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-   -   Trump takes the lead in ABC poll (https://gfy.com/showthread.php?t=1225426)

onwebcam 11-01-2016 11:41 AM

Trump takes the lead in ABC poll
 
13pt shift in a week and a half

METHODOLOGY

This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by landline and cellular telephone Oct. 27-30, 2016, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 1,128
likely voters. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3 points, including the design effect. Partisan divisions are 38-28-29 percent, Democrats-Republicans-independents.

http://www.langerresearch.com/wp-con...ackingNo10.pdf

Notice it is now a 10 percent oversampling between republicans and democrats. The current make-up for this election is more along the lines of 30-30-40 Democrats-Republicans-independents

JFK 11-01-2016 11:43 AM

OH NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO :helpme
"I speak for Canada and the rest of the world when I say : I am completely fucking STUNNED beyond belief."

Coup 11-01-2016 11:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by onwebcam (Post 21263611)
13pt shift in a week and a half

Ouch. :winkwink:

onwebcam 11-01-2016 11:49 AM

Now every liberal news outlet out there is pushing the Trump wins popular and Hillary electoral. Just as I figured it's not going to end Nov. 8th..

2MuchMark 11-01-2016 11:50 AM

Hillary will win.

Bladewire 11-01-2016 11:56 AM

It's a shame for the GOP that more Democrats have voted early than Republicans so far :(

beerptrol 11-01-2016 11:57 AM

It's a good poll when it shows Trump doing well. It's biased and unfair when Hillary is ahead!

Bladewire 11-01-2016 12:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by beerptrol (Post 21263686)
It's a good poll when it shows Trump doing well. It's biased and unfair when Hillary is ahead!

It will be nice come November 9th , regardless of who wins though gonna be a tough 4 years, if we make it that far.

bronco67 11-01-2016 12:05 PM

Trump has to win almost all of the swing states (in electoral votes BITCHES because that's what determines the winner!!!!) and Hilary only needs one. Two or three in the tightest scenario. The election will be over in the early evening of November 8th when one of the major swing states goes into Hilary's column.

I'm predicting 300 vs 238, and that's being very generous to the racist, white nationalist candidate who was just endorsed by the KKK's newspaper.

Are you idiots going to tell me that the next president of the United STates of America is also the candidate endorsed by almost all white supremacists? Not going to happen, dickheads.

onwebcam 11-01-2016 12:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by beerptrol (Post 21263686)
It's a good poll when it shows Trump doing well. It's biased and unfair when Hillary is ahead!

It's still biased. The last 3 polls they've increased democrats polled 1%. They are also polling democrats by percentage as if they were independents. So the reality is Hillary is actually probably 10pts down.

As I've said before.. Trump is going to win popular and the establishment will give her electoral and this will drag out likely past inauguration.

Joshua G 11-01-2016 12:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bronco67 (Post 21263719)
Trump has to win almost all of the swing states (in electoral votes BITCHES because that's what determines the winner!!!!) and Hilary only needs one. Two or three in the tightest scenario. The election will be over in the early evening of November 8th when one of the major swing states goes into Hilary's column.

I'm predicting 300 vs 238, and that's being very generous to the racist, white nationalist candidate who was just endorsed by the KKK's newspaper.

Are you idiots going to tell me that the next president of the United STates of America is also the candidate endorsed by almost all white supremacists? Not going to happen, dickheads.

You talk like an affirmative action kiddie...you know, you got C grades to get into state college that everyone else got A's...

Now get back in your ignorant safe space, libbie.

:1orglaugh

Joshua G 11-01-2016 12:37 PM

OP most major polls give greater weight to dems because they have more registered voters. Of course, turnout is the key, & the place polls go haywire (or get fudged)

Previous ABC polls with the 12 point spread had the GOP weight at 26%, so lately they stopped fudging the GOP pool.

bronco67 11-01-2016 12:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Joshua G (Post 21263815)
OP most major polls give greater weight to dems because they have more registered voters. Of course, turnout is the key, & the place polls go haywire (or get fudged)

Previous ABC polls with the 12 point spread had the GOP weight at 26%, so lately they stopped fudging the GOP pool.

OMG...shut your stupid mouth you mongoloid.

flashfire 11-01-2016 01:00 PM

polls are now an exact science according to Trump and his supporters...got it

electoral map though, RIGGED!

Joshua G 11-01-2016 01:16 PM

boy you dumb libs have a hurtin coming in 7 days. mark prince is the only one i see who got out of the liberal ozone & sees the writing on the wall.

kudos mark. :)

Coup 11-01-2016 01:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by beerptrol (Post 21263686)
It's biased and unfair when Hillary is ahead!

No one said it wasn't biased. It is pretty interesting that a poll that, as far as I'm aware, has always show hillary to be a front runner no longer does.

onwebcam 11-01-2016 03:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by flashfire (Post 21263896)
polls are now an exact science according to Trump and his supporters...got it

electoral map though, RIGGED!

You keep missing the point that he's winning on rigged/oversampled polls.


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