New Report Suggests ‘High Likelihood of Human Civilization Coming to an End’ in 2050 - GoFuckYourself.com

RedFred · 06-03-2019, 05:55 PM

The climate change analysis was written by a former fossil fuel executive and backed by the former chief of Australia's military.

A harrowing scenario analysis of how human civilization might collapse in coming decades due to climate change has been endorsed by a former Australian defense chief and senior royal navy commander.

The analysis, published by the Breakthrough National Centre for Climate Restoration, a think-tank in Melbourne, Australia, describes climate change as “a near- to mid-term existential threat to human civilization” and sets out a plausible scenario of where business-as-usual could lead over the next 30 years.

The paper argues that the potentially “extremely serious outcomes” of climate-related security threats are often far more probable than conventionally assumed, but almost impossible to quantify because they “fall outside the human experience of the last thousand years.”

On our current trajectory, the report warns, “planetary and human systems [are] reaching a ‘point of no return’ by mid-century, in which the prospect of a largely uninhabitable Earth leads to the breakdown of nations and the international order.”

The only way to avoid the risks of this scenario is what the report describes as “akin in scale to the World War II emergency mobilization”—but this time focused on rapidly building out a zero-emissions industrial system to set in train the restoration of a safe climate.

The scenario warns that our current trajectory will likely lock in at least 3 degrees Celsius (C) of global heating, which in turn could trigger further amplifying feedbacks unleashing further warming. This would drive the accelerating collapse of key ecosystems “including coral reef systems, the Amazon rainforest and in the Arctic.”

The results would be devastating. Some one billion people would be forced to attempt to relocate from unlivable conditions, and two billion would face scarcity of water supplies. Agriculture would collapse in the sub-tropics, and food production would suffer dramatically worldwide. The internal cohesion of nation-states like the US and China would unravel.

“Even for 2°C of warming, more than a billion people may need to be relocated and in high-end scenarios, the scale of destruction is beyond our capacity to model with a high likelihood of human civilization coming to an end,” the report notes.

The new policy briefing is written by David Spratt, Breakthrough’s research director and Ian Dunlop, a former senior executive of Royal Dutch Shell who previously chaired the Australian Coal Association.

https://www.vice.com/en_us/article/5...TTp2PjIfK4fZdA

Rochard · 06-03-2019, 06:08 PM

I think mankind has only been around for a short period of time, and eventually our climate will change to point where we are unable to survive how we've been living for hundreds / thousands of years. Hopefully in the near future we will have enough technology to save us.

We'll see.

OneHungLo · 06-03-2019, 06:11 PM

Bladewire · 06-03-2019, 06:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by OneHungLo

More lies from you

Fact Check: Did Al Gore Predict Earth’s Ice Caps Would Melt by 2014? | Snopes

Major (Tom) · 06-03-2019, 06:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RedFred

The climate change analysis was written by a former fossil fuel executive and backed by the former chief of Australia's military.

A harrowing scenario analysis of how human civilization might collapse in coming decades due to climate change has been endorsed by a former Australian defense chief and senior royal navy commander.

The analysis, published by the Breakthrough National Centre for Climate Restoration, a think-tank in Melbourne, Australia, describes climate change as “a near- to mid-term existential threat to human civilization” and sets out a plausible scenario of where business-as-usual could lead over the next 30 years.

The paper argues that the potentially “extremely serious outcomes” of climate-related security threats are often far more probable than conventionally assumed, but almost impossible to quantify because they “fall outside the human experience of the last thousand years.”

On our current trajectory, the report warns, “planetary and human systems [are] reaching a ‘point of no return’ by mid-century, in which the prospect of a largely uninhabitable Earth leads to the breakdown of nations and the international order.”

The only way to avoid the risks of this scenario is what the report describes as “akin in scale to the World War II emergency mobilization”—but this time focused on rapidly building out a zero-emissions industrial system to set in train the restoration of a safe climate.

The scenario warns that our current trajectory will likely lock in at least 3 degrees Celsius (C) of global heating, which in turn could trigger further amplifying feedbacks unleashing further warming. This would drive the accelerating collapse of key ecosystems “including coral reef systems, the Amazon rainforest and in the Arctic.”

The results would be devastating. Some one billion people would be forced to attempt to relocate from unlivable conditions, and two billion would face scarcity of water supplies. Agriculture would collapse in the sub-tropics, and food production would suffer dramatically worldwide. The internal cohesion of nation-states like the US and China would unravel.

