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-   -   Fact: Paysite sales are dead (https://gfy.com/showthread.php?t=1118724)

MrDeiz 08-19-2013 07:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JesseFame (Post 19764210)
Odd, our sites continue to grow month after month, and our affiliate sales have increased every month this year except one...

you must have no idea how many affiliates are bashing gammae programs for no sales.
nothing personal, but seriously

you are on the top of the most bashed programs for no sales

PR_Glen 08-19-2013 07:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by signupdamnit (Post 19764205)
That's called an anecdote. Moreover it's more an emotional argument than anything. You can't make that sort of statement (and without any proof or specifics) and expect it to answer a question such as "Is there less money in the adult industry today versus 2005?" It just doesn't work like that. It's like spitting on your finger and holding it out to check the temperature versus using a proper thermometer.

this statement coming from you has got to be the funniest thing I have ever read.

Your entire existence is arguments that involve such data... 90% of the internet would agree with me :1orglaugh:1orglaugh

nikki99 08-19-2013 07:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Barefootsies (Post 19764033)

:1orglaugh:1orglaugh

adultmobile 08-19-2013 08:12 AM

Where this thread is new in any way? Why anyone is replying to it rather than post a link to hundreds of threads with the same discussion made in past 5+ years here? And why to discuss this if there's no Paul Markham anymore?

Anyway,

Cam sites who are estabilished (up since let's say before 2008 or max 2009), are ok for sales trend today. I know by talking with a few owners. And by direct data: 2012 sales was higher than 2011 sales for our program (checked with accountant at tax reports); 2013 I did not made partial comparative stats yet, but should be no less than 2012 again.
Note that summer is 20-30% less sales for cam programs too (again I checked this with some bigger guys). But it recovers always.

But this does not mean, if pay site dies you should open cam sites. Most or all the new cam sites (from programs who are new, or did not had another cam site before), who launched in past 2 years it, failed (ended up as whitelabel etc.) or made no profit yet (they're in loss, wheter or not they will admit it). So opening a pay site it may be less risky and expensive than a cam site (as long as you're not willing to do an holywood studio), but, the probability of profit are still limited (someone here may remember some programs/billers moving $20 million a month in early 2000's... that's sure gone times).

What about open ad networks for tubes instead? :)

Roald 08-19-2013 08:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MrDeiz (Post 19764136)
you'll find them in 2 min at signbucks

it's signbucks' forum and i can't post link here

send me the link, I will post it for you.

The Porn Nerd 08-19-2013 08:22 AM

Threads like this are funny to me now - just like the 'sales are slow' threads. This "Industry" is not really an "Industry" at all, just a collection of independent peddlers selling their wares however they can sell them.

So what is true for one "businessman" certainly isn't true of another "businessman" doing the same exact business. Everyone works differently, has different skills, motivation and intelligence. So all this comparison and authoritative predicting is a waste of time, whether it comes from Signupdammit or Deitz.

Jman 08-19-2013 08:26 AM

Still see partners sending + 100 joins a day. Sales aren't dead...

MrDeiz 08-19-2013 08:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Roald (Post 19764300)
send me the link, I will post it for you.

haven't you received it? :1orglaugh:1orglaugh:1orglaugh

Best-In-BC 08-19-2013 08:55 AM

I still make daily sales with TGPs that I built in 2011 and 2012 ;)

pr0phet 08-19-2013 09:07 AM

Id imagine 70 percent of the affiliate programs you sent to in 2011 are now no longer paying out or recording sales. But apparently they are all going under due to all the increase in business.

Barry-xlovecam 08-19-2013 09:11 AM

More bleather: "one man's rubbish may be another's treasure."

Jane-Busty.pl 08-19-2013 11:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MisterPeabody (Post 19764301)
Threads like this are funny to me now - just like the 'sales are slow' threads. This "Industry" is not really an "Industry" at all, just a collection of independent peddlers selling their wares however they can sell them.

So what is true for one "businessman" certainly isn't true of another "businessman" doing the same exact business. Everyone works differently, has different skills, motivation and intelligence. So all this comparison and authoritative predicting is a waste of time, whether it comes from Signupdammit or Deitz.

Well said, Mister... ;-)

Saying that there's no money in online porn, is like saying that there's no salt in seawater.

