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Interesting analysis, KimmyKim. I guess I should have included my ranking, which is actually the same as your initial one - 1,4,2,3. That's for the average person, with as much else "constant" as possible.
There are other ways we could rank the same groups, of course. For example, I'm guessing "Ease of Getting Started" would be 3,2,4,1 (exact opposite order). "Risk of miserable failure" would probably match the first list, as risk and reward are usually similar.
BTW, The reason I thought of this is because I have a friend who wants to get into the business... And no, this is not one of those times when the "friend" is the person talking about the friend. Anyway, I'm not sure where to direct him to start his efforts.
I'm thinking it might be good experience for him to follow the "Ease of Getting Started" order to learn the ropes and figure out how things work. It's a logical route (that I didn't follow, for the record). Think about it:
Step 1. Make some galleries. Learn about html/graphics design, purchasing content, affiliate programs, getting traffic, etc.
Step 2. Build a TGP. Step 1 should have helped you figure out what you like in a TGP. You can get it started with traffic from your galleries and you can push traffic back to them as well.
Step 3. Build a large AVS site. By now, you've hopefully got some decent skills. Time to see what you can do and start raking in the bucks. The traffic probably won't convert well, but you can get things rolling using the traffic from your TGP.
Step 4. Now that you've mastered the first 3 steps, build a pay site. Recruit affiliates. Make the big bucks.
Step 5. Enjoy your success. Hire employees to do the actual work and spend your days fucking around on GFY.
If all goes well, I'm guessing "Quit your day job" would be sometime after step 2.
Ok, I'm done rambling. I'd be interested in reading others thoughts on this though.
TB
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