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Old 11-09-2011, 01:39 PM   #1
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Impending market crash? Which stocks will you be buying LONG on the upcoming DIP?

Italy's bond rate hit the dangerous 7.2%+ range.

Greece is still too unstable and may just be delaying the inevitable - expulsion from the Eurozone

Italy is a social powder keg waiting to explode as it finds itself caught between unpopular austerity measures and low growth/high debt - regardless of whether Berlusconi goes or not

The USA's Super Committee on mandatory spending cuts appears headed for irreconcilable conflict

The fires that were put out in Ireland and Portugal are not conclusively things of the past - Spain's financial house is still exhibiting embers that may flare up

China's growth has cooled while India's inflation remains a threat

With ALL THIS HAPPENING, the question of the Stock Market going down DRAMATICALLY is increasingly not a question of IF but WHEN.....


When it does happen (10 to 15% correction) - which stocks will you be scooping up?

Why?

P/E? Book value? Market share? Expansion plans? Consolidations?
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Old 11-09-2011, 01:52 PM   #2
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Banks and oil!
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Old 11-09-2011, 02:32 PM   #3
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jesus H Christ View Post
Italy hitting a 7.2% is going to cause a little more then a 10-15% correction.
Okay, so which dipping stocks will you be doing long bets on?
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Old 11-09-2011, 02:51 PM   #4
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Home Depot type stocks. Lot's of homes just sitting empty that is going to need fixing. You see, IMO all this is going to come to a head in 2012 because we Americans have been fed BS about that date and world ending etc. When they wake up and discover they were idiots for even thinking that, life/business will release the bulls.
hmm big spike after 2000 so maybe some merit to that after all ;) I think that along with the fact the housing market climbing back to better numbers will give people more confidence in making those upgrades too so not a bad choice i would say.

I still like mcdonalds though... they seem recession proof... with room for growth in both india and china.
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Old 11-09-2011, 04:58 PM   #5
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If the crisis does develop as some are predicting it will be much more grim than people suspect-
http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/break...212918039.html

If this is the start of a "global economic seizure" as this report suggests it won't be a matter of some kind of correction in a year or two, it will be far more catastrophic.
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Old 11-09-2011, 05:00 PM   #6
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Old 11-09-2011, 05:58 PM   #7
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jesus H Christ View Post
Home Depot type stocks. Lot's of homes just sitting empty that is going to need fixing. You see, IMO all this is going to come to a head in 2012 because we Americans have been fed BS about that date and world ending etc. When they wake up and discover they were idiots for even thinking that, life/business will release the bulls.
You might be correct about the date of "the transition",

but something strange will happen this time around.
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Old 11-09-2011, 06:00 PM   #8
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If Italy defaults it is going to cause major probs for the EU
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Old 11-09-2011, 06:51 PM   #9
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Old 11-09-2011, 07:10 PM   #10
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A better question would be what are you shorting on the way down.

SDS - S&P ultra short. This is a trade only vehicle not long term.

I expect this downturn might be more protracted than you think.
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Old 11-09-2011, 07:11 PM   #11
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I dont know the google is still up 20% this year
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Old 11-09-2011, 09:39 PM   #12
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FFN baabeeeeee!!
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Old 11-09-2011, 09:50 PM   #13
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shit is gonna hit the fan soon
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Old 11-10-2011, 03:05 AM   #14
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right now SPIN.PK, healthcare industry, defensive sector in recessions, yoy growth next year is going to be 100 percent. more here:
https://gfy.com/showthread.php?t=1040174
once oil hit the bottom during following recession I am going to buy most leveraged oil juniors (my main investment area for the past five years)
good short could be CRM, i feel their growth story is going to implode next year.
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Old 11-10-2011, 03:31 AM   #15
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and if there was no recession(not a probable scenario), i would buy also this microcap:
http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=TPCS.OB%2C+&ql=0
should growth 50 percent a year
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Old 11-10-2011, 03:39 AM   #16
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RAD and BAC, just waiting for a pullback then gonna accumlate
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Old 11-10-2011, 03:44 AM   #17
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I may start going deeper in the money when selling calls on my EEM shares and AAPL Leaps so to pocket the higher premiums. Can just buy back shares if called out. Will also make sure to always have enough cash and/or uncovered shares available for occasional hedging with spy puts
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Old 11-10-2011, 04:00 AM   #18
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just stay away for a while.
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Old 11-10-2011, 04:37 AM   #19
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Jesus H Christ View Post
Home Depot type stocks. Lot's of homes just sitting empty that is going to need fixing. You see, IMO all this is going to come to a head in 2012 because we Americans have been fed BS about that date and world ending etc. When they wake up and discover they were idiots for even thinking that, life/business will release the bulls.

I get the idea behind that but even Lowes was having serious problems lately and were closing a lot of stores last I heard. Maybe they have other issues I'm unaware of but if not, then even the building type store are not a completely safe bet.
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Old 11-10-2011, 04:50 AM   #20
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just stay away for a while.
Gold or yen?
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Old 11-10-2011, 08:20 AM   #21
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US Defense Stocks

Raytheon
Northrop
General Dynamics

The US war machine is never idle long.
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Old 11-10-2011, 08:40 AM   #22
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Sadly and I'm ashamed to admit it but Over the last 18 years the stock market has played me more than I've played it.Timing the market is impossible.

I've been investing in real estate and will continue with it.

Ironically I read this quote in the paper today...
"If stock market experts were so expert, they would be buying stock, not selling advice.- NORMAN RALPH AUGUSTINE
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Old 11-10-2011, 02:45 PM   #23
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Banks are the most susceptible... B of A in particular. Quick drop, quick pop up.
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Old 11-10-2011, 02:56 PM   #24
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you list all that shit and your question is will people buy on the "dip" hahaha- idiot

why dont you just wipe your ass with some fiat money after you take a shit... your cash will end up in the same place... in the toilet LOL
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Old 11-10-2011, 02:59 PM   #25
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Yup, the OP's question was stocks going long. Another example was Enron in 2004 with their BS accounting. Across the board energy stocks took a big shit as these same companies purposely closed facilities trying to make minimal quarterly profits. Five years later they posted the highest recorded profits in business, ever.

In short, like energy, people will always need a roof overhead, and homes always need work/upkeep, but that's just my opinion anyway.
Energy and commodities. Would there be better plays in specific service providers or industry support players instead of the actual big oil companies themselves? Why? Because they are so visible, the market probably prices in their movements many months in advance while smaller or niche support issues might be better longer term plays with better price appreciation over a 6 month to 1 year window?
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