2MuchMark 08-19-2013 11:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MrDeiz (Post 19763990)
No matter what you're doing they will be declining
Money are everywhere but not in paysites (straight, mainstream, gay, fetish, bdsm, toons)
Customers' behavior patterns have changed to no return point. The content is overproduced and it's well-delivered thru well established free-net networks
We are keeping our sales steady and a little bit growing by enormous creativity and hardcore approach
Many webmasters have left this business, much more to come. There's no place for one-man company in this biz any longer.
There're still newcommers (idiots) investing in aff programs and bs services, most of which will never meet ROI

The industry needs new business model to prelace paysites and PayPal on board (while CCBill crashes and burns) as well as lesser suckers in here
I've donated StopFileLockers campaign, have you?

Have a good day everyone

I hear you, but you're off. The customers are there with money to spend for quality service. The only thing that has changed since the 90's is that there is more competition for those customers.

My advice to you : Try harder. Your competitors are working harder now so you should too.

xNetworx 08-19-2013 11:57 AM

http://www.troll.me/images/facepalm-...shit-again.jpg

signupdamnit 08-19-2013 12:33 PM

There exists a great disparity between what about 12 people who constantly reply to these types of threads usually with personal attacks, hyperbole, and anecdotes rather than meaningful data and evidence say here on GFY versus what the rest of the internet believes in regard to paying for porn as well as what the majority of the adult inclusive of those who left the industry in the last five years market believes. XBIZ and approximately 70% of all respondents to the cited poll also seem to believe that industry totals are now below $10 billion.

If someone has real meaningful data showing that porn is thriving and has grown since 2005 let them show it. The only one who has even halfway made the attempt that I know of is Fabian from Manwin. Personal attacks, calling people Paul Markham, and talking about how you are doing great isn't evidence beyond the small piece of the market you control and in your own mind.

signupdamnit 08-19-2013 12:46 PM

Also if there is someone here who does over a billion in revenue per year in adult just let me know and provide some basic evidence for that. I'll gladly listen to your anecdotes because if you believe porn is around 10 billion then that means you control at least 10% of the industry. But I don't even think Manwin does that which says something. Who here believes Manwin does over a billion a year? I doubt even Fabian will come on here and say they do. I might be wrong! :)

Biggie Smalls Web Writing 08-19-2013 01:04 PM

Interesting topic

The Porn Nerd 08-19-2013 01:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by signupdamnit (Post 19764754)
Also if there is someone here who does over a billion in revenue per year in adult just let me know and provide some basic evidence for that. I'll gladly listen to your anecdotes because if you believe porn is around 10 billion then that means you control at least 10% of the industry. But I don't even think Manwin does that which says something. Who here believes Manwin does over a billion a year? I doubt even Fabian will come on here and say they do. I might be wrong! :)

I don't care WHO does the "reporting" because mentioning figures - 10 billion, 5 billion, 100 million - without actual proof is what we used to call in journalism a "red herring". Meaning: bullshit. People are pulling these numbers out of their asses, it's ALL "guesstimates" based on......what? NO ONE fully or accurately reports income in Adult - NO ONE - so trying to come up with figures is a pointless and misleading exercise in futility.

All this does - polls, articles about decreasing revenues, etc - ALL it does is play to people's alread-established FEELINGS that things are getting worse yet no one - NO ONE - has accurate data to back this up. So we can just throw that 10 billion/5 billion figure(s) out the window. LOL

What we are left with IS anecdotal evidence because - AGAIN - that's ALL we have. Period. Fuck, we can't even research revenue by pulling public tax returns since so many companies aren't US-based. So we can all 'react' to this number or that number but it's in a vacuum, it's not accurate, and all it does is confirm one's 'feelings' one way or the other. It's ridiculous but very entertaining. LOL

Three.Thousand 08-19-2013 03:03 PM

Start an ad-network, that seem to be the latest trend.
Piracy traffic, thats where the money is at i guess...

Rochard 08-19-2013 03:19 PM

I still own TGPs that send traffic to paysites.

I'm still making money. It's not like it's 2004, but it's good. Dating is really good.

MrDeiz 08-19-2013 03:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rochard (Post 19764974)
I still own TGPs that send traffic to paysites.

I'm still making money. It's not like it's 2004, but it's good. Dating is really good.

how do you explain that most tgps have been converted to tubes or closed?
and seriously... tubes can't sell paysites on a huge scale, they just generate traffic to sell it further.

the same happens to paysites. i can tell that there're very few professional teams left. most of known programs are either gone or cut all the marketing and staff. not because they do like they did in 2004

this thread got too much bs from not actual webmasters or program owners

i'm happy for those who still does good in this business, but it's rather exception. you must be either bright, creative, hard working or lucky ass ;)

Jel 08-19-2013 04:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by signupdamnit (Post 19764739)
There exists a great disparity between what about 12 people who constantly reply to these types of threads usually with personal attacks, hyperbole, and anecdotes rather than meaningful data and evidence say here on GFY versus what the rest of the internet believes in regard to paying for porn as well as what the majority of the adult inclusive of those who left the industry in the last five years market believes. XBIZ and approximately 70% of all respondents to the cited poll also seem to believe that industry totals are now below $10 billion.

