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-   -   News Put your predictions down - how many seats to democrats pick up in the House? (https://gfy.com/showthread.php?t=1302077)

VRPdommy 10-23-2018 06:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ilnjscb (Post 22354648)
2 Weeks UPDATE: They say president Trump is rising in the polls but the blue wave in the House is holding - 538 says 36 seat pic up, RCP says 25.5 seat pick up, most of the others between 30 and 40.

Democrats need 23 seats to get the power of the gavel. We have predictions from losing 7 seats to gaining 60+

Any new insight?

Ya,
Trump is promising tax breaks to the middle class....
Wern't they suppose to be getting those the last tax break ?
Congress was unaware and on break. Paying for it has not entered the picture.
It certainly moves folks. That is why he did it. I believe they know they have a issue in the house but want to at least keep the senate. And that they might do.

I still think the house will flip, but it's a question of how far.
The senate will probably remain a narrow majority.

Trump still has 2 weeks to piss of more voters and change the turnout.

I think the 2 party system needs 1 or 2 more party's to change the landscape and re-focus attention where it needs to be. The only issues we have been dealing with are the ones they fabricate mountain from molehill making them worse.

celandina 10-24-2018 08:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by celandina (Post 22317515)
They will loose 7 in total....talk to me on Nov 7th:thumbsup

I will correct myself...Dems will loose more then 10.

ilnjscb 10-29-2018 08:33 PM

Now everyone is saying the early vote heralds something, but what? Does anyone have insight?

ilnjscb 11-03-2018 03:10 PM

3 days out and, for the House races,

RCP says dems pick up 26
538 says dems pick up 39
Predictit says the dems pick up 25+
Cook Report says the dems pick up 30-40

If the polls were off by 1.5 in dems favor, as they were in 2016, dems STILL win 23 seats and take the house.

Still, Trump's approval is highest its been in years, what will happen?

OneHungLo 11-03-2018 03:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tony286 (Post 22323111)
The economy and the job market aren't that hot. If you are wall street it's hot. When the ups store prefers a 4 yr degree to work the front counter that means they can be picky then it's not hot.

Turn off CNN.

onwebcam 11-03-2018 03:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ilnjscb (Post 22360864)
what will happen?

More disappointment for Democrats.

ilnjscb 11-04-2018 02:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by onwebcam (Post 22360870)
More disappointment for Democrats.

You still haven't put down a number have you? Are you saying a "it's not a blue wave we only won 25 seats" disappointed or dems don't win the house and get only 17 disappointment, or dems even lose seats? Clarify for us.

ilnjscb 11-06-2018 09:08 AM

12 hours and we know!

crockett 11-06-2018 11:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ilnjscb (Post 22362440)
12 hours and we know!

I'm sure there will be a few races that will be recounting and not done for days

_Richard_ 11-06-2018 11:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ilnjscb (Post 22362440)
12 hours and we know!

odd how important this vote is

Bladewire 11-06-2018 11:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ilnjscb (Post 22361362)
You still haven't put down a number have you? Are you saying a "it's not a blue wave we only won 25 seats" disappointed or dems don't win the house and get only 17 disappointment, or dems even lose seats? Clarify for us.

He doesn't have that kind of depth

He just trolls

ilnjscb 11-06-2018 12:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by crockett (Post 22362493)
I'm sure there will be a few races that will be recounting and not done for days

You think it will be that close? Maybe

ilnjscb 11-07-2018 07:46 AM

So the tally so far:

Democrats
219(+26)

Republicans
195(-26)

With 20+ seats left to call, the democrats have taken the house. They have already promised to begin acting as a check on presidential power.

The popular vote was 7-8% democrat, exactly as averages of polls predicted.

What was different was money. Democrats had a huge money advantage. None of this is good for republicans as far as I can see.

thommy 11-07-2018 07:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ilnjscb (Post 22363108)
So the tally so far:

Democrats
219(+26)

Republicans
195(-26)

With 20+ seats left to call, the democrats have taken the house. They have already promised to begin acting as a check on presidential power.

The popular vote was 7-8% democrat, exactly as averages of polls predicted.

What was different was money. Democrats had a huge money advantage. None of this is good for republicans as far as I can see.

right now 222 (+29) - so my prediction (30) was not that bad

ilnjscb 11-07-2018 03:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by thommy (Post 22363113)
right now 222 (+29) - so my prediction (30) was not that bad

Very close! It might be 30 in the end

kane 11-07-2018 04:18 PM

Looks like I was a little high.

I underestimated how much Trump would go out and campaign and what effect it would have.

crockett 11-07-2018 04:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by crockett (Post 22316547)
I havent looked at the races close enough, to make a guess on numbers but looking at all the special elections and being a few red states have been forced to redraw their lines due to illegally gerrymandered districts I think its a safe bet Democrats win tbe House.

Senate will be harder due to the limited amount of vunerable seats.

Called it 3 months ago...

kane 11-14-2018 07:34 PM

Well, they keep trickling in and now we are up to 32 seats gained. My guess of 39 suddenly doesn't look as bad.

ilnjscb 11-24-2018 10:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kane (Post 22367378)
Well, they keep trickling in and now we are up to 32 seats gained. My guess of 39 suddenly doesn't look as bad.

You might wind up being spot on! Mine was 36 seats and I think they passed me already

RedFred 11-24-2018 10:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Acepimp (Post 22316850)
Maybe one or 2. But since a photo ID will now be required, and Democrats claim that is somehow racist because blacks are too dumb and poor to pay $10 for an ID card, the turnout for the Democrats will be very low.

:1orglaugh


Quote:

Originally Posted by celandina (Post 22317515)
They will loose 7 in total....talk to me on Nov 7th:thumbsup


Quote:

Originally Posted by onwebcam (Post 22360870)
More disappointment for Democrats.


Any more predictions from you delusional geniuses? :1orglaugh

JFK 11-24-2018 10:48 AM

100 Seats ! :Graucho

kane 11-24-2018 01:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ilnjscb (Post 22371613)
You might wind up being spot on! Mine was 36 seats and I think they passed me already

It's looking that way. :thumbsup:pimp:upsidedow:)


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