Project 538 has Clinton beating Trump by a wide margin
 

This forecast has been very accurate for the past two presidential elections. I think they got 48 states right in 2008 and 50 in 2012.

Chances of Winning Presidency

Clinton 79.2 %
Trump 20.7 %

Let the animals loose:

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...tion-forecast/

20% chance while some GFY libbies were acting as if it was 0 or 1% at best :1orglaugh

Do you understand what 20 percent means? Put in the bag 4 blue balls and 1 ball and pick one blindly. It would not come as a huge surprise if you picked red one, would it? While some anti trumpsters are talking as if it is a sure deal :1orglaugh

I can about this much who the fuck the president is...
 

Christianity traitor.

yeah same guy nate silver had trump at like 10% to win the GOP primary. he done fucked that one up didnt he???

:1orglaugh:1orglaugh:1orglaugh

By Trump. Good try

This election is unlike any before. Many of the predictions have been wrong. The algorithm has changed.

I think that was true during the primaries, but now that we are down to two candidates is back to being a much more normal election. The two big questions are whether or not Trump and rally the conservatives behind him and whether or not he can appeal to independent women and minority voters.

And how jigged the electronic voting machines will be, the chads dropping, 5,000 voters in a 500 person town...etc. :2 cents:

Those issues have been around pretty heavily in the last few elections. We didn't hear much about it in the last two because Obama won big, but in the two before there was a lot of that. If the election is close, I expect these things will come back out.

You can argue every election is unlike any other election before. In 2008 a little known Senator beat out McCain, a war hero who has held various political offices all the back to 1983.

I disagree that most of the predictions have been wrong. Seems to me this is exactly where the predictions told us we would be - With Trump making a complete ass out of himself while his party refuses to get fully behind him.

This election hasn't even started yet, and Trump is losing badly. This will be an uphill battle the entire time.

And with Trump pointing at airplanes in the sky and saying "That could be a Mexican plane up there ? they're getting ready to attack".

I am not joking. He actually said this during a speech today.

interesting that you are watching a live trump speech. but still you dont read clinton cash. see, hilary turned the state dept into a hooker parlor for crooks, & hilary was the john. for cash, she would protect a fugitive from his own country. or shift some unranium deals to some friends, who donated to the cause of hilary.

its a long list of people. in fact, today the justice dept says it needs another 27 months to investigate all the allegations into the clinton foundation, just for 1 client!

wow. thats a lot of waiting for more nothing, right rochard?

:1orglaugh

Trump's plane joke: It's Mexico 'getting ready to attack'; - POLITICO

Mexican paratroopers > LMAO Trump actually said that.

Talkin' out of his ass as usual -- they are building a new ''$60 million shopping center'' with new jobs for it's construction -- Trump is a damn property developer :upsidedow

So the light bulb factory is 50 years old and closed? But the plant still glows in the dark!

WTF?

Toxic Campaign Stop

I'm willing to place a bet that this forecast will be accurate within 4 states, hit or miss.

Any takers?