The battle for control of the Senate is looking worse and worse for Democrats - GoFuckYourself.com

OneHungLo · 10-21-2018, 02:41 PM

Quote:

The battle for control of the Senate is looking worse and worse for Democrats, who just a month ago saw a path to the majority but now increasingly look like they could lose more seats and have a smaller minority next year.

Republicans have seen a bump in the polls in several key races since Labor Day. They believe momentum has flipped to their party since the fight over Supreme Court Justice Brett Kavanaugh polarized the electorate, hurting Democrats running for reelection in states where President Trump is popular.

Two states where Democrats had hopes of pulling major upsets — Texas and Tennessee — have moved in favor of Republicans. Races in Nevada and Arizona, two other states where Democrats had hoped to make gains, remain tight, but Republicans feel more confident about their candidates.

Meanwhile, the tide has moved against Democratic candidates in a couple of states that Trump won by double digits in 2016.

In North Dakota, Democratic Sen. Heidi Heitkamp has fallen behind by double digits. And in Montana, Sen. Jon Tester (D), who seemed poised for victory a month ago, has seen his race tighten amid attacks by the president.

There is some good news for Democrats in the polls.

Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.), the only Democrat to back Kavanaugh’s confirmation, has maintained a healthy average lead of 9 points in the polls, despite running in a state that Trump won by a whopping 42 points in 2016.

And Sen. Joe Donnelly (D-Ind.), long seen as vulnerable, is hanging onto an average poll lead of 3 points, despite voting against Kavanaugh.

But there are other chances for Republicans to grow their 51-49 majority.

Democratic Sen. Claire McCaskill’s (Mo.) reelection race against Republican Josh Hawley remains tight, while Sen. Bill Nelson (D-Fla.) has drawn a tough challenger in Gov. Rick Scott (R).

In New Jersey, Sen. Bob Menendez (D) is ahead in polls but Republicans still think they have a chance of pulling off an upset.

Democrats argue that they have an advantage on health care, the No. 1 issue for voters.

They are trying to capitalize on recent comments by Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.), who blamed Social Security and Medicare for the nation’s deficit problems and said Republicans may take another shot at repealing ObamaCare next year.

“In the last week Fox News, CBS and Washington Post-ABC polls all confirmed that the top issue this election is health care. Then Mitch McConnell reminded voters he wants to take away coverage for pre-existing conditions and target Medicare and Social Security,” said Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee spokesman David Bergstein.

“This isn't what Republicans want to be talking about, and we appreciate his help reminding voters exactly what's on the ballot,” he added.

Despite the Democrats’ focus on health care, however, their top GOP target, Nevada Sen. Dean Heller, has remained steady in polls despite his vote to repeal ObamaCare. FiveThirtyEight gives him a nearly 56 percent chance of winning reelection.

Sen. Ted Cruz (R), who has increased his lead over Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D-Texas), says the Kavanaugh debate helped him and other GOP candidates.

“Absolutely,” Cruz said. “I think the Democrats' behavior in the Kavanaugh hearing was appalling and I think a great many Texans were deeply disturbed at the partisan games and the political circus where they were willing to smear Judge Kavanaugh and his family to score political points.”

The race between Cruz and O’Rourke was tightest in early September when Cruz’s lead in the Real Clear Politics poll average was only three points. But as the battle over Kavanaugh heated up, he saw his lead grow to 5 and now 7 points, according to an average of polls compiled by RealClearPolitics.com.

In Tennessee, the RealClearPolitics polling trend lines of Democratic candidate Phil Bredesen and Republican Rep. Marsha Blackburn (Tenn.) crossed in late September, when the vicious Supreme Court fight was peaking in national attention.

Blackburn now has a 6.5-point lead in the RealClearPolitics polling average, a substantial improvement over most of the late spring and summer, when she trailed by an average of 5 points.

“You can probably thank Brett Kavanaugh for that. Everybody that I talked to that was on the bubble or maybe even for Bredesen — and I’m talking about Republicans — I haven’t talked to one of them since Kavanaugh that’s not saying I’m voting for Marsha,” said Chip Saltsman, a Tennessee-based GOP strategist.

