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-   -   my NFL football picks for the weekend (https://gfy.com/showthread.php?t=553363)

aflex 12-16-2005 10:05 PM

my NFL football picks for the weekend
 
some of you have followed my picks and have asked for updates.. i'm not as big time as boneprone but my picks are usually good.. i have a proven system! :thumbsup anyway here we go:

NY Giants -2.5
Chargers +8
49ers +16
Steelers -4
Raiders -3
Packers +3.5

*I'm not responsible if you lose with my picks, but i'll gladly take a cut if you win :winkwink:

pr0 12-16-2005 10:07 PM

what you got on the skins?

aflex 12-16-2005 10:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pr0
what you got on the skins?

Looks like Dallas +3 but i really dont recommend that game

pr0 12-16-2005 10:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by aflex
Looks like Dallas +3 but i really dont recommend that game

too many variables?

aflex 12-16-2005 10:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pr0
too many variables?

that game just isnt working well with my system.. the games i posted all come back as hits..

SomeCreep 12-16-2005 10:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by aflex
some of you have followed my picks and have asked for updates.. i'm not as big time as boneprone but my picks are usually good.. i have a proven system! :thumbsup anyway here we go:

NY Giants -2.5
Chargers +8
49ers +16
Steelers -4
Raiders -3
Packers +3.5

*I'm not responsible if you lose with my picks, but i'll gladly take a cut if you win :winkwink:

What's your track record?

xx-xx-xx (wins-loses-pushes)

Vitasoy 12-16-2005 10:25 PM

Yikes.. I have the all the total opposite in my pool. What's your pick record this year?

aflex 12-16-2005 10:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SomeCreep
What's your track record?

xx-xx-xx (wins-loses-pushes)

12-4-1 with this new system (over 3 weeks) :thumbsup

aflex 12-16-2005 10:29 PM

heres last weeks - i posted them last thursday too, 3 days before the games.
http://www.gfyboard.com/showthread.php?t=549808
"I left my picks at the office , but I do remember picking the following:

Jets +3 (yeah, im crazy, but my formula says its a win)
Jaguars +9 (same formula)
Eagles +9.5
Dolphins +13.5

Looks like a bunch of losers to me, but my formula is solid.."

throw 5 bucks on my picks.. good luck

gecko 12-16-2005 10:34 PM

You think indy will rest their players?

Sosa 12-16-2005 10:43 PM

similar to the picks I would make

aflex 12-16-2005 11:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sosa
similar to the picks I would make

great minds think alike

Alex 12-16-2005 11:30 PM

What is this formula you speak off?

I have been getting down my NBA picks really solid. But NFL i have the occasional miss-pick.

StickyGreen 12-16-2005 11:35 PM

the Under on the ATL/CHI game = money in the bank

aflex 12-16-2005 11:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alex
What is this formula you speak off?

I have been getting down my NBA picks really solid. But NFL i have the occasional miss-pick.

a great man taught me it.. cant reveal it :winkwink:

StickyGreen 12-16-2005 11:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by aflex
some of you have followed my picks and have asked for updates.. i'm not as big time as boneprone but my picks are usually good.. i have a proven system! :thumbsup anyway here we go:

NY Giants -2.5
Chargers +8
49ers +16
Steelers -4
Raiders -3
Packers +3.5

*I'm not responsible if you lose with my picks, but i'll gladly take a cut if you win :winkwink:

chiefs are gonna fuck the giants up...

aflex 12-16-2005 11:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by StickyGreen
chiefs are gonna fuck the giants up...

wanna go $20 paypal straight up bet?

i take giants to win, you pay me if giants win

you take chiefs to win, i pay you if chiefs win..

SomeCreep 12-16-2005 11:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by aflex
wanna go $20 paypal straight up bet?

i take giants to win, you pay me if giants win

you take chiefs to win, i pay you if chiefs win..

I've done the research on that game. I'm not betting on it, because IMO, it's a coin flip.

