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-   -   Documenting the decline of the porn industry (https://gfy.com/showthread.php?t=1135887)

escorpio 03-16-2014 07:00 PM

http://sd.keepcalm-o-matic.co.uk/i/k...essenger-3.png

Markul 03-17-2014 02:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by topnotch, standup guy (Post 20017654)
You would do well to see an eye doc and get that tunnel vision of yours checked out. Left untreated such conditions can be very debilitating.

The articles the OP has posted speak for themselves and the credentials of the authors thereof are a matter of public record.

Perhaps you might want to consider attempting to actually like, you know, read one of them.

Don't worry.. if you wait until you're alone first, no one will see your lips moving.
.

Aww how cute, yet you totally missed my point (s) :)

CurrentlySober 03-17-2014 03:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by escorpio (Post 20017791)

FTFY xxx :thumbsup

12clicks 03-17-2014 05:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Matt 26z (Post 20017171)
Translation: "those of us who are willing to scam people and find some way to stay legal while doing it will thrive."

This forum is continually amazed that you ride a high horse regarding your legal-but-shouldn't-be billing schemes.

How does it feel to know that every single sale you pull results in someone opening their credit card statement and feeling ripped off? The scientific fact of the matter is that you are a clinical sociopath if you don't care about that.

I think it's also safe to assume this anti-social mindset is manifesting deep troubles in your personal life and likely has been for many years. So as much as you want to believe otherwise, nobody here envies you.

Hahaha, did this nights and weekend loser just pretend to speak for "this forum"?:1orglaugh

Well let me speak for the industry, loser.
Go get a job, we don't consider what you do "working in the industry"

signupdamnit 03-30-2014 06:13 AM

(with thanks to GFY user DVTimes)

Quote:

Porn is everywhere, except in the porn capital, Los Angeles.

The infamous city's pornographers are trying to stay relevant at a time when the internet is giving it away for free.

The saturation of free porn on the internet means "The Valley" is losing its once very profitable industry.

Who wants to buy a DVD or order a movie on their cable system when they can call up porn on their computer free of charge?

Charlie LeDuff talks to industry insiders Ron Jeremy, Larry Flynt and Steve Hirsch about the future of porn. Play the video in the player to see a full report in this edition of The Americans with Charlie LeDuff.

Porn has gone mainstream. Estimates say there are as many as 4,000,000internet sites are dedicated to porn.
http://www.myfoxphilly.com/story/251...ut-of-business

Best-In-BC 03-30-2014 06:39 AM

lol, I make ruffly what I made 5 years ago per k I have, nothign has changed.

TommyM 03-30-2014 08:17 AM

Stop crying and evovle... Back in the really old days, people were bitching about tgps giving away free pictures, when we was used to be able to only put up banner farms and make a killing... then we thought the world was going under when mgps with free movies came online.. same story all over again and again and again... and ill bet when the next new thing comes the tube sites owners will bitch about virtual reality when no one wants to watch free porn online anymore but wants a virtual reality experince with porn...

Develop your business and adapt to the future...

They are doing it in every other industry also...

OldJeff 03-30-2014 08:34 AM

This babbling is still going on ?

j3rkules 08-25-2015 03:46 AM

Any updates?

mopek1 08-25-2015 04:18 AM

The fact that so many people rush in to call signupdamnit a loser says a lot.

It tells us that there is an urge to CRUSH anyone who speaks ill of tubes or the industry's decline.

If nobody truly cared then nobody would reply. For example, I don't really care about most of the gfy posts that are tabloid-like. They have catchy and controversial titles but I'm not wasting my time with them. I move on and look for business threads.

But why when threads like this are started do you see the same people coming in and HAVING to counter it with such zeal? Why not ignore it if it's no big deal?

Not only that but the OP is also ridiculed and made to look like a loser? Why so?

He's not saying he can't be successful. He's talking about paysite joins. In another thread people like Ja$son, L-Pink and Robbie all agreed that paysite sales were on life support and nobody argued that.

It must be threatening to someone ...

Paul Markham 08-25-2015 05:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by AmeliaG (Post 20015451)
That $14 billion number was always a fiction. At the time it was first bandied about, Playboy had a market cap of a hundred million and grossed about three hundred million a year. Even if you figure that Penthouse, Hustler, Vivid, and Private, every single major cam and dating player, and all the $30+PPS guys all did much bigger numbers than those, at the time, there is no way porn ever accounted for that much financial activity.

