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JFK 07-22-2011 02:05 PM

One Fitty ownages:pimp

TheDoc 07-22-2011 02:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Vendzilla (Post 18300862)
2% is huge, but he only had something to do with a small part of that 2%

He had nothing to do with that 2% at all. Even if he spent all the money on it, and it went perfectly, you still wouldn't notice the increase.

It's a stimulus bill, setup to "stimulate" something. $30 billion wouldn't make that 2% move for shit, it would only stimulate the market so it has the money to grow - within itself! Again - to stimulate - not force grow! Then $50b in research, means we're waiting like 10 years for results.

That's how it works, the Internet didn't fire up over night... it was researched, invested, and built up over like a 30 year period. Lucky for us, we can now reduced that down to less than 10 years, because of technology.

If he dumped money into it, forced States to hire the labor, and did something major like the interstate project, then you would see the numbers change. But in todays money, that's going to cost a hell of a lot more than what the stimulus package has.

Just Alex 07-22-2011 02:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Vendzilla (Post 18300468)
I guess you can't read can you

Education makes you educated, not smart

Smart has to do with Intelligence Quotient, it's a mathematical equation thats based on mental age over chronological age, if you are as smart as a 20 year old and are 20 years old, you have the IQ of 100. Your IQ never changes, according to most studies, but I question that sometimes on this forum

Given you're short sided rebuttal and inability to read, I would say your IQ is around 95.

I'll keep my responses short, I have work to do

Oh I've read your posts a few times and most of them are border line retarded. obviously, you think of yourself as a smart one thus was my question.
When I asked you about "how mexicans get on welfare program without valid ss number" you posted link to baby anchor article. Kinda makes me think it your IQ score came back negative.

And you don't have any work "top do". You've been posting here all day long. No wonder you're so successful with bouncing around from one gig to another.

Vendzilla 07-22-2011 02:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Just Alex (Post 18300945)
Oh I've read your posts a few times and most of them are border line retarded. obviously, you think of yourself as a smart one thus was my question.
When I asked you about "how mexicans get on welfare program without valid ss number" you posted link to baby anchor article. Kinda makes me think it your IQ score came back negative.

And you don't have any work "top do". You've been posting here all day long. No wonder you're so successful with bouncing around from one gig to another.

Love how you're here just to attack me, you should know that someone has already been banned in this thread for that.
So next time you want to compare IQ's, you might want to come prepared

marketsmart 07-22-2011 03:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by wig (Post 18300611)
Here again, I'm curious... when you say this are you simply talking Chrysler / GM or are you talking literally "any" of the bailouts.

I can agree that letting GM / Chrysler fail would have hurt but not been the death knell. But if you mean the whole thing, I'm curious how you would have envisioned it playing out.

Marketsmart is so far avoiding answering the question, resting instead on the vague and simple statement of "i dont fully believe the story that was sold to the people".

I'm not sure what that means or what can be gleaned from that. You want to add something?


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i dont believe the credit markets would have collapsed and i dont care what anyone in banking or govt has to say otherwise. we will never know because it didnt happen..

what i do think is that this made up collapse was a way for the banks to shift all of their toxic debts off the books and get the govt to clean up their mess..

banking executives made billions off of the derivitive market basically committing fraud by selling assets as A rated when they were in fact D- at best..

banking C's ceo' cfo etc.. should have been sent to prison..

but instead the govt cleaned up the mess with taxpayer money..

on top of that, the fed continues to give banks money at 0%..

that is utter bullshit..

i can go on and on.. but this is why i would have let the banks fail because in reality i dont think anything would have happened.. this was a controlled demolition of taxpayer money..






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Just Alex 07-22-2011 03:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Vendzilla (Post 18300988)
Love how you're here just to attack me, you should know that someone has already been banned in this thread for that.
So next time you want to compare IQ's, you might want to come prepared

Wow, Im the one attacking you and talking about IQ? How about you read some of your post first.
Its not the IQ got you pissed, the one about work. Isn't it?

