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50 Austrian Wizards! :thumbsup
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This is interesting.
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And as I've tried to point out several times: Gov is made up out of humans, not all knowing angels. Governments are made up out of humans who make mistakes just alike any other human. Governments are made up out of humans who are greedy just like any other human. The difference between gov intervention and the free market is that, in the case of gov intervention, the mistakes made by the people who make up the gov affect the whole population. Quote:
According to an empiricist it is impossible to know something. (Even though they pretend they do). An empiricist formulates hypotheses and then goes on to test and retest those hypotheses. At the end of his research the empiricist concludes that his hypothesis was confirmed in for example 9 out of 10 tests or 10 out of 10 tests etc. So in essence what an empirical economist does is to formulate hypotheses and then try and measure as much about the economy as possible to test if this data confirms or denies his hypotheses. He then goes on to construct nice models he can use to predict how his 'tinkering' with the economy would turn out. The Austrian school totally rejects this method. Why? - It is possible to know something. If I state that all objects that are completely blue can't at the same time be completely yellow then you know this to be true. It's simple logic. - When dealing with the economy, you are dealing with human individuals who are all different. The empirical scientific method is useful when applied to the natural sciences like physics or chemistry. It is perfectly possible to isolate a chemical element and then for example heat up a certain amount of that element and measure at what temperature it burns or melts or vaporizes... You can conduct controlled experiments because you can conduct your test on a certain amount of that element and then compare your results to another amount of that same element. You can't do this with the economy. You can't just put a 1000 people in a box and tell them "go play free market" and then put the same 1000 people in another box and say "go play central planned economy" and then compare the results. You are dealing here with individuals who are all different, who all respond to their environment differently. The mere act of observing them will already alter their behavior. (btw: Funny thing is that events in history that could be considered as coming even close to a controlled experiment (for example: North vs South Korea. Similar genetic background, similar geography, different amounts of gov intervention.) never favor central planning) According to the Austrian School you can't use historical events to prove your theories or hypotheses are correct. You can merely analyze events and use them to illustrate certain principles. Then how does the Austrian School approach economics? The Austrian school uses an axiomatic-deductive method. This means that you start with an axiom, something that you know to be true and you use a known method (logic) to deduct things from that axiom. If your starting point is true and you didn't make any logical errors deducting then what you deducted from that axiom is also true. Mises used the axiom of human action as his starting point. All humans act. (To act as defined as "to act with a purpose". Getting up in the morning would be acting. Opening a bottle of beer would be acting. etc). It is impossible to disprove that people act because by trying to do so you would be acting therefor disproving what you set out to do. Let's take an example with 2 individuals: A and B. A and B both have all kinds of goals. A wants to own a ball. B wants to own a ball. A wants to own a yellow ball. B wants to own a red ball. A owns a red ball. B owns a yellow ball. They both have 2 goals. 1 of their goals (owning a ball) has already been accomplished. Logic dictates that they both can achieve a more satisfying state by trading their balls. If A gives his red ball to B in exchange for B's yellow ball then both of them will have accomplished 2 of their goals instead of 1 of their goals. If you prevent a and B from trading than you prevent them from achieving a more satisfying state of affairs. etc etc Using pure logic the Austrian economists are able to deduct and prove pricing theories, the law of supply and demand, the law of comparative advantage etc. and the fact that a pure free market is the most optimal system. Quote:
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[QUOTE]Or you could say, we wouldn't have the technology today if we didn't have the gov.[QUOTE] see empirical vs axiomatic-deductive. Quote:
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The myth about China is that it's "recent" (1978 and on) growth is somehow thanks to central planning. The reason for this myth is a simple mixup between correlation and causation. Yes, China has a lot of gov intervention and yes china's economy is growing, but one does not cause the other. If it rains in LA, than that does not mean the mayor of LA made it rain :) If you look at it from an empirical point of view than the link between the deregulations and the growth are much more likely. If I'm not mistaken the Chinese gov had Milton Friedman (not Austrian, but pseudo-free-market Chicago School) over for tea back in the 70s and 80s and they implemented some of his advice. If you look at it from an Austrian/praxeological point of view than yes of course: less restriction will lead to higher growth. Personally I have not closely studied the situation in China (and all of its specifics) and I'm not ware of any Austrian publication about the current situation in China so I can't give you a more in depth analysis of their situation. All I can say is that (like Robert Murphy recently wrote) understanding Austrian economics does not give you the ability to predict the future. It does not give you the ability to predict how much the price of x will fall and how many people in sector Y will be fired and on what date market Z will collapse. It does however tell you what the effects of certain measures will be. If the ECB announces that it will start printing new euros to buy Spanish and Italian bonds then we know that increasing or inflating the money supply will diminish the value of the euros that are already in circulation. It's the Law of supply and demand. Logic and maths then tells us that the people who will be hurt most by that measure are the poor. The Cantillon-effect (Cantillon, proto-Austrian) tells us there will be a shift in wealth towards the point were the money was injected (gov, banks and the major corporations). |
Hey there u-bob.... will you hit me up via email or skype please? I have some things to talk with you about.