“Even for 2°C of warming, more than a billion people may need to be relocated and in high-end scenarios, the scale of destruction is beyond our capacity to model with a high likelihood of human civilization coming to an end,” the report notes.

The new policy briefing is written by David Spratt, Breakthrough’s research director and Ian Dunlop, a former senior executive of Royal Dutch Shell who previously chaired the Australian Coal Association.

https://www.vice.com/en_us/article/5...TTp2PjIfK4fZdA

Vice? Really? Christ

Major (Tom) · 06-03-2019, 06:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bladewire

More lies from you

Fact Check: Did Al Gore Predict Earth’s Ice Caps Would Melt by 2014? | Snopes

Snopes is bullshit bro

Bladewire · 06-03-2019, 06:40 PM

Notice the Trump supporters response is a lie & ridiculing the publisher of the story.

No honest intellectual discussion about the changes happening in our climate. Sad

OneHungLo · 06-03-2019, 06:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bladewire

More lies from you

Fact Check: Did Al Gore Predict Earth’s Ice Caps Would Melt by 2014? | Snopes

OneHungLo · 06-03-2019, 06:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bladewire

Notice the Trump supporters response is a lie & ridiculing the publisher of the story.

No honest intellectual discussion about the changes happening in our climate. Sad

Al gore has been lying his ass off for years.

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/gore-ar...ish-in-summer/

Quote:

Gore said “Last September 21, as the Northern Hemisphere tilted away from the sun, scientists reported with unprecedented distress that the North Polar ice cap is "falling off a cliff." One study estimated that it could be completely gone during summer in less than 22 years. Another new study, to be presented by U.S. Navy researchers later this week, warns it could happen in as little as 7 years.”

http://www.nobelprize.org/nobel_priz...ecture_en.html

Never, ever use snopes.

Bladewire · 06-03-2019, 06:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by OneHungLo

Never, ever use snopes.

The truth is like Kryptonite to you alt-right white supremacist Trump supporters not surprising do you stay away from the truth on Snopes. The truth is "fake news" to you we know.

ghjghj · 06-03-2019, 06:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bladewire

The truth

OneHungLo · 06-03-2019, 06:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bladewire

The truth is like Kryptonite to you alt-right white supremacist Trump supporters not surprising do you stay away from the truth on Snopes. The truth is "fake news" to you we know.

It's right in his FUCKING SPEECH from Nobel Lecture, Oslo, 10 December 2007.

https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/pe...-lecture-2007/

Quote:

Last September 21, as the Northern Hemisphere tilted away from the sun, scientists reported with unprecedented distress that the North Polar ice cap is “falling off a cliff.” One study estimated that it could be completely gone during summer in less than 22 years. Another new study, to be presented by U.S. Navy researchers later this week, warns it could happen in as little as 7 years.

Seven years from now.

onwebcam · 06-03-2019, 07:11 PM

Morons

bronco67 · 06-03-2019, 07:50 PM

I'm currently teaching my daughter spear fighting techniques for the coming Great Spear War of 2050.

OneHungLo · 06-03-2019, 08:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by onwebcam

Morons

This ^

lol

Tasty1 · 06-03-2019, 08:07 PM

The climate is fine, all HOAXES to believe in the Green Church.

crockett · 06-03-2019, 08:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DukeSkywalker

Vice? Really? Christ

Translation... it's not britbart so fake news... Vice bad because they make videos about right wing Nazis

crockett · 06-03-2019, 08:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bjorn_Tasty1

The climate is fine, all HOAXES to believe in the Green Church.

Matt26z fake nick spotted...

Bladewire · 06-03-2019, 08:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by OneHungLo

It's right in his FUCKING SPEECH from Nobel Lecture, Oslo, 10 December 2007.

https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/pe...-lecture-2007/

He did not say "I predict the ice caps will melt by 2014" in that speech. He said nothing of the sort in the link you provided.

Yet again you've proven yourself a full fledged liar.

Bladewire · 06-03-2019, 08:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by crockett

Matt26z fake nick spotted...

↑↑↑ Truth

RedFred · 06-04-2019, 05:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DukeSkywalker

Vice? Really? Christ

Still mad they filmed your 'woman' giving hand jobs on the streets of New York City?