TheDoc 07-22-2011 03:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by marketsmart (Post 18301091)
i dont believe the credit markets would have collapsed and i dont care what anyone in banking or govt has to say otherwise. we will never know because it didnt happen..

what i do think is that this made up collapse was a way for the banks to shift all of their toxic debts off the books and get the govt to clean up their mess..

banking executives made billions off of the derivitive market basically committing fraud by selling assets as A rated when they were in fact D- at best..

banking C's ceo' cfo etc.. should have been sent to prison..

but instead the govt cleaned up the mess with taxpayer money..

on top of that, the fed continues to give banks money at 0%..

that is utter bullshit..

i can go on and on.. but this is why i would have let the banks fail because in reality i dont think anything would have happened.. this was a controlled demolition of taxpayer money..

.

Totally... Many people forget a bank can't really fail unless the reserve fails. They're absorbed into the single corporation that they all fall under, the federal reserve. A bank simply creates separation between the citizens and the central bank. So them failing, just goes right back to the fed either way. Let'em fail!!!

Bailout wise, let's also not forget to point out that we bailed out international corporations, banks, and insurance companies, that were not located in America at all.

Another one that should have failed is the Airlines. But it was played off as the Industry, when the Industry wasn't dead. The few good ones, which are rather good, would have came out strong, but this stopped them from doing that.... I would have love to have seen it happen, I still want it to happen, it still needs to happen.

Auto Industry should have failed as well, if they were going to bail anyone out it should have been the companies that backbone off of them, that hire a major amount of the work force - in America. We have more than the big 3, two could fail giving us one big one and plenty of small ones. If they really wanted to help, they should have invested in already smaller established, American car companies matching those with backbone companies, that could have used the money to manufacture more cars, thus creating jobs, and holding them when they could meet the demand.

The last bailout happened so damn fast... how anyone knew what could have or would have happened, on either side of the fence, is beyond me. And we can see now, theft of our tax dollars is exactly what happened - and enough reason to why it shouldn't have happened.

Edit: I forgot one, wall street firms... fail bastards, fail.. they shouldn't have been allowed to stay alive. Don't care who backs our mortgages at banks, that's part of the reason we had the issue in the first place... let'em all fail then close the rest of them down for just being douche bags.

Vendzilla 07-22-2011 03:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Just Alex (Post 18301116)
Wow, Im the one attacking you and talking about IQ? How about you read some of your post first.
Its not the IQ got you pissed, the one about work. Isn't it?

You act like a gun thats full of blanks, you make a bunch of noise but are completely useless.

your IQ has just gone down to ignore

wig 07-22-2011 05:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDoc (Post 18300681)
It's not really complex... the bailout did not solve, fix or correct anything, it did however create problems, a trillion and a half worth of them - during a time when we were at war, spending more than we already had.

So your contention is that the bailout did not solve the problem of frozen credit markets where companies and countries (like Brazil) who had nothing to do with CDS's, etc. found themselves unable to meet their obligations since they could not use the normal credit market.

Sorry, but it did fix that problem and all the other commentary you offered after that is just that, commentary.

Quote:

This also created a stronger monopoly for the banks and wall street firms, basically nationalizing them in micro ways, handing over 95% of the mortgage loans in our Country to a single firm that is fully managed by the fed, while allowing banks to collect more land rights. Basically, the bailout handed our Country over to corps.

Failing would have kept the power in the hands of the people... and let the free market pickup the slack, bad banks would have went belly up and good banks would have picked up the slack, which does happen when corps or industries start to fall, all over the world.

What wouldn't have happened is a major rebound in stocks, it would have taken longer, much longer - if they ever rebounded again. And without those money flowing towards those investments, it would have moved into local markets, like they naturally do, which benefit us much more than any market investment ever will.

It would have been tough at first, and most of us would have probably lost everything we invested... but we crawled out of that heap of a mess, we would have crawled out either way. I like to think the future without corps pulling every string, might be a little better than the shit hole we have to deal with today.
It would have been more than just tough at first. What your talking about experiencing is the great depression (same basic economics at play) but times 10. I think that is the difference that I'm driving at.

And the idea that the future wouldn't have corps pulling the strings after a collapse doesn't seem obvious to me either.

I still have not heard a reasonable explanation for why collapse would have been better.


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marketsmart 07-22-2011 06:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by wig (Post 18301260)
It would have been more than just tough at first. What your talking about experiencing is the great depression (same basic economics at play) but times 10. I think that is the difference that I'm driving at.