.:-) |
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I didn't say use history to prove a theory. But ignoring history is a bad when it can be looked at and seen that when no regulation/intervention happened, the problems did not go away, they grew. Quote:
The entire system itself, the system that manages it all... is also responsible for intervention, from functions conflicting to human error, another factor they ignore. And this is why they aren't accepted.... a free market is NOT POSSIBLE without STRONG regulations, fraud protection, and intervention to keep it clean of greed & fraud. It is impossible to have a free market, unless all greed is gone, and as you said, that wont happen, so it is impossible to have a true free market, thus the Austrian theory is flawed. Quote:
What they did was stop from having to cover every deposit the major banks had.... which would have cost us all a shit ton more than the bailout did. While I still don't agree with the bailouts... BoA failing alone would have cost us more in tax dollars than the bailout for them did, they had like 10x the amount to cover, let alone the other big boys. Logic is not always the correct path... Quote:
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Just like your body, if you totally ignore it, it will fail - but before then the ride will be hell - it will be crazy for decades without any regulation. But if you maintain it, you intervene, you may make some mistakes along the way, but overall you'll improve yourself by maintaining yourself, thus you may still screw up and even fail, but the ride along the way wont be as bad , as it could have been. If the economy is organic then it falls under the same rules as every organic thing on this planet... which means, no single path is the correct answer and it must be maintained or it will fail. Fail here doesn't mean go out of business... it means the entire system fails, everything. |
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(I'm traveling so I don't have icq etc on this laptop) |
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To preempt a reply: A company that has a legit 100% market share does not have a monopoly. Why not? Because other companies are still free to enter the market and compete. When does a company have a monopoly? When it violates other people's property rights to exclude them from the market. That the original meaning of the word monopoly. Kings and governments used to sell monopoly rights to raise money. They sold special licenses (letters patent) that protected the holder from prosecution by the courts in their territory for certain crimes. (letters of marque sold or given to pirates are another example) [QUOTE]They reject proven theories because they aren't able to prove their own theories, and when you ignore greed, you ignore logic, [QUOTE] No, they show that the methods used by those interventionists are flawed. The Austrian method is based on logic and the funny thing here is that most interventionists refuse to deal with Austrians based on that fact: the Austrians use of logic. A couple of months ago when an Austrian, Thomas Dilorenzo, testified before some congressional committee, they even compared "using logic to derive economic laws" to religion. like, wtf? Quote:
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What interventionists claim to be able to do is predict the future using their models. Quote:
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What do you do when a new sponsor comes along? Immediately send them all of your traffic or do some research, evaluate their sites,...? What do you do when your servers at hosting company Y are down all the time? Stick with them ore move to another host? Which designer do you hire? The one you've heard only good things about or the one that has 25 drama threads on gfy? If your friends got sick from eating at a new Chinese restaurant, do you go and try the food there yourself or do you pick another restaurant to have lunch? If a girl cheats on you and you give her a second chance and she cheats on you again, do you blame the lack of gov regulation or kick her out? The market is selfregulating. Quote:
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Some of us learned that hard way when epass went under. Quote:
Like I said, the economy consists out of individuals who constantly all make different decisions. There is no "conscious entity" directing everything. Why does the baker bake bread? Because the gov told him to? Or because he wants to make money? How does the baker know how many breads to bake? Because the gov told him to or because he bases his decision on experience (the amount of breads he sold the previous days or weeks), his understanding of his customers preferences, the fact that one of his competitors is one vacation etc? Quote:
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If you want to end the corruption, you need to end what makes the corruption possible. Quote:
Gov intervention: plans by the few. Free Market: plans by the many. I'll throw in the Keynes/Hayek video again :): |
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I can see it between S. Korea and the rest of the world, were they have a stable, growing and overall doing well economy, filled with regulations and intervention. Quote:
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So it's logical they should have lost everything, the market would have fixed it eh? Again, you expose a massive flaw in this way of thinking.... Quote:
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Where is the act, law, rule, etc that regulated something before a corporation did something? |
The second dip was assured a year ago -- were you ready? |
Wow, a million people made predictions and one of them was right???
