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-   -   Hillary Lead Over Trump Surges After Reuters "Tweaks" Poll (https://gfy.com/showthread.php?t=1210105)

wehateporn 08-01-2016 05:03 AM

Hillary Lead Over Trump Surges After Reuters "Tweaks" Poll
 
Over the past week, there was a troubling development for the establishment: Trump was soaring in the polls. In fact, in the widely watched, Reuters/IPSOS poll, for the first time Trump had taken an inexcusable 1 point lead following the Republican National convention.


So, as we reported last night, something had to be done. And something was done: Reuters "tweaked" its polling methodology.

As Reuters explained, "in a presidential campaign notable for its negativity, the option of ?Neither? candidate appears to be an appealing alternative, at least to participants in the Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll. Many voters on both sides have been ambivalent in their support for Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton and Republican nominee Donald Trump, complicating the task of the pollsters trying to track the race. That sentiment may help explain an apparent skew that recently emerged in the Reuters/Ipsos poll results. Given the choice, a relatively large group of voters opted for ?Neither/Other? candidate compared with other major polls, leading to an underreporting of several percentage points for one or other of the two major contenders at times in the race."

Quote:

As a result, Reuters/Ipsos is amending the wording of the choice and eliminating the word ?Neither,? bringing the option in line with other polls.
Here is the real reason for the methodology change: according to Reuters "the inclusion of the word ?Neither? is capturing Soft Trump supporters who, if given such an option, prefer not to make a choice. Here it is important to note that the soft supporter phenomenon also affects Clinton, but to a much lesser degree."

As a result, the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll - pre Friday evening - had Trump 40.2%, Clinton 38.5%, but, on a "pro forma" basis, eliminating "Neither" from the "Neither/Other" answer produced a different result. In that case, Clinton was ahead, 40% to 36%.

In other words, the real reason for the "tweak" was to push Hillary back in the lead simply due to a change in the question phrasing methodology.

With the first new poll under the new polling "approach" due to be released last night, we predicted that it would show a dramtic rebound for Hillary, just as Trump was picking up steam, and in doing so changing the entire frontrunner narrative from the ground up.

Sure enough, here are the results of the "revised" poll released on Friday night.

Continued Hillary Lead Over Trump Surges After Reuters "Tweaks" Poll | Zero Hedge

Joshua G 08-01-2016 07:37 AM

Libs always need a side of bullshit with their kool aid.

:1orglaugh

Paul Markham 08-01-2016 07:52 AM

Polling is like sticking a tail on a donkey.

http://cdn.modernfarmer.com/wp-conte...etail_hero.jpg

noshit 08-01-2016 08:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Joshua G (Post 21074080)
Libs always need a side of bullshit with their kool aid.

:1orglaugh

:1orglaugh :thumbsup:

Oh but it's fun watching the Anti-Trump Nolts post their spoon fed MSM Fabrications... They love to Sport their Dhimmitude!
Trump is up more like 25% and will win with the biggest landslide in history. It's easy to see, all you have to do is open your eyes and Look Around

The Hitlery rottenham winged marshmallows around here are all the same, they honk like Geese and Circle the Toilet..!

#TrumpTrain

.

Bladewire 08-01-2016 08:29 AM

It's all a conspiracy & Trump is a victim that just needs a "fair shake"

bronco67 08-01-2016 08:34 AM

There has never been a presidential candidate who fits the "own worst enemy" category in our nation's history. We could create a new category just for Trump.

Now that the election has shifted to the general population, and away from the mouth breathing Republican base, Trump's raging case of foot-in-mouth disease will help him dig his own grave.

and this Russia business is starting to look SHADY, especially when his campaign is run by a douche-bag with strong ties to Russia.

Joshua G 08-01-2016 09:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bronco67 (Post 21074221)

Now that the election has shifted to the general population, and away from the mouth breathing Republican base, Trump's raging case of foot-in-mouth disease will help him dig his own grave.

odd comment since he has already pulled ahead of hilary twice...AFTER clinching the nomination. dont let reality interfere with the shit you fling.

:1orglaugh

Joshua G 08-01-2016 10:04 AM

fact is, trump will win by more than the liberal media WILL EVER let on. bookmark this comment for election day & bump it, cause its the truth.

otherwise reuters wouldnt need to fudge their polls would they?

:1orglaugh

mineistaken 08-01-2016 10:37 AM

Establishment has to do something, number of puppet voters are not high enough for them to be sure of the outcome.

Joshua G 08-01-2016 10:45 AM

maybe the associated press (AP) will pull another fast one, & declare hilary the winner the night before the election...

like they did to bernie before california. :(

to read the mainstream media about trump, is the same thing as reading a nazi newspaper for the news on jews. :1orglaugh:1orglaugh:1orglaugh

Barry-xlovecam 08-01-2016 11:29 AM

Trump makes Nixon look like a statesman :1orglaugh
Donald should watch the lase 30 seconds of this vid he might learn something :2 cents:

Bladewire 08-01-2016 12:45 PM

"Those who hate you don't win, unless you hate them back, then you destroy yourself" ~ nice :thumbsup

mechanicvirus 08-01-2016 01:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Joshua G (Post 21074080)
Libs always need a side of bullshit with their kool aid.

:1orglaugh

Why do you laugh at people? What is your purpose?


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