And the idea that the future wouldn't have corps pulling the strings after a collapse doesn't seem obvious to me either.

I still have not heard a reasonable explanation for why collapse would have been better.


.


no, i disagree.. we have been trying to use economic principles used during the depression and they dont work..

you are talking opinion here and not based on anything other than what economists and other so called experts are telling you..

we have no idea what would have happened if we let the banks fail..

i believe that backed into a corner, the banks would have figured out how to survive without the bailout..

it is my opinion that this entire scenario was deliberate..

go watch a few of the better documentaries out there and you might change your mind..

and i am not talking about tinfoil shit, i am talking about what led to this in the first place and how the banks knew exactly how this would play out..

i would have rather faced the consequences of a global collapse than do what the govt did..

and btw, letting the banks have money at 0% has not freed up the credit markets one bit...





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Just Alex 07-22-2011 06:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Vendzilla (Post 18301124)
You act like a gun thats full of blanks, you make a bunch of noise but are completely useless.

your IQ has just gone down to ignore

How much actual WORK have you done today, machine gun Kelly?

TheDoc 07-22-2011 07:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by wig (Post 18301260)
So your contention is that the bailout did not solve the problem of frozen credit markets where companies and countries (like Brazil) who had nothing to do with CDS's, etc. found themselves unable to meet their obligations since they could not use the normal credit market.

Sorry, but it did fix that problem and all the other commentary you offered after that is just that, commentary.

You can call them frozen credit markets, they were frozen. But they were more injected credit markets, where more money was created, the supply increased, and money flow moving again.

The market would have supplied for Brazil as they have an economy that produces and consumes.

And an economy where the people and business have to survive on credit, really has no economic future.

Less banks is never a good thing for a Country, it creates problems were a few control the money flow, which is a very bad thing for the future of any Country or economy.


Quote:

Originally Posted by wig (Post 18301260)
It would have been more than just tough at first. What your talking about experiencing is the great depression (same basic economics at play) but times 10. I think that is the difference that I'm driving at.

And the idea that the future wouldn't have corps pulling the strings after a collapse doesn't seem obvious to me either.

I still have not heard a reasonable explanation for why collapse would have been better.

It's not really possible to be like the great depression. If our economy was like it was back then, then yes.. but today we produce, we generate revenue, we have several sustainable revenue generating markets that only need money flow to keep going.

The right corps go down, an extreme shift of power happens, and I don't think it would be to one corp but to many, thus splitting up the influence they have, giving us back a little bit for once.


Well, if every time my kid screwed up really bad, if I gave up a $100 and a ice cream, he's going to think it's okay to screw up again. So the first few times he just tests it, to see how giving I am, then he hammers it... and I bark, but I bail him out, then the nasty really comes down, and I do it again. Logically, me, you and nobody is going to stop, we have no reason to stop - and damn sure no fat cat, super ass greedy, super corp, multi-billionaire that currently about to fuck the entire country over for 1/3 of our countries wealth. Lessons have to be learned and sometimes you just have to cut them off, or they'll keep taking, and taking, and taking. And that's why it happened, and that's why it will happen again, it will only stop, once we stop feeding them our money!

It would have been better because this would have finally stopped... everything after that, is us doing it differently, so speculating on exactly how or what, isn't possible, as it hasn't ever happened in an economy as developed as ours.

Tempest 07-22-2011 07:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by marketsmart (Post 18301091)
i would have let the banks fail because in reality i dont think anything would have happened..

You mean like in Iceland?

Rochard 07-22-2011 09:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JamesGw (Post 18297980)
No one really knows what would have happened without the bailout. I think we'd be a bit worse off now, but it probably would have lessened the collapse that I think is coming in the next 10 years.

No one knows what would have happened with the bailout. At the same time, no one knows how we would have been if McCain and Palin were in the White House.

I look at it this way - Japan had some economic issues during the 1990s and their government did nothing, and their economy refused to grow. They call it the "lost decade". We could have done the same.... And done nothing.

Who the fuck knows.

Agent 488 07-22-2011 09:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rochard (Post 18301548)
Japan had some economic issues during the 1990s and their government did nothing, and their economy refused to grow. They call it the "lost decade". We could have done the same.... And done nothing.

incorrect.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lost_Decade_(Japan)

actually japan did very similar things that the US did.

