Do you think Groupon is worth $25 BILLION?
 

Apparently some investmant bankers think so :1orglaugh:winkwink: Not exactly a proprietary model...

Bloomberg reports:

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-0...5-billion.html

That's just crazy money!

We already had a dotcom boom back in the late 90's/early aughts... and that didn't turn out too well in the long run.

When I first heard about the group buying model, I thought it was a great idea and still do.

But I just don't get the numbers. First they turn down google's $6bn and now this. Crazy. imho.

damn thats alot of papers

makes you wonder what the coupon book companies were worth....

What are the signs that this time around it will go bust? Are the same factors in play now?

Isn't this the same type of shit that burst the bubble a few years back...overvalue-ing the living shit out of internet companies?

25 bn no way.

I'm a Groupon'er, heavily.

I don't think it's worth $25 billion though. I have a theory that sites like Groupon are going to hinder brand loyalty and mess with pricing structures and businesses and consumers haven't yet seen this. Give it a little bit longer and when businesses aren't retaining because the person is jumping onto the next pedicure coupon place - they will start to notice that the 30-50% cut they gave Groupon might not have been worth it.

I was part of that 90s bubble bust in the dot com sector and this sounds exactly like it. Another company that is being over valued by so called "analysts".

Yes its a great site and concept that works very well but it is being way too over-valued right now.

is a new trent!

The affiliate program only tracks sales for 30 days that seems like a good business model if it works for them

Your theory might be right. Groupon is a PARASITIC brand. People's loyalty grows to IT not the actual brand they are consuming for a particular deal.

Yahoo had similar valuations, that is until the bubble burst.

They are super cash flow positive. Not sure I agree with the value but this is different then before.

I don't think any site is worth $25 billion. I also see more and more Groupon clones, so I think they're going to run out of steam.

I have friends who work in restaurants that take Groupons and they HATE the people who come in for the Groupon specials. These are people who don't normally eat out and don't know how to behave when they do. Groupon is a site for bottom feeders--yes, it scares up a few dollars from people who wouldn't normally spend those dollars, but those folks aren't going to be repeat customers. Perhaps once the marketplace figures that out, Groupon will go the way of BlockBuster.

now right now but in the future it might..

Maybe but it probably has little effect on businesses on a whole, especially on already established brands. If someone finds something new via Groupon and they like it there's a good chance they'll become a repeat customer and refer others via word of mouth. A lot of buying patterns support the concept that people are creatures of habit. I don't think Groupon will change human behavior on a large scale, it's merely a new advertising medium that happens to be a new viral fad.

:2 cents:

another bubble?

thats like saying groupoun is worth half of what facebook is worth.. thats bullshit, maybe 100mil if that

It cracks me up when people say "is it worth 25 billion?" when you have no clue how much money the company makes. Amazon trades at 63 times earnings. So if this coupon bullshit makes 400 million a year thats 25 billion, isnt it?

It's got revenues. That's saying a lot more than MOST of the companies that went public in the Dot Com Bubble V.1.

No way. I was talking about this the other day. Why that guy doesn't take the money and run is far beyond me it's not even funny. You are first to market and you hold a decent market share. However, that pie is going to get chopped up real quick.