StickyGreen 12-16-2005 11:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by aflex
wanna go $20 paypal straight up bet?

i take giants to win, you pay me if giants win

you take chiefs to win, i pay you if chiefs win..

naw i'm cool, i already got all my picks in wit betonusa.com. i bet on pretty much every game this weekend...

aflex 12-17-2005 12:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by StickyGreen
naw i'm cool, i already got all my picks in wit betonusa.com. i bet on pretty much every game this weekend...

all good :)

SomeCreep 12-17-2005 12:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by aflex
12-4-1 with this new system (over 3 weeks) :thumbsup

That's a great track record so far. It will be interesting to see what your track record is after 100 games.

aflex 12-17-2005 12:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SomeCreep
That's a great track record so far. It will be interesting to see what your track record is after 100 games.

i agree.. could be a fluke, but im still going at it.. i have 5units on the Steelers

Kevsh 12-17-2005 12:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by aflex
i have a proven system

Don't we all ....

When your "system" works over a whole season, then you should brag
Anyone can get hot for a few weeks :)

btw, for the most part I like your picks but I have a general rule in almost never betting on very bad teams, regardless of the points I get. SF definetly fits into that category.

StickyGreen 12-17-2005 12:16 AM

I think Pittsburgh is pretty safe, first of all because they are simply a better team than minnesota...and second of all the vikings have won 6 in a row so they are most likely due for a loss...

aflex 12-17-2005 12:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kevsh
Don't we all ....

When your "system" works over a whole season, then you should brag
Anyone can get hot for a few weeks :)

btw, for the most part I like your picks but I have a general rule in almost never betting on very bad teams, regardless of the points I get. SF definetly fits into that category.

i could care less about if a team is "bad" team.. follow the spreads

aflex 12-17-2005 12:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by StickyGreen
I think Pittsburgh is pretty safe, first of all because they are simply a better team than minnesota...and second of all the vikings have won 6 in a row so they are most likely due for a loss...

Vikings covered spread the last 6 weeks.. theye overdue.

detoxed 12-17-2005 01:28 AM

Giants are an easy bet, fuck your Chargers pick

UniqueMovies 12-17-2005 01:36 AM

1) BET ID=139188044
Parlay (3 Teams) 12/16/05 20:02 ET
Buccaneers(TampaBay)
Patriots(NewEngland) 12/17/05 (13:30 ET)
Patriots(NewEngland) -4 (-125)
Bought 1.0 point(s)

Cardinals(Arizona)
Texans(Houston) 12/18/05 (13:05 ET)
Cardinals(Arizona) -2 (-105)

Eagles(Philadelphia)
Rams(StLouis) 12/18/05 (13:05 ET)
Rams(StLouis) -3 (-120)
Bought 0.5 point(s)


2) BET ID=139187646
Straight Wager 12/16/05 20:00 ET
Eagles(Philadelphia)
Rams(StLouis) 12/18/05 (13:05 ET)
Rams(StLouis) -3 (-120)
Bought 0.5 point(s)


3) BET ID=139187425
Straight Wager 12/16/05 19:59 ET
Cardinals(Arizona)
Texans(Houston) 12/18/05 (13:05 ET)
Cardinals(Arizona) -2 (-105)


4) BET ID=139187200
Straight Wager 12/16/05 19:59 ET
Buccaneers(TampaBay)
Patriots(NewEngland) 12/17/05 (13:30 ET)
Patriots(NewEngland) -4 (-125)
Bought 1.0 point(s)

aflex 12-17-2005 01:39 AM

UniqueMovies, just wondering, why those games?

Philly defense might rough that Rams rookie QB up pretty good..id stay away

UniqueMovies 12-17-2005 01:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by aflex
UniqueMovies, just wondering, why those games?

Philly defense might rough that Rams rookie QB up pretty good..id stay away

http://www.sportsline.com/nfl/gamece...051218_PHI@STL

bdld 12-17-2005 01:43 AM

i like the chargers covering the spread this week, must win game for them.

adonthenet 12-17-2005 02:09 AM

id change 1 or 2 in your picks :)

StickyGreen 12-17-2005 02:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bdld
i like the chargers covering the spread this week, must win game for them.

you're trippin, all of the colts starters are playing...

Sosa 12-17-2005 02:45 PM

1 for 1 so far :)

aflex 12-17-2005 06:16 PM

Giants win.. =]

Dagwolf 12-17-2005 06:17 PM

I don't have time to watch football.

StickyGreen 12-17-2005 06:17 PM

damn, the fucken chiefs can't tackle worth shit...

StickyGreen 12-17-2005 06:18 PM

damn, the fucken chiefs can't tackle worth shit...

StickyGreen 12-17-2005 06:18 PM

damn, the fucken chiefs can't tackle worth shit...