Bredesen tried to blunt the impact of the Kavanaugh debate earlier this month by announcing his support for the nominee, which caused some of his volunteers to quit.

Democrats haven’t written off the contest at all.

A Washington-based Senate Democratic strategist argued that recent polls show Bredesen in a dead-heat with Blackburn. A Vanderbilt University survey released Thursday showed him ahead 44 percent to 43 percent. And a poll published Wednesday by Reuters showed Blackburn ahead by only 3 points, within the survey’s margin of error. But a New York Times/Siena College poll conducted around the same time gave Blackburn a 14-point lead.

The McCaskill-Hawley race is tight, but Republicans also think the Kavanaugh fight helped them in that state.

The RealClearPolitics polling trend lines have crossed, as McCaskill held a lead until mid-August but now trails slightly in an average of recent polls. A CNN poll from last month did show her ahead by 3 points and a Fox News survey showed her even with Hawley.

In Montana, a Gravis poll from June showed Tester with an 8-point lead while a follow-up Gravis survey in late September showed it had shrunk to 4 points.

Montana is also a top target of President Trump, who made his third trip to the state Thursday to hold a rally for Tester’s opponent, Matt Rosendale.

Rosendale has tried to take advantage of voters’ anger over Kavanaugh by drawing comparisons to how he was treated by Democrats on the Senate Judiciary Committee and how Tester treated Trump’s pick to head the Department of Veterans Affairs, Ronny Jackson, who withdrew after Tester led the opposition to him.

In North Dakota, Heitkamp has seen her poll numbers drop since Labor Day.

A Fox News poll from early September showed her trailing Republican Rep. Kevin Cramer (N.D.) by 4 points but an NBC poll conducted later in the month showed Cramer ahead by 10 points and a follow-up Fox News poll released Oct. 3 gave Cramer a 12-point lead.

Senate Republican Conference Chairman John Thune (R), who comes from neighboring South Dakota, says he’s feeling good about knocking off Heitkamp, even while he acknowledges she’s a good retail campaigner.

“She’s a good retail campaigner,” he said, but added the race is Cramer’s to lose because “it’s kind of gotten nationalized.”

A Washington-based Senate Republican strategist said that Kavanaugh has polarized the electorate and as a result moderate GOP and independent voters are less likely to cross over and cast ballots for incumbent Democrats.

“It improved Republican prospects across the board,” said the strategist. “It polarized the electorate in red states and that’s the worst thing for Democrats who rely on a handful of Republican voters crossing the aisle and supporting them in order to get over the top."

In Arizona, Democratic Rep. Kyrsten Sinema has tried to distance herself from how her fellow Democrats treated Kavanaugh in the Senate.

“I was incredibly disappointed in the way that the Senate behaved during this confirmation hearing. It was a circus,” she said during a debate on Monday. “I was disappointed in the method that the Senate handled this. It felt like it really denigrated the work that the Senate should do.”

https://thehill.com/homenews/senate/...tle-for-senate

OneHungLo · 10-21-2018, 02:41 PM

^^Meanwhile Trump is pulling in 100k people to his rallies

.

Bladewire · 10-21-2018, 02:44 PM

1) Failed to build a border wall
2) Failed to end Obamacare
3) Failed to end China's trade surplus
4) Failed to denuclearize North Korea
5) Failed to indict Hillary Clinton
6) Failed to give tax cuts to the middle class
7) Failed to cut drug costs
8) Failed to lower insurance premiums
9) Failed to deport more illegals than Obama
10) Failed at Middle East peace

MAGA! ( Mueller Ain't Going Away )

OneHungLo · 10-21-2018, 02:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bladewire

1) Failed to build a border wall
2) Failed to end Obamacare
3) Failed to end China's trade surplus
4) Failed to denuclearize North Korea
5) Failed to indict Hillary Clinton
6) Failed to give tax cuts to the middle class
7) Failed to cut drug costs
8) Failed to lower insurance premiums
9) Failed to deport more illegals than Obama
10) Failed at Middle East peace

MAGA! ( Mueller Ain't Going Away )

Read President Donald J. Trump’s 500 Days of American Greatness

And Mueller is going away. Liberals Warned 'Prepare for Disappointment' from Mueller Report

There's going to be A LOT more losing in your future.

