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dyna mo 11-28-2014 03:44 PM

"Why Civil Resistance Works: The Strategic Logic of Nonviolent Conflict"

The historical record indicates that nonviolent campaigns have been more successful than armed campaigns in achieving ultimate goals in political struggles, even when used against similar opponents and in the face of repression. Nonviolent campaigns are more likely to win legitimacy, attract widespread domestic and international support, neutralize the opponent’s security forces, and compel loyalty shifts among erstwhile opponent supporters than are armed campaigns, which enjoin the active support of a relatively small number of people, offer the opponent a justification for violent counterattacks, and are less likely to prompt loyalty shifts and defections. An original, aggregate data set of all known major nonviolent and violent resistance campaigns from 1900 to 2006 is used to test these claims. These dynamics are further explored in case studies of resistance campaigns in Southeast Asia that have featured periods of both violent and nonviolent resistance.

Why Civil Resistance Works: The Strategic Logic of Nonviolent Conflict - Harvard - Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

blackmonsters 11-28-2014 03:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Horatio Caine (Post 20305422)
Don't let those whities discourage you. I find your posts very entertaining. Prosecutor, judge. Whats the difference?

Are you actually this stupid?

OK, let me explain what I did to you here.

I accused the prosecutor of not wanting to prosecute the case by pretending that I fucked up by thinking a prosecutor would do that in this case.

Got it.

:1orglaugh

Axeman 11-28-2014 06:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackmonsters (Post 20305409)
Yeah, I fucked up and just assumed that a prosecutor would want the case to continue and ask a judge.

Now that was dumb of me in this case.


:1orglaugh

A prosecutor would never bring this case to trial, as its not winnable. Even Jeffery Tobin of CNN, had to agree after he went through what was presented to the grand jury. He said though he agreed its easy to get an indictment if wanted, its also his duty to not bring forth a case to a grand jury, that they know they can't win. And Tobin said there is no jury that would convict. And he was solidly in the Brown camp until he went through the evidence. Specifically the forensics, and the 6 or so witnesses that were never in the media, that he didn't know about, but pretty much backed up the forensics and Wilson's account of events.

As for the DOJ bringing a case, that's just never going to happen. Their burden of proof for a civil rights violation is WAY higher than a regular trial. They have to prove that Brown was killed because he was black, and that Wilson sought him out for this reason. That is never going to happen in this case. There is just nothing in the evidence to suggest this was the case. Especially since the most vocal witnesses at the start, were proved to be wrong based on forensics, but many also recanted and changed their testimonies and facts came out, such as the autopsy.

I could see the Brown family trying a civil case though. Don't think they win, but that is at least plausible.

dyna mo 11-28-2014 06:41 PM

A high burden of proof is not an obstacle to the DOJ pursuing a civil rights matter.

In fact, if I recall, the DOJ has a history of prosecuting civil rights cases simply to get more facts out to the general public, not necc to win. not to mention an eric holder led DOJ and his chummy president friend who doesn't hesitate to weigh in on these race matters could easily chat to make a case happen here.

dyna mo 11-28-2014 06:45 PM

Oh and don't forget the justice dept can also take over that PD and implement the changes needed.

which is more to my point, I'm not necc interested in this case specifically, or punishing this cop specifically. I am more interested in getting changes implement to curb the systemic issue of police shootings, brutality, power, etc. that is plaguing the good ole USA today.

the DOJ is charged with being responsible to correct those things and has intervened in several police departments, albuquerque for instance.

SilentKnight 11-28-2014 06:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackmonsters (Post 20304964)
I hear ya man. A white cop killed a black dude so lets charge every black person we can with a crime to fix that.

:thumbsup

If that's your full understanding of the situation - you're part of the problem.

kane 11-28-2014 07:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by crockett (Post 20304926)
Why just arrest him, they should be arresting anyone they can identify. I'm all for people's right to assemble and protest, but they only assemble to loot and vandalize.

They likely will be arresting many looters. I doubt they will arrest Brown. Doing so would likely be more trouble than it is worth. I would imagine over the next few weeks as they go through various videos and identify looters they will be arresting them.

John_Galbani 11-28-2014 07:07 PM

Wow, black people riot again in America?

dyna mo 11-28-2014 07:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by John_Galbani (Post 20305598)
Wow, black people riot again in America?

10 race/black riots since 1980, your point?

Mass racial violence in the United States since 1980

Horatio Caine 11-28-2014 07:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackmonsters (Post 20305431)
Are you actually this stupid?

OK, let me explain what I did to you here.

I accused the prosecutor of not wanting to prosecute the case by pretending that I fucked up by thinking a prosecutor would do that in this case.

Got it.

:1orglaugh

I pretended to fuck up :1orglaugh Life long excuse of a failure :1orglaugh

Got it :thumbsup

Horatio Caine 11-28-2014 07:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dyna mo (Post 20305602)

Just out of curiosity has there been any Indian, Asian or Latino riots since 1980's?

dyna mo 11-28-2014 07:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Horatio Caine (Post 20305607)
Just out of curiosity has there been any Indian, Asian or Latino riots since 1980's?

