Business What To Expect For Euro Now? - GoFuckYourself.com

Vendot · 10-13-2015, 11:22 PM

Now the ECB is going to do some QE but the US doesn't look likely to raise rates perhaps for up to 6 months and there's some doubt as to whether they will raise rates at all.

So I'm thinking the Dollar comes down from the highs (somewhat) and the Euro weakens a little but less than the Dollar, since the Dollar is around the highs and the Euro lower. So my guess, parity is off the table for now.

Maybe we see 1.22 usd = 1 euro by year end if US data remains weak or gets a bit weaker?

Paul&John · 10-13-2015, 11:40 PM

Hopefully not

j3rkules · 10-14-2015, 06:09 AM

I love as it is.

Barry-xlovecam · 10-14-2015, 06:30 AM

Why?

If anything the euro may trade in the $1.05 to $1.15 range for a year's time perhaps. I see the euro getting hammered lower if energy, gas and oil prices, increase. The EU is more dependent on imported oil and the geo politics of world oil

Vendot · 10-14-2015, 07:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Barry-xlovecam

Why?

Well my thesis is that the pendulum is now swinging in the other direction. If rate hikes are off the table until march (hike expectations were the reason for dollar strength), we have scope for enough dollar weakness that the euro can recover a bit.

daviking · 10-14-2015, 07:30 AM

In Europe we have twice the unemployement and half of the US growth. The $ will get stronger in time.

AdultB2B · 10-15-2015, 05:59 AM

It seems to be stabilizing.

I can't see it going much lower. Been pretty flat for months now.

Vendot · 10-15-2015, 06:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by AdultB2B

I can't see it going much lower. Been pretty flat for months now.

Sure that's because it wasn't as much a weak Euro story as it was a strong dollar story. That dollar strength was on expectations of a rate hike which now have been pushed back (in most analyst views) out until March 2016 earliest. Also, although US growth is better than elsewhere more weakness is now likely to show up in Q3.

We're also seeing dollar pull back significantly so I expect it will continue into next year.

CAHEK · 11-04-2015, 08:09 AM

1 eur = 1.0872 usd

pornguy · 11-04-2015, 08:16 AM

Would like to see the Euro hit 1.01 or so for a few weeks so I can wire more to my account there. The slide back up in the next 6 to 8 months.

Paul&John · 11-04-2015, 08:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CAHEK

1 eur = 1.0872 usd

Vendot · 11-04-2015, 08:21 AM

Sure thing. Mine was a bad call but it was based on the fed guidance withdrawing from possibility of a rate hike this year and that scenario is now changed.

I'm now expecting further USD strength as the Fed has raised the possibility of a rate hike in December. I don't know if we will see any dollar weakness until the Fed finally decides not to raise rates at all, if that happens.

Barry-xlovecam · 11-26-2015, 09:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Barry-xlovecam

Why?

If anything the euro may trade in the $1.05 to $1.15 range for a year's time perhaps. I see the euro getting hammered lower if energy, gas and oil prices, increase. The EU is more dependent on imported oil and the geo politics of world oil

Euro Heading For Parity With Dollar By Year End: Goldman Sachs Report

November 26 2015 7:20 PM EST

Quote:

Analysts at Goldman Sachs believe the euro could be heading for parity with the dollar. The euro dropped below $1.06 Thursday, following an exclusive report by Reuters that claimed the European Central Bank (ECB) had been considering a variety of options before the next ECB meeting.

The ECB is expected to decide at the meeting whether to expand its current program of quantitative easing. The bank also might cut interest rates further. "They expect EUR-US$ to go to 0.95 over the next 12 months, but this level could be reached sooner," said an outlook from Goldman analysts. "Until the ECB meeting, they expect 1.05 and parity by year end.

