taken in.
Columbus = The real decider, but I think it will lean to the Bush side simply based on overall history of the state, and a few other influences.

Ohio filled senate seat in 2000 with Republican candidate, and is notable that Ohio is a state no Republican has ever lost and gone onto win the White House.

Much of the advertising has in Ohio has been focused on the job market, as Ohio has been hit pretty hard in the industrial/manufacturing sectors for employment figures.

The major thing that really really skews all of these thoughts is the 1 million NEW voters registered in this state for this election. Based on the fact that nearly 15 college students I know have registered for this election and voting in the last 2 weeks, I believe its a logical assumption that this 1 million new voters is comprised of LOADS of college students. University of Cincinnati, Ohio State Univeristy, Univeristy of Akron, Miami University, University of Ohio, University of Toledo..... Ohio has a very large demographic of telecommuniting/seasonal residents due to this educational base, so the "tilt" that may make the sway could be the younger voters.

Just thoughts, we'll see how she goes, but I honestly think in the end it will lean to Bush, gettin nervous.

FF

11-02-2004, 06:41 PM
FuckFind Confirmed User Industry Role: Join Date: Feb 2003 Posts: 1,188	OHIO PREDICTIONS (lived all over this state for 13yrs, why not?) lived all over this state in the last 13 yrs and have a pretty good feel for each 5 major cities (Cleveland, Akron, Columbus, Dayton, Cincinnati)... these are all assumptions but figured i'd throw them out... Cleveland = Kerry Cincinnati = Bush (media CLAIMS to be swaying to Kerry, but I just don't buy it, too close to the border and hickville territories) Akron = toss-up Dayton = seems to be leaning Bush gauging from everyone I know in this area, probably talked with over 300 people from various age groups, small pool of people of course but just what i've taken in. Columbus = The real decider, but I think it will lean to the Bush side simply based on overall history of the state, and a few other influences. Ohio filled senate seat in 2000 with Republican candidate, and is notable that Ohio is a state no Republican has ever lost and gone onto win the White House. Much of the advertising has in Ohio has been focused on the job market, as Ohio has been hit pretty hard in the industrial/manufacturing sectors for employment figures. The major thing that really really skews all of these thoughts is the 1 million NEW voters registered in this state for this election. Based on the fact that nearly 15 college students I know have registered for this election and voting in the last 2 weeks, I believe its a logical assumption that this 1 million new voters is comprised of LOADS of college students. University of Cincinnati, Ohio State Univeristy, Univeristy of Akron, Miami University, University of Ohio, University of Toledo..... Ohio has a very large demographic of telecommuniting/seasonal residents due to this educational base, so the "tilt" that may make the sway could be the younger voters. Just thoughts, we'll see how she goes, but I honestly think in the end it will lean to Bush, gettin nervous. FF