Even Karl Rove predicts Obama will take Electoral and Win the election - GoFuckYourself.com

Fletch XXX · 10-13-2008, 07:07 AM

You know things are getting bad when even Karl Rove projections, show Obama to take the electoral and win.

IllTestYourGirls · 10-13-2008, 07:09 AM

If Obama does not win, its rigged.

gornyhuy · 10-13-2008, 07:15 AM

You think Rove making this prediction is a last minute scare tactic to try to mobilize the base?

nation-x · 10-13-2008, 07:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by IllTestYourGirls

If Obama does not win, its rigged.

Way to drop a poison pill... lol.

Fletch XXX · 10-13-2008, 08:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gornyhuy

You think Rove making this prediction is a last minute scare tactic to try to mobilize the base?

I would assume so, but that isn't changing the electoral votes.

even in louisiana the republicans are scared. they are trying to censure republicans here who are voting for obama!

I am proud of louisiana, even republicas here are going for obama!!! Imagine!

fris · 10-13-2008, 08:10 AM

obama will win

IllTestYourGirls · 10-13-2008, 08:15 AM

The biggest mistake the McCain campaign made was voting for the bailout. He would have jumped 10% if he voted against it.

stickyfingerz · 10-13-2008, 08:18 AM

Last poll I saw McCain was in a near dead tie with Obama again. Anyone that thinks its close to decided will be sad on election day. lol

IllTestYourGirls · 10-13-2008, 08:20 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by stickyfingerz

Last poll I saw McCain was in a near dead tie with Obama again. Anyone that thinks its close to decided will be sad on election day. lol

what poll was that?

http://gallup.com/Home.aspx

Down 7%

directfiesta · 10-13-2008, 08:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by stickyfingerz

Last poll I saw McCain was in a near dead tie with Obama again. Anyone that thinks its close to decided will be sad on election day. lol

Last movie I saw was with Marlon Brando ....

LAJ · 10-13-2008, 09:20 AM

Obama is killing it in the popular and electoral votes. End of story.

Any media source that says this is close is full of shit and is pandering for ratings and/or has an agenda.

borys · 10-13-2008, 09:55 AM

Guess Rove is saying Obama supporters can safely stay at home on election day.

MrPinks · 10-13-2008, 10:32 AM

Seriously, WTF poll is that?

Quote:

Originally Posted by stickyfingerz

Last poll I saw McCain was in a near dead tie with Obama again. Anyone that thinks its close to decided will be sad on election day. lol

MovieMaster · 10-13-2008, 10:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gornyhuy

You think Rove making this prediction is a last minute scare tactic to try to mobilize the base?

Rove is strictly a numbers guy...

aico · 10-13-2008, 10:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MrPinks

Seriously, WTF poll is that?

Probably the Fox News Poll

notoldschool · 10-13-2008, 10:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by stickyfingerz

Last poll I saw McCain was in a near dead tie with Obama again. Anyone that thinks its close to decided will be sad on election day. lol

LOL...all the shit you gave me about Ron Paul and your going to make a lamo statement like that?

Verbal · 10-13-2008, 10:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by stickyfingerz

Last poll I saw McCain was in a near dead tie with Obama again. Anyone that thinks its close to decided will be sad on election day. lol

Seriously ... stop watching Fox News or at least do yourself a favor and 'flip' around a bit.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/111112/Ga...ead-51-41.aspx

uno · 10-13-2008, 11:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MovieMaster

Rove is strictly a numbers guy...

No he isn't. He's a dirty tricks guy. Always has been.

Remember his special correct math in the 06 midterm elections?

GatorB · 10-13-2008, 11:20 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by stickyfingerz

Last poll I saw McCain was in a near dead tie with Obama again.

You really need to watch something other than Fox.

AlienQ - BANNED FOR LIFE · 10-13-2008, 11:24 AM

Anyone that beleives a shit that spews from Roves mouth is surely retarded.

CheeseFrog · 10-13-2008, 12:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nate Silver @ FiveThirtyEight.com

, we show John McCain with a 5.9 percent chance of winning the Electoral College, a figure that will seem implausibly low to many of you. But here's a bit of context from John Harwood at the New York Times:

In the latest Gallup tracking poll, Mr. Obama leads Mr. McCain 50 percent to 43 percent among registered voters. Mr. McCain’s deficit in that survey has remained seven percentage points or more for most of the last two weeks.

