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Old 08-28-2016, 04:21 AM   #1
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Trump Obliterates Clinton?s Lead In Latest Reuters Poll


NEW YORK (Reuters) ? U.S. Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton leads her Republican rival Donald Trump by 5 percentage points among likely voters, down from a peak this month of 12 points, according to the Reuters/Ipsos daily tracking poll released on Friday.

The Aug. 22-25 opinion poll found that 41 percent of likely voters supported Clinton ahead of the Nov. 8 presidential election, while 36 percent supported Trump. Some 23 percent would not pick either candidate and answered ?refused,? ?other? or ?wouldn?t vote.?

Clinton, a former secretary of state, has led real estate developer Trump in the poll since Democrats and Republicans ended their national conventions and formally nominated their presidential candidates in July. Her level of support has varied between 41 and 45 percent during that period, and her lead over Trump in the tracking poll peaked this month at 12 percentage points on Tuesday.

During the past week, Clinton has been dogged by accusations by Trump, which she has denied, that donations to her family?s charitable foundation influenced her actions while she was secretary of state from 2009 to 2013. Questions have also surfaced again about her use of a private email server and address rather than a government one during her period at the State Department.

Meanwhile, Trump and Clinton also sparred over who would be a better advocate for African Americans and other minorities, and Trump hinted he could soften his hard-line stance on immigration. [nL1N1B714Z]

In a separate Reuters/Ipsos poll that includes candidates from small, alternative parties, Clinton leads the field by a smaller margin. Some 39 percent of likely voters supported Clinton in the four-way poll, compared with 36 percent for Trump, 7 percent for Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson and 3 percent for Green Party nominee Jill Stein.

Both polls were conducted online in English in all 50 states. They included 1,154 likely voters and have a credibility interval of 3 percentage points.

The results may differ from the Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project, which includes a separate weekly tracking poll that measures support for the major party candidates in every state and Washington D.C.

The States of the Nation, released on Wednesday, estimated that if the election were held now Clinton would have a 95 percent chance of winning by a margin of about 108 votes in the Electoral College, the body that decides the election through a count of the candidates? wins in each state.

Reuters Poll: Trump Cuts Clinton's Lead By More Than Half | The Daily Caller
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Old 08-28-2016, 05:31 AM   #2
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The average of all the polls, which is more accurate, has always had her about 5 points up. We'll see if that shrinks a bit. He needs to be up by about 5% more to have a chance. That gets pretty difficult unless he does very well in the debates.
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Old 08-28-2016, 07:56 AM   #3
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Old 08-28-2016, 08:30 AM   #4
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Trump has already lost. The election might be months away, but voting starts shortly. Ninety percent of the people have already made up their mind and are unlikely to change their vote unless something huge happens.

Trump made a calculated gamble and lost. He thought he could come out swinging with "Mexcians are rapists" and get attention early on, which helped him win the Republican nomination, but he was unable to walk that back - not to mention all of the other nonsense.
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Old 08-28-2016, 08:35 AM   #5
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Trump has already lost. The election might be months away, but voting starts shortly. Ninety percent of the people have already made up their mind and are unlikely to change their vote unless something huge happens.

Trump made a calculated gamble and lost. He thought he could come out swinging with "Mexcians are rapists" and get attention early on, which helped him win the Republican nomination, but he was unable to walk that back - not to mention all of the other nonsense.
Add to that, Trump is an utter waste of space.
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Old 08-28-2016, 08:59 AM   #6
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That's a really misleading thread title. You finally post an article from a reputable, fact based source and twist the headline into something false.
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Old 08-28-2016, 09:05 AM   #7
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She's still in the lead, how is that obliterating???
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Old 08-28-2016, 09:51 AM   #8
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Trump will obliterate clinton come november 8th... right now the polls are simply in motion.
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Old 08-28-2016, 11:28 AM   #9
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That's a really misleading thread title. You finally post an article from a reputable, fact based source and twist the headline into something false.
Obviously he's a graduate of Fox News U.
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Old 08-29-2016, 12:00 AM   #10
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Reuters is a newswire service. Like PRblaster on Xbiz. It is not necessarily a "news source" which is why the only place making any sort of hay of the announcement is "The Daily Caller".

Nice try though.

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Old 08-29-2016, 01:09 AM   #11
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Up and down all the time
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Old 08-29-2016, 02:29 AM   #12
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Trump has already lost.
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Old 08-29-2016, 08:24 AM   #13
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Trump has already lost. The election might be months away, but voting starts shortly. Ninety percent of the people have already made up their mind and are unlikely to change their vote unless something huge happens.

Trump made a calculated gamble and lost. He thought he could come out swinging with "Mexcians are rapists" and get attention early on, which helped him win the Republican nomination, but he was unable to walk that back - not to mention all of the other nonsense.
I do not agree. He will be within 3 points by debate, IMHO. The debate will be the next hinge, barring some unforeseen disaster. It is a mistake for anyone to count him out.
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Old 08-29-2016, 08:27 AM   #14
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Clinton will get destroyed in a debate with Trump, should be really fun to watch. You can bet your ass she is nervous and knows what is at stake.
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Old 08-29-2016, 08:33 AM   #15
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Old 08-29-2016, 09:25 AM   #16
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Add to that, Trump is an utter waste of space.
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Old 08-29-2016, 07:11 PM   #17
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Trump will obliterate clinton come november 8th... right now the polls are simply in motion.
So is all of our money from iBill from 2003...
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Old 08-29-2016, 10:05 PM   #18
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Here we go again
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Old 08-30-2016, 07:50 AM   #19
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I do not agree. He will be within 3 points by debate, IMHO. The debate will be the next hinge, barring some unforeseen disaster. It is a mistake for anyone to count him out.
I completely disagree.

The vast majority of the polls say he is anywhere from six to ten points behind, which is staggering this close to the election. Ninety percent of the population claim to have already made their decision, and early voting starts soon. Even if Trump does well during the debates, which is highly unlikely, it will be too little too late.

I also do not see Trump doing well during the debates. If you look back over the Republican debates, they never really debated any of the issues. There was so many people debating that the individual messages got lost and Trump dominated the debates because he was big news then. Trump cannot debate the facts; He cannot seem to come up with a plan for the most important aspect of his campaign (immigration). Trump's plan for the VA is to cut waste, improve services, and increase locations while cutting costs which sounds great but he doesn't tell us how he is going to do this. It seems all of his "plans" are very much the same - "this is what we are doing to do, but we aren't going to tell you how we plan on doing it". Clinton is a veteran political operative here and knows how to prep for a debate; Trump has never debated at this level and is being prepped by a bunch of people that have no clue of what they are doing.

The Republican line of attack against Clinton has backfired. Dozens of investigations, tens of thousands of emails, and still no charges and no smoking gun. I tend to believe that where there is smoke there is fire, but so far we haven't even found any smoke. As I type this right now it's 7:48am and I have CNN on and they are talking about how the FBI is going to release it's "notes" about the email investigation. This will be more of the same - no smoking gun, no smoke, no charges.

But of course we'll have another investigation.
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