You're making the mistake most online people make. Penthouse, Hustler, Vivid, and Private, etc. Weren't the money makers in porn. They were the production sector. The money was in the shops.

Yes Playboy turned over three hundred million a year. Selling their magazines to shops who put a 300% mark up on it.

Paul Markham 08-25-2015 05:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by signupdamnit (Post 20015492)
Possible.

Even now I think there are serious misconceptions. People seem to think all the money is in the tubes, right? Since they have taken over and all. Well...

200 million uniques a day * $2.5 per 1000 uniques = $500,000 / day

$500,000 * 365 = $182.5 million

That's it. And that is revenue not profit. Now look at what was lost industry wide to generate that revenue. All this is right in front of our faces but we do not see it. It's a shame. If anything we should learn from these mistakes.

Are your figures based on people looking at Tube videos, or those that actually click an advert?

I remember a big porn company boasting they were converting 1-35,000 views into a join.

Milfer 08-25-2015 05:18 AM

OK, so when porn will no longer be produced, where these so called illegal tube sites will get content from?

As long as there are Hetro males who have erection "sex" will "sell". Period

Paul Markham 08-25-2015 05:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Magnetron (Post 20015551)
The people in denial are going to be the ones crapping themselves should tubes fall out of favor with Google.

Don't deny us that, you .... you ..... Denialist.

The people who don't know how to find a free tube. Aren't worth worrying about. They will just type in free porn tube and get it.

And the decline will continue. It's all about the moving market and how it effects our surfers. For every 80 year old who drops off the chart, back in the day an 18 year old replaced him. Now that 18 year old is programmed by culture to get it for free. Be it recorded porn or cams. Plus as I said in my thread dating has never been easier so the trough of single guys is smaller.

Only a return to B/W prices of 2005 will save porn from further decline. So look at your skills set, the general market and where the two fit in the mainstream online sector. While keeping doing what you are doing.

I'm glad I had 30+ years and the sense to adapt.

signupdamnit 08-25-2015 06:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jerkules (Post 20560220)
Any updates?

lol nice bump.

At this point I'm not sure if the media considers the decline of porn to be news anymore. But I'm sure there have been lots of articles since this was last updated. I also think even back then 90% of the people reading this knew it already. You'd have to be pretty stubborn to read all these sources and think they were lies.

signupdamnit 08-25-2015 07:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mopek1 (Post 20560229)
The fact that so many people rush in to call signupdamnit a loser says a lot.

It tells us that there is an urge to CRUSH anyone who speaks ill of tubes or the industry's decline.

If nobody truly cared then nobody would reply. For example, I don't really care about most of the gfy posts that are tabloid-like. They have catchy and controversial titles but I'm not wasting my time with them. I move on and look for business threads.

But why when threads like this are started do you see the same people coming in and HAVING to counter it with such zeal? Why not ignore it if it's no big deal?

Not only that but the OP is also ridiculed and made to look like a loser? Why so?

He's not saying he can't be successful. He's talking about paysite joins. In another thread people like Ja$son, L-Pink and Robbie all agreed that paysite sales were on life support and nobody argued that.

It must be threatening to someone ...

That is why I tried to stick to posting news from mainstream sources and from big shots in the industry. In retrospect I should have totally ignored the comments and just continued posting articles. :)

I think in many cases it was just a case of shooting the messenger. People didn't like hearing that it's going to be harder than ever for them to make their next million in porn. In other cases the people involved had skin in the game where say they were trying to get new affiliates and here I was (in their eyes) telling their potential affiliates that for the most part they should not bother.

Whatever though. Like I said in the other post I think most of us agree now. It's water under the bridge.

signupdamnit 08-25-2015 07:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul Markham (Post 20560248)
Are your figures based on people looking at Tube videos, or those that actually click an advert?

I remember a big porn company boasting they were converting 1-35,000 views into a join.

As I recall it was unique views (not clicks) and that was just an estimate. The point was though that it seems to me that a lot of people in our industry believe these tubes are doing far more money than they probably really are doing. If you plug in some reasonable monetization numbers and figure it up with their actual traffic figures it becomes a bit underwhelming. It's a great profit for one company. Don't get me wrong. But when you consider that we're talking about 50%+ of all porn surfers then the numbers are just peanuts. I think us old timers would expect a lot more money from having so many eyes. But this (with the tubes) is the new reality.

