New national poll, taken before FBI review, finds Clinton, Trump neck and neck
 

http://i.imgur.com/UyV3L7S.png

New national poll finds Clinton, Trump neck and neck - CNNPolitics.com

This ABC News/Washington Post poll was the one that had Clinton at +12 a few days ago. LMAO she has lost ten points and this is before the FBI review.

RIP SHILLARY

http://i.imgur.com/TFGeHaJ.jpg

SHE GUNNA GIT STUMPED! :thumbsup

Please don't post the Hillary and Huma sex tape.

that ABC poll is more than embarrassing. it shows the polls are 100% fudged, they do not reflect reality, just what the so called "news outlet" wanted to see.

we have no news media anymore. just liberal activists, & conservative activists, all faking journalism, faking polls, faking everything. they dont even care about the rule of law, its so important to elect hilary. disgraceful.

:2 cents:

Look at the electoral map. She is clearly ahead, by a lot. And at this point, most voters minds are likely already made up.

She can lose Florida and she'll still win. I have news for you... Hillary is going to be the next President whether you like it or not. If you don't believe that, then put your money where your mouth is, mortgage the house, and make a large bet in the betting markets cause you can get some great odds.

Here's probably the best predictive model of the election (The Winding Path to 270 Electoral Votes):
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...omo#stateorder

keep drinking the kool aid...those maps are not only fudged, they are obsolete. maybe you should consider the ENTHUSIASM of the candidates supporters in your equation. somehow you totally missed the 30 people that showed up for tim kaine in florida, or the 50 that showed up in mount kisco, hilarys town next to chappaqua.

i guess you prefer media-fudged data rather than believe your own eyes.

november 8 is going to hurt your media-dulled brain. :1orglaugh

I don't believe there is a causal relationship between how many people show up at rallies, and how the election turns out. I think its a matter of fundamentals, for whatever reason, that Republican rallies draw big audiences, and Democrat rallies do not. For example , as a whole Republicans can have a lot more enthusiasm for showing up to rallies, but that does not mean there are more people voting Republican than Democrat. It just means more people show up at rallies. The election is not decided by which party can get more people to show up to rallies. The election is decided by who can get more people to vote for them on election day, and there is a large swath of people that vote, that will never go to a rally. I believe during Obama vs Romney I was hearing the same. Romney rallies were huge, Obama's were half full. And he won by a landslide in the electoral college.

How much have you personally bet on the election? You can get some great odds if you believe so strongly about it.

FYI, I am no Hillary fan. I am just giving you the facts of life.

It is fact that the Republican turnout in the primaries was a record turnout and the Democrats had a low turnout. In fact it was damn near an even turnout nationwide despite there there bring a lot more registered dems. With that being said the pollsters aren't factoring that in. Even if they were they would still be oversampling. Clinton is behind in the polls now.. No doubt. And this is based on polls before Friday.

OK. the hilary fans are never hilary fans. LOL.

& i understand, it is conventional wisdom that rally size does not correlate to election results. 2 retorts - 1, conventional wisdom regarding the trump campaign has been consistently wrong. 2, the difference in the rally sizes is staggering, not even close to a margin of error. the real story in this election is the complete lack of emotion & enthusiam among clinton supporters. even you dont like her!

she's going to lose. because trump has more energy & enthusiams around his campaign while hilarys is almost completely a media operation, she has been in hiding most of this fall. she's run a smug, ignorant, lazy campaign based totally on celebrity & womens issues, thats not where the voters are. they want change.

im just giving you other facts of life your not looking at. :)

I don't think it matters. Primaries, rallies, you are really talking about a very passionate subset and subgroup of the population. The elections are won based upon the independents and middle voters, and the general population. People like me, who really don't give a shit and hate both candidates.

Look, Polls for the most part are accurate. Are they all accurate? Nope. But are they all wrong simultaneously? Probably not. Let's take the most extreme recent case of Brexit. 2-3 weeks before Brexit was clearly ahead in the polls, but then the week before the polls began to change, and clearly illustrated clear momentum of Brexit passing. The catalysts were in place in that last week, and the change and momentum was reflected in the polls. When that election happened, it really was a true toss up on election day. Some of the polls had begin to change and capture the momentum of the pro-Brexit vote.

If you look at all the polls today, he is behind, by a lot. And if Trump was up in the polls, we would all know about because he would be telling us how shitty Hillary is doing in the polls, just like he did to all the other Republicans during primary season (And those polls ended up predicting the results correct - didn't they?). If you believe every poll and polls in general are wrong, then you have the great financial opportunity in front of you. You can place a bet on the election and get fantastic odds, because those odds are built off of the polls which you don't trust.

If you want to know where I stand on my personal opinion, I stopped caring when Jeb Bush bowed out. He should have been the candidate, and he would have won, and I would have voted for him. I would have take him or Kasich.

Hillary is going to win, and my taxes are going to go higher. And I've accepted that.

Inde's are switching to Trump in droves.. 22pt move in 3 days (pre-friday) on ABC poll. Simply put the honeymoon is over and everyone is now asking themselves, "Who do I want to wake up to the next 4 years? A crooked lying old hag with the establishment or a playboy billionaire change agent?"

If someone were going to describe Trump, I don't think they would describe him as a "playboy billionaire." I think you may be seeing the world through rose colored lenses.

This is a man who, in the last month, has had 10+ women who have recently come out and said he sexually harrassed and/or groped them, after he got caught on a recording saying he likes to "grab them by the pussy." and that he's a celebrity and it just works like that.

Got any polls on how many women are voting for him?

Presidential Polling Data - Presidential Gender Watch

Here's a gender breakdown of polls. She tends to lead by 10-15% percent among female voters

I see lots of women on my FB feed for Trump. Loads more than I do for Hillary. Then again I rarely see any support for Hillary. As far as the claims. Most that I've seen seemed to have an ulterior motive. 1 of them invited him to campaign at her restaurant, he ignored, and months later she comes out with this.

Are they white women? Because trump has strong and growing support among white females.

Hillary Clinton loses double-digit poll lead as Trump makes headway in new survey | Daily Mail Online

That's a fairly substantial gap to overcome.

On half the population she is up by 10-15 (women). Then on the other half of the population (men), Trump is up by 5, and it shosw a net factor favorable of the gender gap to Clinton of 7-10, dependent on the poll you look at. That's pretty big.

No matter which way you look, including an averaging of the polls, the electoral map, the gender gap, minority numbers - it all points to the same thing --> a Clinton victory.

Trump loves touting poll numbers. He had no problem touting them during primary season. Now he is quiet. Gee, I wonder why.

I am highly offended by these sexist stats. Where are the genderneutrals? This is preposterous! We need a GFY safe space! :(

http://i.imgur.com/UyV3L7S.png

It's being overcome RAPIDLY. Clinton is dropping like a stone and it's only going to get worse for her.

sounds to me like you dont know, or dont care, that everything you source is in the tank for hilary. same thing as you telling me about jews with nazi press. do you understand the distortions you peddle?

i doubt it.

:error

A big gap like Clinton dropping 10pts in less than a week pre-friday? Democrat women voters will stay at home this election.

How about this...

You and Joshua G can bet me on the election, even odds. I'll take Clinton, you guys take trump. Any amount up to $10,000.