TheSquealer · 10-21-2018, 02:50 PM

Hopefully, after the mid terms, Democrats will start moving more to the center and stop the incessant temper tantrums, race baiting, and obstruction and actually come up with a platform that voters can support and put a leader out there who isn't batshit insane and claiming to be a Cherokee, who isn't inciting violence or who isn't comparing himself to Spartacus for releasing emails that were given to him with explicit permission to release and who aren't pandering to an immature, destructive and divisive mob of idiots like Antifa or demanding the destruction of ICE and wanting open borders etc etc etc.

Taxes
Jobs
Economic growth
Immigration reform
Unemployment
etc etc etc.
Trump is killing it with EXACTLY the things voters care about, voted for (even Hillary supporters) about and voted for.

Bladewire · 10-21-2018, 02:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by OneHungLo

Read President Donald J. Trump’s 500 Days of American Greatness

And Mueller is going away. Liberals Warned 'Prepare for Disappointment' from Mueller Report

There's going to be A LOT more losing in your future.

Facts are facts

Promises not kept

Don't worry Trump supporters are stupid enough to still support him even though he doesn't keep his promises or bets.

1) Failed to build a border wall
2) Failed to end Obamacare
3) Failed to end China's trade surplus
4) Failed to denuclearize North Korea
5) Failed to indict Hillary Clinton
6) Failed to give tax cuts to the middle class
7) Failed to cut drug costs
8) Failed to lower insurance premiums
9) Failed to deport more illegals than Obama
10) Failed at Middle East peace

MAGA! ( Mueller Ain't Going Away )

TheSquealer · 10-21-2018, 02:57 PM

beerptrol · 10-21-2018, 07:27 PM

All they need is the House so they can investigate and shine the light on the cockroach republicans and head cockroach Chump

And like I said before anything they find won't change the minds of the brain washed cockroach Chump cultists, but it will get more independents and other non voters out to vote

ghjghj · 10-21-2018, 07:33 PM

pimpmaster9000 · 10-21-2018, 07:35 PM

Trump 2020! "MAGA!"

world first! America second!

Wake up europeans and support trump! Lets be free from US bullshit!

TheSquealer · 10-22-2018, 10:41 AM

10/21/2018
President Trump’s approval rating is at an all-time high ahead of the midterm elections, according to the latest national NBC/Wall Street Journal poll.

The poll, released Sunday, shows 47 percent of registered voters approve and 49 percent disapprove of Trump’s job in office. The approval rating is Trump’s highest yet as president, up from 44 percent last month, and is now higher than President Obama’s was before the 2010 midterm election.

onwebcam · 10-22-2018, 10:52 AM

As usual Dems have it backwards.. "#1 issue is Health care" because people don't like the government mandated ass raping.

ilnjscb · 10-22-2018, 01:02 PM

Its the House that democrats have a chance of taking. If they do, they'll have the power to investigate and subpoena, as well as declassify in some cases.

10-21-2018, 02:41 PM	#2
OneHungLo Colonizer Industry Role: Join Date: May 2001 Location: Your mom's front hole Posts: 37,585	^^Meanwhile Trump is pulling in 100k people to his rallies . __________________ “Nothing in this world can take the place of persistence. Talent will not; nothing is more common than unsuccessful men with talent. Genius will not; unrewarded genius is almost a proverb. Education will not; the world is full of educated derelicts. Persistence and determination alone are omnipotent. ― Calvin Coolidge