Since Gallup began presidential polling in 1936, only one candidate has overcome a deficit that large, and this late, to win the White House: Ronald Reagan, who trailed President Jimmy Carter 47 percent to 39 percent in a survey completed on Oct. 26, 1980.

There were 18 elections between 1936 and 2004, and in just one of those -- the 1980 race that Harwood mentions -- did a trailing candidate come back from a deficit this large in mid-October to win the election. One divided into 18 is 5.6 percent, which almost exactly matches our 5.9 percent estimate for Mr. McCain.

http://www.FiveThirtyEight.com (probably THE most accurate electoral projection site) has McCain at only a 5.9% chance of a win, as of yesterday 10/12/08. Today it's slightly higher at 6.3%, so he's gaining ground somewhere in one of the swing states. But you'd have to be a fool to believe that the two are "neck and neck". To put things in perspective:

Chance of Obama winning by a landslide (taking 375 EVs): 42.41%
Chance of McCain winning by any kind of margin: 6.3%

That doesn't mean Obama can just coast to a victory now though. As in the quoted text above, Ronald Regan pulled off a similar come-from-behind deficit. But then again, McCain and Regan are two completely different paint jobs.

10-13-2008, 07:07 AM	#1
Fletch XXX GFY HALL OF FAME DAMMIT!!! Join Date: Jan 2002 Location: that 504 Posts: 60,840	Even Karl Rove predicts Obama will take Electoral and Win the election You know things are getting bad when even Karl Rove projections, show Obama to take the electoral and win. __________________ Want an Android App for your tube, membership, or free site? Need banners or promo material? Hit us up (ICQ Fletch: 148841377) or email me fletchxxx at gmail.com - recent work - About me

10-13-2008, 07:09 AM	#2
IllTestYourGirls Ah My Balls Industry Role: Join Date: Feb 2007 Location: Under the gold leaf ICQ 388-454-421 Posts: 14,311	If Obama does not win, its rigged. __________________

10-13-2008, 07:15 AM	#3
gornyhuy Chafed. Join Date: May 2002 Location: Face Down in Pussy Posts: 18,041	You think Rove making this prediction is a last minute scare tactic to try to mobilize the base? __________________ icq:159548293

10-13-2008, 08:10 AM	#6
fris Too lazy to set a custom title Industry Role: Join Date: Aug 2002 Posts: 55,359	obama will win __________________ Since 1999: 69 Adult Industry awards for Best Hosting Company and professional excellence. WP Stuff

10-13-2008, 08:15 AM	#7
IllTestYourGirls Ah My Balls Industry Role: Join Date: Feb 2007 Location: Under the gold leaf ICQ 388-454-421 Posts: 14,311	The biggest mistake the McCain campaign made was voting for the bailout. He would have jumped 10% if he voted against it. __________________

10-13-2008, 08:18 AM	#8
stickyfingerz Doin fine Industry Role: Join Date: Oct 2005 Posts: 24,983	Last poll I saw McCain was in a near dead tie with Obama again. Anyone that thinks its close to decided will be sad on election day. lol

10-13-2008, 09:20 AM	#11
LAJ Gingerific Industry Role: Join Date: Jun 2001 Location: Austin Posts: 5,567	Obama is killing it in the popular and electoral votes. End of story. Any media source that says this is close is full of shit and is pandering for ratings and/or has an agenda. __________________ YNOT.com - The original industry resource email jay at ynot dot com or skype LAJConsulting

10-13-2008, 09:55 AM	#12
borys Confirmed User Join Date: Oct 2002 Posts: 146	Guess Rove is saying Obama supporters can safely stay at home on election day.

10-13-2008, 11:24 AM	#20
AlienQ - BANNED FOR LIFE best designer on GFY Join Date: Mar 2003 Location: IALIEN.COM - High Definition Video and Photographic Productions -ICQ 78943384 Posts: 30,307	Anyone that beleives a shit that spews from Roves mouth is surely retarded. __________________ NAKED HOSTING FTW!11 I'm On The INSANE PLAN $9.95/mo! \| The Alien Blog Adult News Worth Reading Updated Daily \| Content For Sale! 641 PICS 216 MINUTES OF VIDEO $350.00 \|ICQ: 78943384 \|