Vendot · 11-27-2015, 03:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Barry-xlovecam

Euro Heading For Parity With Dollar By Year End: Goldman Sachs Report

Well EUR/USD has already touched 1.05 so that's the easiest call to make. At this rate, it could even happen before the next rate decision on expectations which is December and even if rates don't go up. If they do, we might be moving towards 120 on USDX.

michael.kickass · 11-27-2015, 06:06 AM

It'll fall apart after a few more attacks.

Vendot · 02-04-2016, 09:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Barry-xlovecam

Euro Heading For Parity With Dollar By Year End: Goldman Sachs Report

They were wrong. Well it looks very much likely that further rate hikes this year are going to be OFF the table...... and if it does happen, it will be one hike of 0.25% at best. It looks more likely that they will reverse course and cut rates by year end.

So parity is also off the table for 2016 at least. The FED is starting to hint about negative interest rates too:

Fischer: Negative Rates Are Working More Than I Expected - Bloomberg Business

10-13-2015, 11:22 PM	#1
Vendot Confirmed User Industry Role: Join Date: May 2002 Location: Malaysia Posts: 3,376	What To Expect For Euro Now? Now the ECB is going to do some QE but the US doesn't look likely to raise rates perhaps for up to 6 months and there's some doubt as to whether they will raise rates at all. So I'm thinking the Dollar comes down from the highs (somewhat) and the Euro weakens a little but less than the Dollar, since the Dollar is around the highs and the Euro lower. So my guess, parity is off the table for now. Maybe we see 1.22 usd = 1 euro by year end if US data remains weak or gets a bit weaker? __________________ "In a Time of Universal Deceit, Telling the Truth is a Revolutionary Act." - George Orwell

10-13-2015, 11:40 PM	#2
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10-14-2015, 06:09 AM	#3
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10-15-2015, 05:59 AM	#7
AdultB2B Adult Site Broker Industry Role: Join Date: Apr 2007 Location: Pattaya, Thailand Posts: 1,364	It seems to be stabilizing. I can't see it going much lower. Been pretty flat for months now. __________________ Adult Site Broker - The Ethical Broker ASB Cash Adult Site Broker Talk

11-04-2015, 08:09 AM	#9
CAHEK C.C.C.P. Industry Role: Join Date: Aug 2003 Location: Novorossiya Posts: 6,730	1 eur = 1.0872 usd __________________ Pharma from True-Meds. High converting shop in Europe and USA, fast payouts via BTC !!!

10-14-2015, 06:30 AM	#4
Barry-xlovecam It's 42 Industry Role: Join Date: Jun 2010 Location: Global Posts: 18,083	Why? If anything the euro may trade in the $1.05 to $1.15 range for a year's time perhaps. I see the euro getting hammered lower if energy, gas and oil prices, increase. The EU is more dependent on imported oil and the geo politics of world oil

10-14-2015, 07:30 AM	#6
daviking Confirmed User Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 273	In Europe we have twice the unemployement and half of the US growth. The $ will get stronger in time.

11-04-2015, 08:16 AM	#10
pornguy Too lazy to set a custom title Industry Role: Join Date: Mar 2003 Location: Homeless Posts: 62,912	Would like to see the Euro hit 1.01 or so for a few weeks so I can wire more to my account there. The slide back up in the next 6 to 8 months. __________________ PornGuy skype me pornguy_epic AmateurDough The Hottes Shemales online! TChicks.com \| Angeles Cid \| Mariana Cordoba \| MAILERS WELCOME!

11-04-2015, 08:21 AM	#12
Vendot Confirmed User Industry Role: Join Date: May 2002 Location: Malaysia Posts: 3,376	Sure thing. Mine was a bad call but it was based on the fed guidance withdrawing from possibility of a rate hike this year and that scenario is now changed. I'm now expecting further USD strength as the Fed has raised the possibility of a rate hike in December. I don't know if we will see any dollar weakness until the Fed finally decides not to raise rates at all, if that happens. __________________ "In a Time of Universal Deceit, Telling the Truth is a Revolutionary Act." - George Orwell

11-27-2015, 06:06 AM	#15
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