If someone has real meaningful data showing that porn is thriving and has grown since 2005 let them show it. The only one who has even halfway made the attempt that I know of is Fabian from Manwin. Personal attacks, calling people Paul Markham, and talking about how you are doing great isn't evidence beyond the small piece of the market you control and in your own mind.

Here's what it is:

paysite sales are not dead. Most affiliates' traffic sources are. Get the right traffic, for the right sites, and you'll make bank. Just like it always was, and just like it will always be.

Traffic was, is, and always will be, absolute king. Yes of course ratios are worse now on average, but this is a stone cold fact: right here, in august 2013, the right traffic for non-generic porn does 1:100 or less. Do what you gotta do to get some :thumbsup

Look at your original source of traffic in 'insert last good year here', and how it's dropped today, and there's your answer, same as always. It's the 1 constant.

Jel 08-19-2013 04:58 PM

also: there isn't a finite amount of money that can be spent on buying porn - get that idea out of your head, the 10bn vs 5bn vs Xbn has fuck all to do with anything - fuck all :) Ignore it, throw it away, whatever - just don't focus on that meaningless data, whether it's anecdotal or cold hard fact.

deltav 08-19-2013 05:25 PM

It's true that back in the day there was a bubble that made it possible to sell with relatively little effort or vision or market research or business savvy. That bubble burst of course. Now people who still expect that to be the case wind up banging their heads against the wall doing the same old thing, and then proclaiming the industry/model dead

But there's still money to be made in paysites with the right niche(s), the corresponding traffic, and a bit of savvy & creativity. But yeah - "generic" and "formulaic" once did a serviceable job in online adult, no longer.

MrDeiz 08-19-2013 11:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jel (Post 19765104)
Here's what it is:

paysite sales are not dead. Most affiliates' traffic sources are. Get the right traffic, for the right sites, and you'll make bank. Just like it always was, and just like it will always be.

Traffic was, is, and always will be, absolute king. Yes of course ratios are worse now on average, but this is a stone cold fact: right here, in august 2013, the right traffic for non-generic porn does 1:100 or less. Do what you gotta do to get some :thumbsup

Look at your original source of traffic in 'insert last good year here', and how it's dropped today, and there's your answer, same as always. It's the 1 constant.

it's ridiculous
you say people who watch porn in one way aren't good (affiliates' traffic sources) and some other people watching porn are good
how can be that?

if everything is right most of people should be good porn watchers, while they are not and good porn watchers are exception.

Phoenix 08-20-2013 12:00 AM

i have a program seeking 3-5 serious webmasters.
no more.
if you want to try something not being promoted by 1000 other people be in touch mr deiz.

MrDeiz 08-20-2013 12:42 AM

i have no problem with finding sponsors to promote
i promote 4k sponsors and 15k sites via my directories and a few targeted ones with high scores.
content is overproduced, customers are spoiled and it's distributed for free. i don't think you have something which will make the customers buy disregarding those conditions

Phoenix 08-20-2013 02:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MrDeiz (Post 19765361)
i have no problem with finding sponsors to promote
i promote 4k sponsors and 15k sites via my directories and a few targeted ones with high scores.
content is overproduced, customers are spoiled and it's distributed for free. i don't think you have something which will make the customers buy disregarding those conditions

well you are welcome to continue to bitch here instead

best wishes

MrDeiz 08-20-2013 02:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Phoenix (Post 19765387)
well you are welcome to continue to bitch here instead

best wishes

you must have taken me offensive while i'm not
i'm saying that the problem stated here is not because of lack of good programs to promote. you might have the best porn in the world, but you still won't sell it as it's supposed to be sell. i mean once everyone who liked it will pay for it. that's not going to happen because porn gets better and better every single day, everything gets covered and on the other side there're free-distribution networks preferred by surfers

it's the environment, not specific stuff

DVTimes 08-20-2013 03:48 AM

try this

it should help you get sales

http://wouj.com/dissonance.htm

TheSquealer 08-20-2013 05:23 AM

It cracks me up that so many fucking idiots can wake up every day and place what is a severely limiting belief on themselves - "I can't succeed"/"I won't succeed" and then spend the rest of the day proving themselves right WHILE patting themselves on the back for being so "smart" and having it all figured out.