Paul Markham · 06-05-2019, 02:31 AM

The Human race will survive, just not as it is. The 1% will be fine as they will have the money to protect themselves. The rest are in trouble as food prices rocket, millions of 3rd worlders start to migrate to the first and the world erupts into wars, droughts, famine, etc.

jezz87 · 06-05-2019, 04:14 AM

yeah right
humans have been on this earth for 400.000 years
and just because a few guys decided there was global warming 15 years ago, we are all gonna die in 30 years

thank you for the good laugh, exactly what i needed to start my day

RedFred · 06-05-2019, 05:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jezz87

yeah right
humans have been on this earth for 400.000 years
and just because a few guys decided there was global warming 15 years ago, we are all gonna die in 30 years

thank you for the good laugh, exactly what i needed to start my day

The real laugh is your uncanny ability to duplicate the sentence structure of a 7 year old.

Paul Markham · 06-05-2019, 06:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jezz87

yeah right
humans have been on this earth for 400.000 years
and just because a few guys decided there was global warming 15 years ago, we are all gonna die in 30 years

thank you for the good laugh, exactly what i needed to start my day

Not all humans will die in 30 years. What will happen is what I posted just before you.

celandina · 06-05-2019, 07:15 AM

I plan to die in '49, so big whoopie....

huey · 06-05-2019, 08:52 AM

Bad news for Deadeyes crew, only gives them 10 years of running shit.

King Mark · 06-05-2019, 09:00 AM

^not really, only the genetically inferior inbreds wont survive this (rednecks/hats, wahhabis, etc)

escorpio · 06-05-2019, 09:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dead Eye

^not really, only the genetically inferior inbreds wont survive this (rednecks/hats, wahhabis, etc)

2040s ain't gonna be like you think.

Bladewire · 06-05-2019, 09:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul Markham

Not all humans will die in 30 years. What will happen is what I posted just before you.

At least you don't deny the science behind climate change that's good. The video you embedded shows it all and the data is right there.

King Mark · 06-05-2019, 09:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by escorpio

2040s ain't gonna be like you think.

Sure bud

Either way, its coming... I have no worries. If I were you tho, I'd be scared too.

jezz87 · 06-05-2019, 01:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RedFred

The real laugh is your uncanny ability to duplicate the sentence structure of a 7 year old.

oohhh i touched a nerve here obviously

huey · 06-05-2019, 02:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dead Eye

^not really, only the genetically inferior inbreds wont survive this (rednecks/hats, wahhabis, etc)

Good point I hope I fucking make it to see 2040.

VRPdommy · 06-05-2019, 02:46 PM

It is a shame that you all are going to face climate change very hard very soon.
And all you care about is who is politically correct on the issue.
You will all get what you deserve in the end.

You had better face the fact that within about 15 years, it's going to be hard to get insurance that you can afford if at all, and many are going to have to move.
The government will not be able to help you by then. You better start planning for the future cause nobody is going to do it for you.

No matter if it is man made or not, it is likely man enhanced and it's coming... are you ready for it. You are not going to stop it, but you are going to have to deal with it.
GOOD LUCK !

06-03-2019, 05:55 PM	#1
RedFred Confirmed User Industry Role: Join Date: Feb 2016 Posts: 9,782	New Report Suggests ‘High Likelihood of Human Civilization Coming to an End’ in 2050 The climate change analysis was written by a former fossil fuel executive and backed by the former chief of Australia's military. A harrowing scenario analysis of how human civilization might collapse in coming decades due to climate change has been endorsed by a former Australian defense chief and senior royal navy commander. The analysis, published by the Breakthrough National Centre for Climate Restoration, a think-tank in Melbourne, Australia, describes climate change as “a near- to mid-term existential threat to human civilization” and sets out a plausible scenario of where business-as-usual could lead over the next 30 years. The paper argues that the potentially “extremely serious outcomes” of climate-related security threats are often far more probable than conventionally assumed, but almost impossible to quantify because they “fall outside the human experience of the last thousand years.” On our current trajectory, the report warns, “planetary and human systems [are] reaching a ‘point of no return’ by mid-century, in which the prospect of a largely uninhabitable Earth leads to the breakdown of nations and the international order.” The only way to avoid the risks of this scenario is what the report describes as “akin in scale to the World War II emergency mobilization”—but this time focused on rapidly building out a zero-emissions industrial system to set in train the restoration of a safe climate. The scenario warns that our current trajectory will likely lock in at least 3 degrees Celsius (C) of global heating, which in turn could trigger further amplifying feedbacks unleashing further warming. This would drive the accelerating collapse of key ecosystems “including coral reef systems, the Amazon rainforest and in the Arctic.” The results would be devastating. Some one billion people would be forced to attempt to relocate from unlivable conditions, and two billion would face scarcity of water supplies. Agriculture would collapse in the sub-tropics, and food production would suffer dramatically worldwide. The internal cohesion of nation-states like the US and China would unravel. “Even for 2°C of warming, more than a billion people may need to be relocated and in high-end scenarios, the scale of destruction is beyond our capacity to model with a high likelihood of human civilization coming to an end,” the report notes. The new policy briefing is written by David Spratt, Breakthrough’s research director and Ian Dunlop, a former senior executive of Royal Dutch Shell who previously chaired the Australian Coal Association. https://www.vice.com/en_us/article/5...TTp2PjIfK4fZdA