JOELK 08-25-2015 09:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 12clicks (Post 20015519)
as I said, blame me for your failure if it helps you sleep nights.
In the mean time, those of us who can change with the times and stay legal will thrive. Those of you who whine about the demise of internet porn will wink out eventually.

"you wanna suck 12 click's dick?"

patadeperro 08-25-2015 10:45 AM

What is this? the thread of doom?

OldJeff 08-25-2015 12:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul Markham (Post 20560247)
You're making the mistake most online people make. Penthouse, Hustler, Vivid, and Private, etc. Weren't the money makers in porn. They were the production sector. The money was in the shops.

Yes Playboy turned over three hundred million a year. Selling their magazines to shops who put a 300% mark up on it.

Almost ! They all lost money on the actual sales of the magazines, they made their money from the advertising inside the pages

NemesisEnforcer 08-25-2015 02:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul Markham (Post 20560247)
You're making the mistake most online people make. Penthouse, Hustler, Vivid, and Private, etc. Weren't the money makers in porn. They were the production sector. The money was in the shops.

Yes Playboy turned over three hundred million a year. Selling their magazines to shops who put a 300% mark up on it.

Good point. I buy DVDs wholesale from $1.00 to $8.00 and sell them for $25 to $30. I see those same videos in the stores for as high as $50.

Magnetron 08-25-2015 04:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul Markham (Post 20560255)
And the decline will continue. It's all about the moving market and how it effects our surfers. For every 80 year old who drops off the chart, back in the day an 18 year old replaced him. Now that 18 year old is programmed by culture to get it for free. Be it recorded porn or cams

Only a return to B/W prices of 2005 will save porn from further decline.

Yes and No.

The market will correct itself.

Tubes and Paysites in general will experience a decrease in visitation due to a likewise cumulative disinterest in porn free and paid for. Some of each will fold their tents. There will be a redistribution of traffic.

To give away free porn or not to give away free porn; that will be the question across a more leveled playing field.

Best-In-BC 08-25-2015 08:23 PM

Brazzers and Porn Hub are the reason, I dont hate them, just a fact if you know the history

Paul Markham 08-26-2015 01:25 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by signupdamnit (Post 20560294)
As I recall it was unique views (not clicks) and that was just an estimate. The point was though that it seems to me that a lot of people in our industry believe these tubes are doing far more money than they probably really are doing. If you plug in some reasonable monetization numbers and figure it up with their actual traffic figures it becomes a bit underwhelming. It's a great profit for one company. Don't get me wrong. But when you consider that we're talking about 50%+ of all porn surfers then the numbers are just peanuts. I think us old timers would expect a lot more money from having so many eyes. But this (with the tubes) is the new reality.

A better estimate would be 1-10 uniques clicking on an advert, even that's a bit high. Tubes are going nowhere though. Their cost of running, has to climb before anything changes.

Quote:

Originally Posted by OldJeff (Post 20560584)
Almost ! They all lost money on the actual sales of the magazines, they made their money from the advertising inside the pages

I'm talking about the revenue in the shop, not the producers.

Quote:

Originally Posted by NemesisEnforcer (Post 20560688)
Good point. I buy DVDs wholesale from $1.00 to $8.00 and sell them for $25 to $30. I see those same videos in the stores for as high as $50.

Everyone online compared their retail sales, with offline wholesale or production sales. :upsidedow

Paul Markham 08-26-2015 01:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Magnetron (Post 20560793)
Yes and No.

The market will correct itself.

Tubes and Paysites in general will experience a decrease in visitation due to a likewise cumulative disinterest in porn free and paid for. Some of each will fold their tents. There will be a redistribution of traffic.

To give away free porn or not to give away free porn; that will be the question across a more leveled playing field.

No and No.

The only question is. Can Tubes afford to give it away to get 1-10 to click on an advert. So they can sell it for $0.00025. If the return on traffic drops below the costs, then there maybe a chance. But I wouldn't base a career on it.

Magnetron 08-26-2015 04:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul Markham (Post 20561098)
No and No.

The only question is. Can Tubes afford to give it away to get 1-10 to click on an advert. So they can sell it for $0.00025. If the return on traffic drops below the costs, then there maybe a chance. But I wouldn't base a career on it.

