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Old 03-13-2018, 06:41 AM   #1
ilnjscb
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Lamb v Saccone - who will win?

Political folks, this is a very important election. Not absolutely predictive, but indicative. Trump won PA-18 by 20 points; it is mostly white "working class" the bedrock of Trump's support.

If they don't turn out, or don't turn out when he is not on the ticket, or have ceased to support him, or whatever, the chances go up we'll have a democrat house, unsuccessful impeachment and removal, and loss of office for Trump in 2020.

If they do turn out, and Saccone wins by 3+, all pollsters are officially idiots.

My bet based on latest polls: Lamb by 2
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Old 03-13-2018, 06:46 AM   #2
Bladewire
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With Trump firing Tillerson today it's entirely possible he just ruined this election for republicans reminding Republican voters how unstable Trump is.
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Old 03-13-2018, 07:50 AM   #3
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I thought the same thing - if indeed he has lost some support, we'll find out why. But keep in mind, it could be the same phenomenon as Obama, where black voters only vote when he is on the ticket.
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Old 10-23-2018, 04:31 PM   #4
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And Lamb won by .2% I was 1.8% too leaning democrat
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