Joshua G 07-22-2011 11:24 PM

wowsers. people still questioning if the bailout would have prevented collapse.

The banking system runs on credit. The credit markets allow banks to loan to each other & keep the system liquid.

When the banks had massive exposure to derivatives traded in dark markets, nobody knew what risk the banks were carrying. As a result, the credit market froze, as no bank could trust one another that they would exist much longer.

all of the publics liquid assets like checking & savings accounts. Some of this money is held in reserve. Some is guaranteed by the FDIC. However neither of these safeguards have anywhere near sufficient capital to deal with a frozen credit market.

additionally, most large corporations utilize large pools of credit to main inventories, pay employees, hedge energy costs etc.

If the credit market ceases to function, most of the functions of the banking system, & all businesses dependent on credit, simply stop functioning. There is not nearly enough cash in reserve to meet the needs of the economy in absence of credit.

When credit transactions stop, & banks are no longer able to pay out cash on the numbers in peoples bank accounts, panic will ensue. Only people who hold cash & guns will be able to participate in the economy. So drug dealers will do very well.

The people that control the printing press are the only people that could solve the problem. Thats exactly what they did, before time allowed the calamity to unfold.

bottom line is that there is no alternate explanation as to what would happen in absence of the bailouts, because the bailouts were the only thing that could be done, short of returning to the 19th century in 2 -3 months.

wig 07-23-2011 05:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by marketsmart (Post 18301327)
no, i disagree.. we have been trying to use economic principles used during the depression and they dont work..

you are talking opinion here and not based on anything other than what economists and other so called experts are telling you..

That seems inconsistent with the data. When money was tightened during the great depression is when the shit really hit the fan. Based on that mistake, that has been avoided and we have had different results so far. It may have other consequences in the future, but these facts are clear.

And while some of all of this is based on opinions, there is also a good deal of empirical data to take into account.

Quote:

we have no idea what would have happened if we let the banks fail..

i believe that backed into a corner, the banks would have figured out how to survive without the bailout..
Many of the banks who received capital injections didn't need it and didn't want to take it, so yes it is possible that some would have survived, but that's not the point. Investment banks... well Lehman did fail and the result was plain to see, not just opinion. AIG, pretty much the sole insurer of all the CDS's wasn't in a position to figure out how to survive. It is just a brute fact that when the market place saw the contagion unfolding no body was letting go of any money, period. It was a matter of confidence withing the whole system and confidence is a fragile thing. It wasn't merely a coincidence that the credit markets unfroze when massive liquidity was injected.

Quote:

it is my opinion that this entire scenario was deliberate..
Great, conspiracy theory. :1orglaugh

Quote:

go watch a few of the better documentaries out there and you might change your mind..
Sure, point me to the documentaries that you think are "better" and while your at it point out the ones that are not.

Quote:

and i am not talking about tinfoil shit, i am talking about what led to this in the first place and how the banks knew exactly how this would play out..
Hanlon's Razor

Quote:

i would have rather faced the consequences of a global collapse than do what the govt did..
Perhaps "global collapse" means different things to different people. I find it hard to believe you unless you are naive about the consequences, which I don't think you are. I'll just chalk it up to hyperbole.

Unless one is spouseless, childless, penniless and has a cabin in the woods of Colorado with all the preparation still in place from Y2K, it makes no sense in real terms.

Quote:

and btw, letting the banks have money at 0% has not freed up the credit markets one bit...
I'm not sure what you are referring to but as far as the bailout money goes it was not at 0%. And it is demonstrably false that the credit markets were not freed up one bit.


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wig 07-23-2011 06:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDoc (Post 18301471)
You can call them frozen credit markets, they were frozen. But they were more injected credit markets, where more money was created, the supply increased, and money flow moving again.

Mkay. I did and they were. Not sure what the point is.

Quote:

The market would have supplied for Brazil as they have an economy that produces and consumes.
Again, not sure what this means. It is a brute fact that non-bank entities who were not even directly exposed to derivatives quickly found that they could not meet their obligations.

Quote:

And an economy where the people and business have to survive on credit, really has no economic future.
Well, the world is in trouble then isn't it? How far should we go back in time to view a sample economy without credit so we know what model of economics you think we'd be better off with?