Amazing. Image if there had been a "million + one" possible out comes, then everyone would have been wrong. |
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In a free market a company can get a 100% market share if it provides the best product at the best price. Nothing wrong with that. In a free market however, other companies are still free to try and compete if they want. So if another company comes up with a better product or a cheaper way to produce that product then it is free to do so. Pure monopolies (that exclude others by force) are a problem because if there's no competition, there's no incentive to produce better products at a lower cost. Competition is an essential aspect of the free market. Therefor the problems associated with monopolies can't occur under free market conditions. Quote:
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Hans Hoppe has a couple of good introductions to praxeology. It's good reading on a hot summer evening :) Quote:
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[QUOTE] Those questions aren't relevant to what I said.[QUOTE] It's an example of how the market selfregulates. [QUOTE]It's only one example of how a corporation can manipulate various markets for greed... they can do it without the Gov as well.[QUOTE] So in your opinion the corps can manipulate both the market and the gov and your solution is more gov for them to manipulate? Quote:
If you want to end the corruptions, you need to get rid of gov intervention. Quote:
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It already happens within pockets of free markets... Quote:
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You even comparing the two is pure laughable... trying to make it sound like N.K. is an example of market intervention is pure silly and does not help your argument, if anything it's hurting it. Quote:
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This would be another factor Austrians ignore in their quest for a fake free market. Quote:
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No matter what, I will always think the Austrian economic theory is filled with flaws, like many other people. All you've done is prove to me is how much more flawed it is than I actually thought. Not that other economic theories are perfect either, but that's the point... they think they've got it all figured out, when in reality, we can find contradictions and flaws to their theories all day long. You just choose to ignore them, much like other economists ignore the flaws in the systems they use. |
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So, yeah.... seriously, not related. |
The state maintains the conditions for capitalism.
Keeps wages low, fights Trade Unions, imports labor, promotes racism etc... The State also does the things the market allows fails to do House, feed and health service, plus infrastructure roads etc... Also state supplies massive welfare to big business in the form of military spending. If any government was foolish enough to have a "free market" there would be a revolution at the first economic crisis.... It Keynes economics is a political act not an economic one.... The State protects Capitalism from the Capitalists - Those greedy motherfuckers would destroy everything for an extra busk Economists are more corrupt than the mafia taking massive payoff from the financial sector and making government policy. |
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A free market economy, we do not have... like where nothing is regulated, touched, no rules, no greed that would mean we need those rules, etc.. where no regs ever happen, it's a pipe dream... an impossible dream. Which is probably the #1 reason why Austrian economics fails. They fail to accept the truth, what they want we do not have, and never will, thus it's a failed theory from the start. Quote:
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This is from "The Myth of Natural Monopoly" by Thomas J. DiLorenzo Quote:
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And here is a bit more about monopolies from the Austrian School...
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I don't see how this proves a myth of AT&T not being a monopoly... the fact that AT&T even happened is proof of a monopoly forming. It was the result of multiple corps evolving and combining and buying up others. Even before the patent expired, it had influence over the market, it had already restricted the market in many areas, it was the single provider for long distance, it was a monopoly simply by it's formation it grained the power to have this influence. That was a great pdf, I really did enjoy it. Now, I do like how it jumps around, takes out little cuts for bits of history, to make it's points true. I also enjoyed the theories in it as well, like how they define market dominance as temporary assuming a gov doesn't grant a monopoly, however it fails to factor in a corporation already had enough power to lobby the state and local gov's so it could restrict the market, more. It wasn't like it wasn't trying in areas succeeding before hand in other ways, it just went up the scale as it grew, it didn't like competition, it had the power to stop it, so they did. It started with greed first, and went up the chain to make it worse. All the gov did was make it worse in this case, which I never argued... I've said it works both ways, sometimes it's good and others it's bad. It's not a one way door, it's not "always bad" - market regs/restrictions, etc are sometimes needed. That's why I say the Austrian mind set is flawed... they wont accept anything outside of what they define as to be true, which is exactly what they bitch about in other economic theories, yet do themselves, just in different ways. |
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Of course they had the market cornered. Because IT DID NOT EXIST before they created it. Once their patent expired hundreds of companies started competing with them. Our government put the competitors out of business and basically made AT&T the monopoly everyone talks about... |
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Those statements right there, show that absolutely opposing world views that we have. You think that Governments are good things, meant to help. I believe that governments grow first out of the powerful dominating the weak through use of force, (Kings), and then morph in various ways, but always are being run by people that seek power, and have the now legal means to use force in order to make people comply. If their power is not limited initially, and then kept in check constantly, they will grow forever into you are back in King/Dictator mode again. ANY system that seeks to grow government power is, in my view, anti freedom. .:2 cents: |
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Thinking the eco, business, corps, or a market, will simply work its issues out if everyone just let's it naturally happen is absurd for many reasons, before greed being the killing factor. I don't think any system is perfect, a balance between them all is needed. And as you said... people need to keep the gov in check better as well, so that balance is kept. Hell, that's a great example of what happens when you ignore things and think they'll naturally fix themselves. |
Again. You think that this is governments "real job". I think that governments real job is to protect the populous from criminal activity (theft, violence and distruction), to adjudicate in civil actions (not fulfilling a contract of some kinds), and the national defense. (which I basically criminal activity by another government. That's pretty much it. Governments job is not to "help". It's very bad at that and should stay away from it. The big evil corporation boogieman that you always harp on CANNOT enforce it's decisions by force (you can always choose not to do business with them), UNLESS it has the complicity of a government, which they all do. If governments did not have any power over the market, then corporate lobbies would not be able to utilize them to create the corporate cronyism that you so rightly fear. The present system of huge corps and government hand in hand has nothing to do with a proper free market and the more you have government intervention in the name of "fixing" the problem of corporate cronyism, the worse it will become IMHO
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I think we are just going to have to agree to disagree on this one Doc
:) . |
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