US Election - Market Trade Idea?
 

The basic prognosis is that if TRUMP wins, the MARKET will tank and GOLD will spike (perhaps upto $100/oz).

How would you play this for max gain?

Would you see it better to buy GLD or gold stocks?
Or would be better to buy the VIX or a leveraged market bear ETF?
Or would you position some buys with limits?

What's your BIG trade idea for the election?

look for new trades when vix is high. i also watch ($VXV/$VIX) ratio in prophet chart.

buy gold. buy silver.

i use options to take advantage of volatility and time decay.
bonds are at buy a here. equities are high. just my opinion.
i like to play a lot of iron condors. vertical spreads.
when buying stock i look for dividends.
keep a small non corrolating watchlist. equities, bonds, commodities, currencies

Sure am..... but wont VIX spike from here?

The physical metal or the stock?

The problem is that if the market tanks 1000 pts, won't it also drag the PM stocks down?

The problem is......

Gold is up $50 already purely on the speculation Trump MIGHT actually win.

Trump winning is definitely considered outside even though it now looks likely, the markets have not priced it in. They are pricing in a Hillary win.

If he does win, how much higher do you see GOLD?

I think a $100 pop right away would have to be on the cards, surely?

Volatility is at extreme levels. I've been selling premium.

http://i.imgur.com/ELXMqEL.png

Well that Gold trade paid off nicely but it is pulling back now.

However, US markets are opening in 2 hours so I guess many Americans will be waking up to a bowl of cornflakes and a TRUMP presidency. Right now, futures are off by around 400 points.

The question is does it flip back the other way or do we get a BIG and sustained sell off and how does Gold perform?

depends on the fake news, numbers, and the FED.
I'm still long term bearish on the market.
It's time for a major correction.
Do you think they will raise interest rates in December?
I do not, but this is what they have been waiting for.

Healthcare and Financials are up pre-market.