You're curious, I'm sure you can find the data. In fact, there's prolly a ton out there exploring that very topic, why not gather some of it and contribute it here? :thumbsup

blackmonsters 11-28-2014 07:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Axeman (Post 20305555)
A prosecutor would never bring this case to trial, as its not winnable. Even Jeffery Tobin of CNN, had to agree after he went through what was presented to the grand jury. He said though he agreed its easy to get an indictment if wanted, its also his duty to not bring forth a case to a grand jury, that they know they can't win. And Tobin said there is no jury that would convict. And he was solidly in the Brown camp until he went through the evidence. Specifically the forensics, and the 6 or so witnesses that were never in the media, that he didn't know about, but pretty much backed up the forensics and Wilson's account of events.

As for the DOJ bringing a case, that's just never going to happen. Their burden of proof for a civil rights violation is WAY higher than a regular trial. They have to prove that Brown was killed because he was black, and that Wilson sought him out for this reason. That is never going to happen in this case. There is just nothing in the evidence to suggest this was the case. Especially since the most vocal witnesses at the start, were proved to be wrong based on forensics, but many also recanted and changed their testimonies and facts came out, such as the autopsy.

I could see the Brown family trying a civil case though. Don't think they win, but that is at least plausible.


I can examine a bullet wound and tell you 18,000 stories of how it got there; but a good eye witness is only going to tell you one story over and over again.

Certain wounds can be determined to have caused death and therefore would most likely be
the last shots fired;
but after that, it's just pulling shit out of one's ass to form a scenario of when and how each shot was fired.

If I took a human like manikin and posed it several times to shoot it as if I was in a struggle with it and recorded it on video tape; then I'd like to give it to 10 coroners to
tell me what happened to the manikin.
Not a single one of their scenarios would match to the video tape.

:1orglaugh

kane 11-28-2014 08:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackmonsters (Post 20305619)
I can examine a bullet wound and tell you 18,000 stories of how it got there; but a good eye witness is only going to tell you one story over and over again.

Certain wounds can be determined to have caused death and therefore would most likely be
the last shots fired;
but after that, it's just pulling shit out of one's ass to form a scenario of when and how each shot was fired.

If I took a human like manikin and posed it several times to shoot it as if I was in a struggle with it and recorded it on video tape; then I'd like to give it to 10 coroners to
tell me what happened to the manikin.
Not a single one of their scenarios would match to the video tape.

:1orglaugh

Just because the eye witness tells you the same story over and over against doesn't mean it is accurate. There have been a lot of studies that show eye witnesses, especially in violent crimes, get things wrong. They may believe they are correct, but in reality they aren't

The innocence project says that in 72% of the cases where DNA overturned a conviction the reason the person was convicted was from an eyewitness misidentifying the person or the action.

In a perfect world if you have multiple people all telling you the same thing there is a good chance that is how it went down.

If it were me and my freedom was on the line and I had to choose between science and an eyewitness I would take the science.

DBS.US 11-28-2014 09:15 PM

http://images.craigslist.org/00a0a_8...is_600x450.jpg

JJ Gold 11-28-2014 10:04 PM

Axl Rose was arrested for inciting a riot in St. Louis and all he did was go home early.

2MuchMark 11-29-2014 12:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rochard (Post 20304914)
Really strange.... I saw the father of Michael Brown shouting "Burn this bitch down" during a riot and hours later a dozen buildings were on fire causing millions of dollars of damage. Why haven't they arrested him for inciting a riot?

I mean... He was the center of the protest and he was yelling out to everyone at the protest to "burn the bitch down" and that's exactly what they did.

I don't know... I'd let him off the hook. The mom had just found out that the cop wouldn't be held responsible, and she started crying. Then he got up and held her for about 30 seconds or so, then he lost it of course. It's got to be insanely hard to lose a child, and to watch the person you love cry her eyes out after an already insane 6 months or so can easily push anyone over the edge.

baddog 11-29-2014 12:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JJ Gold (Post 20305678)
Axl Rose was arrested for inciting a riot in St. Louis and all he did was go home early.

Good point

Horatio Caine 11-29-2014 12:25 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackmonsters (Post 20305619)
I can examine a bullet wound and tell you 18,000 stories of how it got there;

Forensics. Do they teach it in "black" schools. Southern, Grambling, Morgan???

Horatio Caine 11-29-2014 12:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JJ Gold (Post 20305678)
Axl Rose was arrested for inciting a riot in St. Louis and all he did was go home early.

White guy. Doesn't count.

Horatio Caine 11-29-2014 12:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dyna mo (Post 20305608)
You're curious, I'm sure you can find the data. In fact, there's prolly a ton out there exploring that very topic, why not gather some of it and contribute it here? :thumbsup

But that would be racist. Stats are racist in general. :2 cents:

JJ Gold 11-29-2014 06:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Horatio Caine (Post 20305765)
White guy. Doesn't count.

If you look deeper you will see that the persecution of Mr. Rose was the result of the anti-Ginger bias that permeates our society.

dyna mo 11-29-2014 06:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ********** (Post 20305751)
I don't know... I'd let him off the hook. The mom had just found out that the cop wouldn't be held responsible, and she started crying. Then he got up and held her for about 30 seconds or so, then he lost it of course. It's got to be insanely hard to lose a child, and to watch the person you love cry her eyes out after an already insane 6 months or so can easily push anyone over the edge.

Save a bird but burn a city down. Jesus fucking Christ you're stupid.


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