Some of you people are just simple minded idiots that should be flipping burgers. There is not a single successful person anywhere that wakes up and starts their day believing they will fail, except for you fucking idiots.

You are losers
You are unemployable
You are failures

Phoenix 08-20-2013 05:25 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheSquealer (Post 19765510)
It cracks me up that so many fucking idiots can wake up every day and place what is a severely limiting belief on themselves - "I can't succeed"/"I won't succeed" and then spend the rest of the day proving themselves right WHILE patting themselves on the back for being so "smart" and having it all figured out.

Some of you people are just simple minded idiots that should be flipping burgers. There is not a single successful person anywhere that wakes up and starts their day believing they will fail, except for you fucking idiots.

You are losers
You are unemployable
You are failures

this is probably the only post i have seen you make that i can agree on.
however id be less harsh..lol

Magnetron 08-20-2013 02:47 PM

Met-Art seems to be swooping in and scooping up a fair share of ailing paysites.

PornDude 08-20-2013 03:25 PM

I will laugh when advertisers will start quitting this free-porn-tube-era-model.

It's obvious they don't make much money, speaking about ROI.

So, free tube sites, who will pay your hosting bill? You better save some money for the days to come.

The Porn Nerd 08-20-2013 03:34 PM

Here's the problem with Deiz (and this is true of 99% of GFYers who bitch about their lack of success): he has an entire business built up to sell his (affiliate) porn a specific way (directories, links, etc). Well guess what? You're having trouble selling your (affiliate) porn via the traditional way you always used to sell it.

So why don't you try something - prepared to be shocked by this now - DIFFERANT? How about de-emphasizing SignBucksDaily and trying a tube, or a cam site, perhaps an enhanced TGP - anything other than how you've made your money in the past.

But nope, Deiz and all the others won't do this because their ego is stuck to their own past success. I understand it's hard to scrap something that's been your baby for years but if that baby is no longer producing like it did (or should) then move on and have another baby, let the old kid fend for himself. LOL

adultmobile 08-20-2013 03:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PikaPoka (Post 19766460)
I will laugh when advertisers will start quitting this free-porn-tube-era-model.

It's obvious they don't make much money, speaking about ROI.

So, free tube sites, who will pay your hosting bill? You better save some money for the days to come.

Advertising never quit. There is always some. Not necessarily adult, be it gambling or "make money" scams.
Guys should all open ad networks for tubes, and try to get a spot in xhamster's, that's the future.

SmutGiant 08-20-2013 04:17 PM

I love where this is heading.

signupdamnit 08-20-2013 04:34 PM

I don't get why certain people are always personalizing the discussion where they think if someone brings up a decline in the industry or something negative in any way shape or form they are "complaining" and "stating they aren't making any money".

At first I thought maybe it was just a few people who occasionally misunderstood or just wanted to be asses and fight but there seem to be some people who for whatever reason cannot see a difference between these two things.

A discussion like this is on a macro level and not the micro level. When you make it out to be on the micro level it's totally inappropriate and mostly irrelevant. Knowing overall trends is useful for the business and I guarantee any major company in the industry is asking these same questions and trying to forecast in order to determine where they should focus future efforts for maximum profit. At least that is what real corporations outside of adult do. They even hire an entire economics department to consider these questions.

TheSquealer 08-20-2013 04:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PikaPoka (Post 19766460)
I will laugh when advertisers will start quitting this free-porn-tube-era-model.

It's obvious they don't make much money, speaking about ROI.

So, free tube sites, who will pay your hosting bill? You better save some money for the days to come.

2005 called. They want your post back.

wehateporn 08-20-2013 04:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MrDeiz (Post 19765332)
it's ridiculous
you say people who watch porn in one way aren't good (affiliates' traffic sources) and some other people watching porn are good
how can be that?


Affiliates need to think carefully about the process the average paying surfer goes through before they eventually join a site. :2 cents:

signupdamnit 08-20-2013 04:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PikaPoka (Post 19766460)
I will laugh when advertisers will start quitting this free-porn-tube-era-model.

It's obvious they don't make much money, speaking about ROI.

So, free tube sites, who will pay your hosting bill? You better save some money for the days to come.