Quote:

Less banks is never a good thing for a Country, it creates problems were a few control the money flow, which is a very bad thing for the future of any Country or economy.
Do you see anyone arguing for less banks? I don't. It's not relevant to the discussion. But, as an aside, consider Canada.

Quote:

It's not really possible to be like the great depression. If our economy was like it was back then, then yes.. but today we produce, we generate revenue, we have several sustainable revenue generating markets that only need money flow to keep going.
Huh? There was production, revenue generation, blah blah in the early 20th century. WTF are you talking about?

One reason it could be worse today is because total debt levels are much higher. Deflations are the same no matter when they happen. Just go study the deflationary collapses in history. And this is not opinion either, we were demonstrably entering a deflationary spiral.

Quote:

The right corps go down, an extreme shift of power happens, and I don't think it would be to one corp but to many, thus splitting up the influence they have, giving us back a little bit for once.
Maybe, but like I said that is not obvious.


Quote:

Well, if every time my kid screwed up really bad, if I gave up a $100 and a ice cream, he's going to think it's okay to screw up again. So the first few times he just tests it, to see how giving I am, then he hammers it... and I bark, but I bail him out, then the nasty really comes down, and I do it again. Logically, me, you and nobody is going to stop, we have no reason to stop - and damn sure no fat cat, super ass greedy, super corp, multi-billionaire that currently about to fuck the entire country over for 1/3 of our countries wealth. Lessons have to be learned and sometimes you just have to cut them off, or they'll keep taking, and taking, and taking. And that's why it happened, and that's why it will happen again, it will only stop, once we stop feeding them our money!

It would have been better because this would have finally stopped... everything after that, is us doing it differently, so speculating on exactly how or what, isn't possible, as it hasn't ever happened in an economy as developed as ours.
Your anecdotes and the rest of your speech is fine, but try and separate the value judgements and principles from the economics.



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TheDoc 07-23-2011 06:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by wig (Post 18301930)
Mkay. I did and they were. Not sure what the point is.

Point is, they forced it to happen, without letting it unfreeze itself, which it would have done.


Quote:

Originally Posted by wig (Post 18301930)
Again, not sure what this means. It is a brute fact that non-bank entities who were not even directly exposed to derivatives quickly found that they could not meet their obligations.

It was pretty simple to understand..... someone would have given them the cash, a few days without wouldn't kill anyone. It's not like the entire world froze up.



Quote:

Originally Posted by wig (Post 18301930)
Well, the world is in trouble then isn't it? How far should we go back in time to view a sample economy without credit so we know what model of economics you think we'd be better off with?

Not the entire world... we can see samples of 'better off' in our own houses that don't live on credit.


Quote:

Originally Posted by wig (Post 18301930)
Do you see anyone arguing for less banks? I don't. It's not relevant to the discussion. But, as an aside, consider Canada.

Nobody has to, less banks is a bad thing either way. Canada has shit ton of banks, 3 levels of them, multiple types, etc.

Quote:

Originally Posted by wig (Post 18301930)
Huh? There was production, revenue generation, blah blah in the early 20th century. WTF are you talking about?

Production was nothing like today, revenue was nothing like today, hell the ability to move goods was nothing like today, no part of a 100 years ago is like today.


Quote:

Originally Posted by wig (Post 18301930)
One reason it could be worse today is because total debt levels are much higher. Deflations are the same no matter when they happen. Just go study the deflationary collapses in history. And this is not opinion either, we were demonstrably entering a deflationary spiral.

I've read other wise... as well, I've read that no spiral or signal of any kind was taking place before hand, then the code simply erased part of the market, our markets crashed, and the fraud was exposed to us.

I already know the crash had happened, markets frozen, and yet our country did blow up and business was still moving, perfectly fine.


Quote:

Originally Posted by wig (Post 18301930)
Your anecdotes and the rest of your speech is fine, but try and separate the value judgements and principles from the economics.

Well, you asked "I still have not heard a reasonable explanation for why collapse would have been better."

And that's what the answer was that I gave you, a very reasonable, logical, even works on kids, answer to why it would be better to let it collapse.

wig 07-23-2011 07:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheDoc (Post 18301976)
Point is, they forced it to happen, without letting it unfreeze itself, which it would have done.

