OHIO PREDICTIONS (lived all over this state for 13yrs, why not?)
 

lived all over this state in the last 13 yrs and have a pretty good feel for each 5 major cities (Cleveland, Akron, Columbus, Dayton, Cincinnati)...

these are all assumptions but figured i'd throw them out...

Cleveland = Kerry
Cincinnati = Bush (media CLAIMS to be swaying to Kerry, but I just don't buy it, too close to the border and hickville territories)
Akron = toss-up
Dayton = seems to be leaning Bush gauging from everyone I know in this area, probably talked with over 300 people from various age groups, small pool of people of course but just what i've taken in.
Columbus = The real decider, but I think it will lean to the Bush side simply based on overall history of the state, and a few other influences.

Ohio filled senate seat in 2000 with Republican candidate, and is notable that Ohio is a state no Republican has ever lost and gone onto win the White House.

Much of the advertising has in Ohio has been focused on the job market, as Ohio has been hit pretty hard in the industrial/manufacturing sectors for employment figures.

The major thing that really really skews all of these thoughts is the 1 million NEW voters registered in this state for this election. Based on the fact that nearly 15 college students I know have registered for this election and voting in the last 2 weeks, I believe its a logical assumption that this 1 million new voters is comprised of LOADS of college students. University of Cincinnati, Ohio State Univeristy, Univeristy of Akron, Miami University, University of Ohio, University of Toledo..... Ohio has a very large demographic of telecommuniting/seasonal residents due to this educational base, so the "tilt" that may make the sway could be the younger voters.

Just thoughts, we'll see how she goes, but I honestly think in the end it will lean to Bush, gettin nervous.

FF

Very informative post I still have hopes for Kerry though...

just announced Ohio republican senator George Voinovich back in office for another term....

FF

i used to live in Cleveland for 4 yrs (moved 5 yrs ago), and everyone i still know in Ohio (family and friends) are all voting for Kerry. Even replublicans are joining the Dem.'s in this election.

Theres hope, for sure. :glugglug

ya no doubt cleveland is the democratic stronghold of the state, columbus is republican base... the cincy/dayton/akron and new voters will really determine it (i think anyway)...

Akron = lived there for 9 years, really hvae no idea, but I'll assume Kerry since its only 30 miles from Cleveland and comparable economic/lifestyles.

Dayton = lived here for 4 years, I'd once again assume Bush, 40 miles south of me.

Cincy is the rub..... 40 miles south of me (in dayton), much bigger in population (2-3x), large African American community and also right on the border of of hickville w.viriginia.

South of Columbus is an entirely different area then Northern Ohio.....

FF
FF

fuck man they just said if its really close it could take till 5am tonight OR 10 EXTRA DAYS to calculate Ohio :(

FF

holy shit I just woke up fell alseep in my spaghetti been awake for a good 26 hours wtfwtwfwtwf is goin on?!?

FF

I lived in Cleveland and the suburbs for ten years. I just moved away a little over a year ago. Despite the supposed surge of people voting for Kerry, I don't hold out too much hope for him to take Ohio. The state is just too conservative overall. Don't forget, the "Democratic stronghold" (Cleveland) had Republican Voinovich as mayor then put him into the governer's mansion and then into the Senate. Also, local votes almost always swing conservative (think riverboat gambling).

SpaceAce