I found this on the Wikipedia article for Manwin:

Quote:

The Manwin business model is based on low margin and high revenue. The many millions of users watch free movies along with ads for paying pornography sites that belong to the Manwin network. It is estimated that only one in a thousand users click on these ads. The viewer then pays either a fee for one-time use or signs up for a pornography subscription that offers better-quality, longer films than what is available free.[5] One former employee for the Manwin website MyDirtyHobby.com reports signing 14,000 actors and actresses, some 6,000 of which are regularly active. For every euro of turnover for a film or live chat the actor or actress appears in, they usually are credited with 25 cents. A single actress could thus generate an income of about ?12,000 based on a turnover of around ?50,000 per year.[2]
In another thread I tried to figure it up.

100 million video views a day
$3 cpm

$300,000 a day or $110 million a year

That's not a lot considering how much traffic they are pulling. So the "low margin" statement is probably dead on if the numbers are anywhere near this. It's astounding to think that all those tubes that size only do that much money when say in comparison CCBill recently stated that they process over 1 billion in annual transactions. I was reading another article yesterday where CBS I believe spoke of a trend where advertising dollars for online companies tend to be peanuts in comparison to the subscription model. Interesting to consider that as applied to our industry.

fuzebox 08-20-2013 05:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by signupdamnit (Post 19766574)
I don't get why certain people are always personalizing the discussion where they think if someone brings up a decline in the industry or something negative in any way shape or form they are "complaining" and "stating they aren't making any money".

Clearly most people here are emotionally attached to their businesses that they built from the ground up, I know I am. If someone says "paysite sales are dead", and I run a paysite, it strikes a nerve. You don't see me trolling the blog threads every day.

signupdamnit 08-20-2013 05:44 PM

Quote:

Manwin's sites are estimated to receive 16 billion visitors per month and the company generates cash by selling advertising in a similar way to YouTube, the popular mainstream video search site.
http://www.independent.ie/business/i...-29297081.html

<jaw drop>

Surely they are confusing hits with visitors or something? Is that really possible 533 million visits per day?

signupdamnit 08-20-2013 05:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fuzebox (Post 19766665)
Clearly most people here are emotionally attached to their businesses that they built from the ground up, I know I am. If someone says "paysite sales are dead", and I run a paysite, it strikes a nerve. You don't see me trolling the blog threads every day.

I think he is Russian? I don't think he meant that it's dead as in zero, impossible, nothing, everyone go home. If he did I doubt he'd keep his site up. Don't take it personally what happens overall as a trend can be completely different than what happens for you. And if you still do well it means it's that much more of an accomplishment.

The Porn Nerd 08-20-2013 05:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by signupdamnit (Post 19766666)
http://www.independent.ie/business/i...-29297081.html

<jaw drop>

Surely they are confusing hits with visitors or something? Is that really possible 533 million visits per day?

They mean views. LOL Since there are only 6-7 billion people on the entire planet that would mean every single human being would have to visit Manwin sites 3 times a month. Or maybe 1 billion people visiting 18 times a month......naw, they mean views.

PornDude 08-21-2013 04:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by adultmobile (Post 19766469)
Advertising never quit. There is always some. Not necessarily adult, be it gambling or "make money" scams.
Guys should all open ad networks for tubes, and try to get a spot in xhamster's, that's the future.

Adultmobile, there will always be blank advertisement (scam). They don't pay much. I am talking about adult programs. Why would anybody high bid if he can't make a profit.

Money they are making from ads will go down.

And one day, not so far away..

http://newsbusters.org/sites/default...uly/Bubble.jpg

Marcus Aurelius 08-21-2013 04:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by signupdamnit (Post 19766671)
I think he is Russian?

He is?

Why is he pretending to be American?

OldJeff 08-21-2013 05:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by signupdamnit (Post 19766574)
A discussion like this is on a macro level and not the micro level. When you make it out to be on the micro level it's totally inappropriate and mostly irrelevant. Knowing overall trends is useful for the business and I guarantee any major company in the industry is asking these same questions and trying to forecast in order to determine where they should focus future efforts for maximum profit. At least that is what real corporations outside of adult do. They even hire an entire economics department to consider these questions.

The problem is there is nothing factual to base an industry wide discussion on, the only facts we have is what we directly see in our own stats, everything else is a SWAG (scientific wild assed guess).

You see pay site sales as terrible, I see them as booming. Method of sale is just different

Kafka 08-21-2013 05:21 AM

You ain't seen nothing yet. Wait for the real crash, the Netflix of porn.
For 10 bucks/month you get all the porn you want in HD quality.
Only micro-niches are left over to make money with.

Crystal-Studio 08-21-2013 05:45 AM

each market has periods of growth, stability and recession
period of growth is ended

it's not good and not bad
it's natural

or you stay and compete or you go


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