06-03-2019, 06:08 PM	#2
Rochard Jägermeister Test Pilot Industry Role: Join Date: Dec 2001 Location: NORCAL Posts: 72,983	I think mankind has only been around for a short period of time, and eventually our climate will change to point where we are unable to survive how we've been living for hundreds / thousands of years. Hopefully in the near future we will have enough technology to save us. We'll see. __________________ “The choice is no longer between right or left. The choice is between normal and crazy.” - Sarah Huckabee Sanders YNOT MAIL \| THE BEST ADULT MAILING SOLUTION

06-03-2019, 07:11 PM	#13
onwebcam Fake Nick 1.0 Industry Role: Join Date: Oct 2005 Location: Rent free, your head Posts: 27,653	Morons __________________ PLEASE WAIT WHILE BIDEN ADMIN UNINSTALLS ITSELF..... ██████████████████▒ 99.5% complete.

06-03-2019, 07:50 PM	#14
bronco67 Too lazy to set a custom title Join Date: Dec 2006 Posts: 29,035	I'm currently teaching my daughter spear fighting techniques for the coming Great Spear War of 2050. __________________

06-05-2019, 02:31 AM	#22
Paul Markham Too old to care Industry Role: Join Date: Jun 2001 Location: On the sofa, watching TV or doing my jigsaws. Posts: 52,943	The Human race will survive, just not as it is. The 1% will be fine as they will have the money to protect themselves. The rest are in trouble as food prices rocket, millions of 3rd worlders start to migrate to the first and the world erupts into wars, droughts, famine, etc. __________________ Blowout deal. 880 videos, 2,400 image sets, plus many RAW videos. $500. PM me for a deal. Skype Paulmarkham70

06-03-2019, 06:11 PM	#3
OneHungLo So Fucking Banned Industry Role: Join Date: May 2001 Location: Your mom's front hole Posts: 40,910

06-03-2019, 06:40 PM	#7
Bladewire StraightBro Industry Role: Join Date: Aug 2003 Location: Monarch Beach, CA USA Posts: 56,232	Notice the Trump supporters response is a lie & ridiculing the publisher of the story. No honest intellectual discussion about the changes happening in our climate. Sad

06-03-2019, 08:07 PM	#16
Tasty1 Judge Jury and Executioner Industry Role: Join Date: Jan 2005 Location: South-America Posts: 9,270	The climate is fine, all HOAXES to believe in the Green Church.

06-05-2019, 04:14 AM	#23
jezz87 Confirmed User Industry Role: Join Date: Jul 2010 Posts: 199	yeah right humans have been on this earth for 400.000 years and just because a few guys decided there was global warming 15 years ago, we are all gonna die in 30 years thank you for the good laugh, exactly what i needed to start my day

06-05-2019, 07:15 AM	#26
celandina Too lazy to set a custom title Industry Role: Join Date: Jun 2006 Posts: 11,369	I plan to die in '49, so big whoopie....

06-05-2019, 08:52 AM	#27
huey Confirmed User Join Date: Apr 2003 Location: vancouver Posts: 3,658	Bad news for Deadeyes crew, only gives them 10 years of running shit. __________________ opinions are like assholes................. "They aren't after me, they are AFTER YOU! Im just in their way" -D.J. Trump

06-05-2019, 09:00 AM	#28
King Mark So Fucking Banned Industry Role: Join Date: Aug 2016 Posts: 27,033	^not really, only the genetically inferior inbreds wont survive this (rednecks/hats, wahhabis, etc)

06-05-2019, 02:46 PM	#34
VRPdommy Too lazy to set a custom title Industry Role: Join Date: Oct 2014 Posts: 10,786	It is a shame that you all are going to face climate change very hard very soon. And all you care about is who is politically correct on the issue. You will all get what you deserve in the end. You had better face the fact that within about 15 years, it's going to be hard to get insurance that you can afford if at all, and many are going to have to move. The government will not be able to help you by then. You better start planning for the future cause nobody is going to do it for you. No matter if it is man made or not, it is likely man enhanced and it's coming... are you ready for it. You are not going to stop it, but you are going to have to deal with it. GOOD LUCK !