Before or after economic meltdown? That is the question. It was clear the markets were in free-fall, it was clear that credit was frozen, it was clear the institutions were failing, it was clear that no money was changing hands and it was clear that institutions were holding onto money because of the uncertainty of contagion. The last thing they were going to do was risk letting go of the cash. There was not a single indication that it would have unfroze itself in any time period that would have been soon enough to avoid a cascade of failures.

Quote:

It was pretty simple to understand..... someone would have given them the cash, a few days without wouldn't kill anyone. It's not like the entire world froze up.
There's not enough cash out there. Tell us exactly where it would have come from. Saying, "someone would have given them the cash" is both economically unfeasible and wishful thinking.


Quote:

Not the entire world... we can see samples of 'better off' in our own houses that don't live on credit.
The overwhelming majority of households are in their houses because of credit. Do you own a home? If so, did you pay cash?

But answer the question, if credit is the problem, point to the period in time we should revert back to. Or is this just imaginary?

Quote:

Nobody has to, less banks is a bad thing either way. Canada has shit ton of banks, 3 levels of them, multiple types, etc.
And again, it's not even relevant because not a single person is arguing for more control at fewer banks or larger "too big to fail" banks.

At a Domestic level, Canada has 22 banks as of October 2010. source. A paltry amount compared to the USA.



Quote:

Production was nothing like today, revenue was nothing like today, hell the ability to move goods was nothing like today, no part of a 100 years ago is like today.
Now you're moving the goal posts. That's not what you started with.


Quote:

I've read other wise... as well, I've read that no spiral or signal of any kind was taking place before hand, then the code simply erased part of the market, our markets crashed, and the fraud was exposed to us.
I don't know how you can even argue that deflation wasn't unfolding. Even your own reply illustrates this. As you just noted, asset prices were collapsing (Equities, Real Estate, Commodities). 2009 CPI data ended the year at -0.4%. That's deflation in action.

Feel free to cite what you read that contradicts this. And try not to misdirect with "signals", "beforehand", etc.


Quote:

I already know the crash had happened, markets frozen, and yet our country did blow up and business was still moving, perfectly fine.
Are you missing a word in here? Do you mean "didn't" blow up? If so, look at the timeline of events and then venture a guess as to why. Hint: it wasn't magic.


Quote:

Well, you asked "I still have not heard a reasonable explanation for why collapse would have been better."

And that's what the answer was that I gave you, a very reasonable, logical, even works on kids, answer to why it would be better to let it collapse.
I'll give you that it is an answer, but I wouldn't characterize it as you have.


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TheDoc 07-23-2011 08:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by wig (Post 18302027)
Before or after economic meltdown? That is the question. It was clear the markets were in free-fall, it was clear that credit was frozen, it was clear the institutions were failing, it was clear that no money was changing hands and it was clear that institutions were holding onto money because of the uncertainty of contagion. The last thing they were going to do was risk letting go of the cash. There was not a single indication that it would have unfroze itself in any time period that would have been soon enough to avoid a cascade of failures.

After... the many markets had cash, money and business was still moving, a few dead spots did not shut the world down.



Quote:

Originally Posted by wig (Post 18302027)
There's not enough cash out there. Tell us exactly where it would have come from. Saying, "someone would have given them the cash" is both economically unfeasible and wishful thinking.

Plenty had cash... all over the world, this was not every bank, gov, or the world bank, and most of business was fine.

Quote:

Originally Posted by wig (Post 18302027)
The overwhelming majority of households are in their houses because of credit. Do you own a home? If so, did you pay cash?

But answer the question, if credit is the problem, point to the period in time we should revert back to. Or is this just imaginary?

Exactly, and look what happened because of it... credit has inflated the cost of homes. I'm part of the problem, I buy and sell, using credit, making money by only shifting ownership while not actually creating anything, yet increasing the value.

Depends on the type of credit I guess... It should be like a 1000x harder to get a home loan than it is, I would say equal or worse than the 80's would work. Bank wise, I don't know when it started, when they were allowed to loan out so much more than they actually had in the bank, so whenever that was. Then pre-1886 for corps, not being people would mean they could only run on the investors credit and not credit for them.