Doctor Dre 12-17-2005 06:20 PM

Why is everybody talking about their picks lately ? like they got the answer to everything... I mean, the bookies always knows best

aflex 12-17-2005 06:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by StickyGreen
damn, the fucken chiefs can't tackle worth shit...

lol good thing you didnt bet me too

aflex 12-17-2005 06:31 PM

id stay away from this denver game..

makefuckingmoney 12-17-2005 11:05 PM

i took the bears minus 3.5 on sunday night

Alex 12-17-2005 11:22 PM

I took [312] JACKSONVILLE -13

Reason being is that the 49ers have no reason to show up tomorrow.

1. They are not going to playoffs.
2. They want a lower record, the only chance they have next year is getting Reggie Bush in the draft. They have to be last.

I think that is the problem you didnt address in some of your picks. When it is the end of the season, you have to look at what is riding on the line for both teams.
49ers .

Same goes for the Texans, Chargers, and the Colts this weekend.

The texans although having a chance against Atlanta. Do not want to win. They want to keep thier losing record. Take Atlanta +3.5, the texans will keep it a close game, so a field goal is safe in case they decide to win.

As for the Chargers, you must be crazy if you think they have a chance of winning.
I dont know who said that, but betting against the Colts, especially with ONLY a +7 spread is idiotic. I have a lot of units on the Colts.

[307] PITTSBURGH -3½-115
[310] INDIANAPOLIS -6½-120 (B+½)
[312] JACKSONVILLE -13-170 (B+3)
[313] SEATTLE -6½-130 (B+½)
[315] ARIZONA -2-110
[317] NY JETS +9-110
[320] NEW ORLEANS +9½-110
[321] DALLAS +2½-110
[324] DETROIT +8½-110
326] OAKLAND -2½-140 (B+½)
[328] ST. LOUIS -2½-140 (B+½)
[329] ATLANTA +3½-110 (B+½)

Comment on my picks if you disagree

wdsguy 12-17-2005 11:31 PM

went 2-0 today on the NE and Denver games.

Got a couple of parlays depending on tomm's games.

UniqueMovies 12-18-2005 12:39 AM

nobody bet on the Pats? sucks to be you guys! I did well today.

Sosa 12-18-2005 12:47 AM

I got the pats. Won a teaser with broncos and pistons also. Need seahawks tomorrow to win another 4 team teaser. Only lost on the over for the chiefs/giants game. Still a nice profit for today.

aflex 12-18-2005 12:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alex
I took [312] JACKSONVILLE -13

Reason being is that the 49ers have no reason to show up tomorrow.

1. They are not going to playoffs.
2. They want a lower record, the only chance they have next year is getting Reggie Bush in the draft. They have to be last.

I think that is the problem you didnt address in some of your picks. When it is the end of the season, you have to look at what is riding on the line for both teams.
49ers .

Same goes for the Texans, Chargers, and the Colts this weekend.

The texans although having a chance against Atlanta. Do not want to win. They want to keep thier losing record. Take Atlanta +3.5, the texans will keep it a close game, so a field goal is safe in case they decide to win.

As for the Chargers, you must be crazy if you think they have a chance of winning.
I dont know who said that, but betting against the Colts, especially with ONLY a +7 spread is idiotic. I have a lot of units on the Colts.

[307] PITTSBURGH -3½-115
[310] INDIANAPOLIS -6½-120 (B+½)
[312] JACKSONVILLE -13-170 (B+3)
[313] SEATTLE -6½-130 (B+½)
[315] ARIZONA -2-110
[317] NY JETS +9-110
[320] NEW ORLEANS +9½-110
[321] DALLAS +2½-110
[324] DETROIT +8½-110
326] OAKLAND -2½-140 (B+½)
[328] ST. LOUIS -2½-140 (B+½)
[329] ATLANTA +3½-110 (B+½)

Comment on my picks if you disagree

I have 49ers +16.. i simply feel theyll cover the spread.. the players/staff on that team are professionals.. Jaguars have had one blowout all year, verse Baltimore.. my system has SF covering spread.. also Chargers came back as a win in my system.. had to go with it.. lets see if it works though. i like your New Orleans pick

UniqueMovies 12-18-2005 01:36 AM

Do you guys feel the Arizona Cardinals -2 and StLouis Rams -3 are solid bets for this weekend?

aflex 12-18-2005 01:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by UniqueMovies
Do you guys feel the Arizona Cardinals -2 and StLouis Rams -3 are solid bets for this weekend?

nope better ones out there


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