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17% yield ? At this rate it makes russian bonds highly speculative. Putin will probably try to blackmail the world's economy with a risk of default (france is playing the same game with Switzerland, "too big to fail") and i bet that this is probably what is going to happen. I hope that russia's agriculture is totally selfstanding. |
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Also the dollar has a special status... |
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If the fund rate is high, then it's easier for the russian central bank to borrow money outside of the country since it pays more. But if the russian economy is going to shrink, then it's gonna be harder for russia to reimburse its debt. I guess that the outcome is also partially based on russia's real strength... |
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Russia might just get a year of high inflation. The top of Ruble weakness is over so inflation should moderate after that. As for special status ie Reserve Currency Status, Obama & co and doing "everything they can" to destroy that. Both Russia and China are ditching the dollar big time: VANNESS: Russia, China preparing to eliminate our reserve currency status - Washington Times It's a shame because they could have kept that going for a long time. Russia and China would have just played along but Obama (and the neo cons) have wrecked it. Infact all the major emerging markets are ditching the dollar. It'll take a very long time for the dollar to lose that status but its happening as we speak. |
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Russia will probably have to buy chinese goods.. |
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Bottom line is that the Chinese are doing many bi-lateral swap agreements with different countries and I believe it has been done with all the majors now, so it wont be long im sure before the Yuan (Renminbi) is a fully convertible currency. We're probably talking no more than 6 - 8 years from now but some say much sooner: How Long Before China's Renminbi Becomes Fully Convertible? - Forbes Shame they have to avoid USD but RMB is a great holding by the way. I have as many RMB as I have USD. Right now you get 6 RMB for 1 USD. Within twenty years from now it'll no doubt will have reached one for one. China is one hot fast growing economy - 4 Trillion USD foreign currency reserves. Name me one country in the world which is a "creditor nation" and that has even a quarter or that? |
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Nielsen CEO Predicts Boost in Chinese Household Consumption by 2020 So there's no way of knowing what the outlook will be but I think most analysts expect the RMB to continue to appreciate (in the long term) which is why I hold some. I'd rather hold RMB than Euros that's for sure. |
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http://quotes.ino.com/charting/histo...15&a=50&v=dmax
Yep, and I am stuck with all those worthless (petro)dollars:upsidedow |
interesting how everyone talks about RUB when it sinks, but nobody talks about it when it recovers
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bump me. 65/1$
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Ruble follows the oil prices. Good news anyways :thumbsup
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http://kurs-dollara.net/image/kurs-d...blyu-month.php |
yes but still at $1 for 53 rubles
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