10-21-2018, 02:44 PM	#3
Bladewire StraightBro Industry Role: Join Date: Aug 2003 Location: Monarch Beach, CA USA Posts: 56,232	1) Failed to build a border wall 2) Failed to end Obamacare 3) Failed to end China's trade surplus 4) Failed to denuclearize North Korea 5) Failed to indict Hillary Clinton 6) Failed to give tax cuts to the middle class 7) Failed to cut drug costs 8) Failed to lower insurance premiums 9) Failed to deport more illegals than Obama 10) Failed at Middle East peace MAGA! ( Mueller Ain't Going Away ) __________________ Skype: CallTomNow

10-21-2018, 02:50 PM	#5
TheSquealer BANNED Industry Role: Join Date: Oct 2004 Location: In Your Head Posts: 22,680	Hopefully, after the mid terms, Democrats will start moving more to the center and stop the incessant temper tantrums, race baiting, and obstruction and actually come up with a platform that voters can support and put a leader out there who isn't batshit insane and claiming to be a Cherokee, who isn't inciting violence or who isn't comparing himself to Spartacus for releasing emails that were given to him with explicit permission to release and who aren't pandering to an immature, destructive and divisive mob of idiots like Antifa or demanding the destruction of ICE and wanting open borders etc etc etc. Taxes Jobs Economic growth Immigration reform Unemployment etc etc etc. Trump is killing it with EXACTLY the things voters care about, voted for (even Hillary supporters) about and voted for. __________________ If you don't like that Elon Musk bought twitter,... just build your own and stop crying about it.

10-21-2018, 02:57 PM	#7
TheSquealer BANNED Industry Role: Join Date: Oct 2004 Location: In Your Head Posts: 22,680	__________________ If you don't like that Elon Musk bought twitter,... just build your own and stop crying about it.

10-21-2018, 07:27 PM	#8
beerptrol Confirmed Asshole Industry Role: Join Date: Feb 2003 Location: Half way between sobriety and fubar. Posts: 12,722	All they need is the House so they can investigate and shine the light on the cockroach republicans and head cockroach Chump And like I said before anything they find won't change the minds of the brain washed cockroach Chump cultists, but it will get more independents and other non voters out to vote __________________ “If we are to have another contest in the near future of our national existence, I predict that the dividing line will not be Mason and Dixon's but between patriotism and intelligence on the one side, and superstition, ambition and ignorance on the other.” -- Ulysses S. Grant

10-21-2018, 07:33 PM	#9
ghjghj So Fucking Banned Join Date: Jun 2005 Posts: 3,770

10-21-2018, 07:35 PM	#10
pimpmaster9000 Too lazy to set a custom title Industry Role: Join Date: Dec 2011 Posts: 26,732	Trump 2020! "MAGA!" world first! America second! Wake up europeans and support trump! Lets be free from US bullshit! __________________ Report a suspicious cracker: Click Here

10-22-2018, 10:41 AM	#11
TheSquealer BANNED Industry Role: Join Date: Oct 2004 Location: In Your Head Posts: 22,680	10/21/2018 President Trump’s approval rating is at an all-time high ahead of the midterm elections, according to the latest national NBC/Wall Street Journal poll. The poll, released Sunday, shows 47 percent of registered voters approve and 49 percent disapprove of Trump’s job in office. The approval rating is Trump’s highest yet as president, up from 44 percent last month, and is now higher than President Obama’s was before the 2010 midterm election. __________________ If you don't like that Elon Musk bought twitter,... just build your own and stop crying about it.

10-22-2018, 10:52 AM	#12
onwebcam Fake Nick 1.0 Industry Role: Join Date: Oct 2005 Location: Rent free, your head Posts: 26,764	As usual Dems have it backwards.. "#1 issue is Health care" because people don't like the government mandated ass raping. __________________ PLEASE WAIT WHILE BIDEN ADMIN UNINSTALLS ITSELF..... ██████████████████▒ 99.5% complete.

10-22-2018, 01:02 PM	#13
ilnjscb Confirmed User Industry Role: Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 8,466	Its the House that democrats have a chance of taking. If they do, they'll have the power to investigate and subpoena, as well as declassify in some cases.