The locusts who don't know how to sell anything because they only comprehend high volume will move on to bigger and better investments before such a tipping point is reached. So expect more consolidation as some of those smaller potatoes sell out to the bigger spuds like Mindgeek.

Those that do have salesmanship skills will begin to experiment with actually selling porn again.

ITraffic 08-26-2015 05:04 AM

pre-recorded porn is dead / dying yes. tubes are just the symptom not the cause.

no point looking at a video when anyone can get the real thing off pof, tinder, cl, backpage, cam shows and so on.

technology and society changed. deal with it.

Roald 08-26-2015 05:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ITraffic (Post 20561202)
pre-recorded porn is dead / dying yes. tubes are just the symptom not the cause.

no point looking at a video when anyone can get the real thing off pof, tinder, cl, backpage, cam shows and so on.

technology and society changed. deal with it.

wrong.


...

mopek1 08-26-2015 09:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Roald (Post 20561224)
wrong.


...

Why so?

I'm not saying I disagree with you but I'd just like to know your thoughts on why.

Roald 08-26-2015 12:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mopek1 (Post 20561537)
Why so?

I'm not saying I disagree with you but I'd just like to know your thoughts on why.

Because the convenience of a quick wank on a video will beat the time to score with an actual girl any time.

Also 9 out of 10 people don't care about cams either. Sure lots of money in cams and sure pay site sales might be in a downfall (for a lot of companies) but to say pre-recorded porn is dead is just wrong.

Just my :2 cents:

lezinterracial 08-26-2015 03:09 PM

From what I have seen.

Seems to be that the new porn producers are small with simple clips4sale stores. Usually have partner programs with the major tubes, probably a good way to advertise and maybe a fast lane to get their stolen content down. Custom videos usually leaning towards taboo topics. (ex. taboodiaries, cockninja).

They have short preview vids and their stolen videos are probably getting zapped fairly quick.

Paul Markham 08-27-2015 12:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ITraffic (Post 20561202)
pre-recorded porn is dead / dying yes. tubes are just the symptom not the cause.

no point looking at a video when anyone can get the real thing off pof, tinder, cl, backpage, cam shows and so on.

technology and society changed. deal with it.

:thumbsup

The social trend in dating is causing a drop in young people needing porn for a quick wank. Even then for the odd times they do, they won't be joining.

I've a 13 year old daughter. Her classmates are 13/14 just. Some are dating. By the time they have credit cards, most will be in or between relationships, nearly all will be sexually active. So the need to "rub one out quick" will have dropped considerably. The need to pay for has gone for most of your target market.

This is your next big hit. Will it be big enough to make Tubes selling traffic unprofitable?????

This could be a balancing effect.

Paul Markham 08-27-2015 12:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by lezinterracial (Post 20561840)
From what I have seen.

Seems to be that the new porn producers are small with simple clips4sale stores. Usually have partner programs with the major tubes, probably a good way to advertise and maybe a fast lane to get their stolen content down. Custom videos usually leaning towards taboo topics. (ex. taboodiaries, cockninja).

They have short preview vids and their stolen videos are probably getting zapped fairly quick.

Who was the last big paysite company to launch?

What was the last big paysite to launch that wasn't just a new tour of the same style content, with an older paysite being put out to pasture?

Roald 08-27-2015 12:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Paul Markham (Post 20562247)
Who was the last big paysite company to launch?

What was the last big paysite to launch that wasn't just a new tour of the same style content, with an older paysite being put out to pasture?

Blacked.com?
Tushy.com?

AmeliaG 08-27-2015 01:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DWB (Post 20015777)
I don't have a tube, so I'm in the same boat as everyone else. I've adapted to having less traffic, and did so by tweaking our tours to make them convert better. There are so many ways to get data today it's unreal. With heat maps, GA, A/B testing, and so on, you can choose the right images, text, and buttons on your tours, totally optimizing it so that that lesser traffic converts better than ever. If you know how people are using your site, and what they are looking at and clicking on, you can make a lot more money than if you just throw a bunch of content online and hope you do well with it.

So take your traffic, even if it's less, and learn how to milk everything you can out of it. What's the alternative? We all have to work with what we have.

Interesting post. What are some of your favorite heatmap tools?


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