Quote:

Originally Posted by wig (Post 18302027)
And again, it's not even relevant because not a single person is arguing for more control at fewer banks or larger "too big to fail" banks.

At a Domestic level, Canada has 22 banks as of October 2010. source. A paltry amount compared to the USA.

It is relevant because less banks, and more importantly, more power by few banks... is the result of the bailout, so it's directly relevant and an issue, when those same banks created the mess and then got more powerful.

I mean really, this isn't complex or hard to understand, in America, this is a bad thing.


Canada is a socialist country, with banks controlled directly by the gov far better and more, than we do here. If America wasn't filled with a bunch of greedy shit stains, less banks would be fine, but until hell freezes over, a market where more banks can complete is greatly needed here.

This isn't hard to see, just by looking.. open your eyes and stop pretending it's not happening.



Quote:

Originally Posted by wig (Post 18302027)
Now you're moving the goal posts. That's not what you started with.

No, this is spot, it just clearly had to be explained to you differently. Point being, today and back then are so different and that they wouldn't be anything alike, in anyway, if the market crashed.




Quote:

Originally Posted by wig (Post 18302027)
I don't know how you can even argue that deflation wasn't unfolding. Even your own reply illustrates this. As you just noted, asset prices were collapsing (Equities, Real Estate, Commodities). 2009 CPI data ended the year at -0.4%. That's deflation in action.

Feel free to cite what you read that contradicts this. And try not to misdirect with "signals", "beforehand", etc.

That's piss deflation, that's not even deflation after inflation of years compounded, come on. A little piss backwards after fake inflationary growth, please....


Quote:

Originally Posted by wig (Post 18302027)
Are you missing a word in here? Do you mean "didn't" blow up? If so, look at the timeline of events and then venture a guess as to why. Hint: it wasn't magic.

Never said it was magic... fact is, business didn't stop, money flow kept going, everything did not shut down.



Quote:

Originally Posted by wig (Post 18302027)
I'll give you that it is an answer, but I wouldn't characterize it as you have.

It's easier for me to translate images in my head to an example of sorts to help express the understanding of what I see as the problem.

Enablers that keep feeding have enabled people that never stop eating.

wig 07-23-2011 10:01 AM

It's apparent you don't appreciate fully the situation that we were in, when you make statements like "piss deflation".

If, in a short period of time (months) you witness the CRB collapse 50%, the equity markets collapse 50% and Real Estate collapse 50% + and credit freeze (cash hoarding), this is not piss deflation (as if that is even a term). I assume because you think representation by CPI at -0.04% yr/yr is a small number that somehow makes the deflation in assets above non-threatening or normally corrective. You simply don't understand the mechanics and the cause and effect of deflation. You should read a bit on it from an economics text book.

Then you pontificate on the minor differences in circumstances that make deflation today impossible (when the actual prevention was the injection of liquidity you ae arguing against). Tulip Mania, South Sea Bubble, Rail Road Bubble, Great Depression all had differences, too. Yet, deflation wiped them all out equally the same.

I've given hard examples of large, healthy businesses, and leaders of countries calling on behalf of businesses saying, "wtf, we can't access the liquidity we need to operate". You hand wave it away by saying "yeah, but there were some businesses that had liquidity" as if the spread in a few short days from investment banks > banks > insurance > GE (example) was obviously going to stop right there. An assertion without merit.

You conflate lack of credit in an economy that requires credit to function, with examples of people who abuse it, as if that explains why credit is bad and we need to return to an economic model from the distant past -- a total non sequitur.

You continue to argue against a position that I have never maintained (number of banks / too big to fail). As an aside, I point out Canada and you continue to argue against the strawman you created, moving the goal posts and now telling me to open my eyes as you explicate the difference between "socialist country" and human nature run amok. Spare me.

I'm not going to go around in circles with you anymore. Have a good weekend.


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The Porn Nerd 07-23-2011 10:20 AM

SOMEONE POST PICTURES OF CONTESSA BREWER IN THIS GODDAMNED THREAD!!!!! (Yes, I'm shouting.)

Man, I would do things to her I wouldn't do to a farm animal. I LOVE her!!!!! Dumb, sexy bitch that she is.

Bill8 07-23-2011 02:55 PM

I don't think most people don't understand what caused the panic, and I see a tendency to confuse the types of lending we are talking about.

The crisis wasn't happening in ordinary lending, like when a small business borrows a million to build a new building. It stopped that kind of lending, becaus eof the fear, but that was a symptom, a consequence, that wasn't where the problem was happening.

The bankers broke the buck. And this scared them so much they froze.

It started with short term lending and money markets, in shadow banking. This is banking that we ordinary people never really see or participate in, overnight loans between banks and to the largest corporations abd the very rich.

Quote:

Events

On Monday, September 15, 2008, Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc. filed for bankruptcy. On Tuesday, September 16, 2008, Reserve Primary Fund, the oldest money fund, broke the buck when its shares fell to 97 cents after writing off debt issued by Lehman Brothers.[8]

The resulting investor anxiety almost caused a run on money funds, as investors redeemed their holdings and funds were forced to liquidate assets or impose limits on redemptions: through Wednesday, September 17, 2008, prime institutional funds saw substantial redemptions.[9][10] Retail funds saw net inflows of $4 billion, for a net capital outflow from all funds of $169 billion to $3.4 trillion (5%).[9]

In response, on Friday, September 19, 2008, the U.S. Department of the Treasury announced an optional program to "insure the holdings of any publicly offered eligible money market mutual fund—both retail and institutional—that pays a fee to participate in the program". The insurance will guarantee that if a covered fund breaks the buck, it will be restored to $1 NAV.[10][11] This program is similar to the FDIC, in that it insures deposit-like holdings and seeks to prevent runs on the bank.[7][12] The guarantee is backed by assets of the Treasury Department's Exchange Stabilization Fund, up to a maximum of $50 billion. It is very important to realize that this program only covers assets invested in funds before September 19, 2008 and those who sold equities, for example, during the recent market crash and parked their assets in money funds, are at risk. The program immediately stabilized the system and stanched the outflows, but drew criticism from banking organizations, including the Independent Community Bankers of America and American Bankers Association, who expected funds to drain out of bank deposits and into newly insured money funds, as these latter would combine higher yields with insurance.[7][12]

[edit] Analysis

The crisis almost developed into a run on the shadow banking system: the redemptions caused a drop in demand for commercial paper,[7] preventing companies from rolling over their short-term debt, potentially causing an acute liquidity crisis: if companies cannot issue new debt to repay maturing debt, and do not have cash on hand to pay it back, they will default on their obligations, and may have to file for bankruptcy. Thus there was concern that the run could cause extensive bankruptcies, a debt deflation spiral, and serious damage to the real economy, as in the Great Depression.[citation needed]

The drop in demand resulted in a "buyers strike", as money funds could not (because of redemptions) or would not (because of fear of redemptions) buy commercial paper, driving yields up dramatically: from around 2% the previous week to 8%,[7] and funds put their money in Treasuries, driving their yields close to 0%.

This is a bank run in the sense that there is a mismatch in maturities, and thus a money fund is a "virtual bank": the assets of money funds, while short term, nonetheless typically have maturities of several months, while investors can request redemption at any time, without waiting for obligations to come due. Thus if there is a sudden demand for redemptions, the assets may be liquidated in a fire sale, depressing their sale price.

An earlier crisis occurred in 2007–2008, where the demand for asset-backed commercial paper dropped, causing the collapse of some structured investment vehicles.
The thing that so many republicans and democrats have a hard time facing is this - the very first instant that the shadow bankers were in trouble, our government socialistically bailed them out.

Leading us to that muost american of paradoxes - socialism for the very rich and the corporations, rugged individualism for everybody else.

This is the moral, ethical, and political dilemma that we are all really talking about.

Socialism for the rich. Government protection for the rich. Government forgiveness and compensation for crimes and mismanagement by the rich.

Bill8 07-23-2011 03:13 PM

Putting it in other words, what happened was a proof that the american claim to capitalism was a lie.

And a proof that american capitalism does not work.

So, no matter how many times somebody comes here and says "the rich are better than you, you are obligated to follow them", we have to face the recent empirical proof that the rich just mishandled everything and needed OUR lower class income, paid to the governmnet, to save them from their mismamagement, and they needed the government to give them a "get out of jail" pass.

Thats why there is so much heat and so little light in these discussions - we all sense the momentous disproof of the american capitalism story.


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