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-   -   When will I go over 100,000 (https://gfy.com/showthread.php?t=1306048)

sarettah 11-28-2018 03:44 PM

One hunnerd guesses for one hunnerd dollers when I hit one hunnerd thousand buck a roos.


(I know triple post, sue me).

.

Smack dat 11-28-2018 03:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sarettah (Post 22373722)
Ok, I'll bite. What is wrong with my math?

.

Nothing.

RyuLion 11-28-2018 03:51 PM

December 8th
10am.
If I win, send it to Grapesoda -btw

CaptainHowdy 11-28-2018 04:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sarettah (Post 22373724)
Well, the rules say the closest guess, so if nobody has the closest guess, yeah, I will give you the $100. Sure.


.

https://media.giphy.com/media/nZymwrrw9PjDa/giphy.gif

Acepimp 11-28-2018 06:30 PM

Based on the latest update, I predict that the winner will be:

➜ Smackdat Nov 30, 7am

Can we do a 2nd place for whoever predicts the winner today by midnight?

:D

Adult-biz 11-28-2018 06:44 PM

01st December 01:00 am
Please send to a dog/animal charity if I win. :)

sarettah 11-28-2018 08:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RyuLion (Post 22373734)
December 8th
10am.
If I win, send it to Grapesoda -btw

Quote:

Originally Posted by Statiztics (Post 22373820)
01st December 01:00 am
Please send to a dog/animal charity if I win. :)

The rules state that the cut off for guesses was November 23 at midnight CST.

If you talk real nice to JesseQuinn she might allow your entries in. It is totally up to her.

The rules also state:

Quote:

The prize is $100 to be delivered to the winner via paypal. If they do not have a paypal account then they need to work out a deal with someone to get the money to them. I am doing paypal. If they want it donated to charity then they can donate it to charity. The $100 is going from me to the winner.
The rules: https://gfy.com/22370926-post44.html


.

Adult-biz 11-28-2018 08:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sarettah (Post 22373852)
The rules state that the cut off for guesses was November 23 at midnight CST.

If you talk real nice to JesseQuinn she might allow your entries in. It is totally up to her.

The rules also state:



The rules: https://gfy.com/22370926-post44.html


.

Apologies...I didn't bother reading the rules. :)

Good luck with your continued success in promoting them.

sarettah 11-28-2018 08:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Statiztics (Post 22373858)
Apologies...I didn't bother reading the rules. :)

Good luck with your continued success in promoting them.

Esta no problema.

When Jesse sees this she will make her pronouncement regarding whether your entry counts.

So far she has been pretty nice about it.

.

sarettah 11-28-2018 11:19 PM

Midnight Total: $99,919.92

So, $80.08 to go.

I had $80+ days on the 12th, 19th and 24th of this month. So, it could be today (the 29th), I also have had a below $20 on the 25th and a below $30 on the 20th so it could be several days out yet. Numbers have been all over the place lately.


.

JesseQuinn 11-29-2018 01:33 AM

I am honored to be your counsel =)

After deep thought not on the decision (that was easy) but the best way to express it, I came up with this. Your victory song is not your purview, but I can demonstrate respect for your own taste in music with this: tear down the wall

Let'em both in :D

NatalieK 11-29-2018 07:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sarettah (Post 22373913)
Midnight Total: $99,919.92

So, $80.08 to go.

I had $80+ days on the 12th, 19th and 24th of this month. So, it could be today (the 29th), I also have had a below $20 on the 25th and a below $30 on the 20th so it could be several days out yet. Numbers have been all over the place lately.


.

for the past 2 weeks, i´ve had nothing but sales & rebills, i´m on a right high, was wishing the same for you with this, i´d have probably won then too :thumbsup

In the meantime, if there´s a second vote as it takes longer, maybe to the nearest hr, i´ll go for the 30th, 9pm your time...

either way, it´s all been a bit of fun, nice one to you Sarattah to bring back some forum fun...

and remember kids, gambling´s not a good thing :winkwink: :thumbsup

sarettah 11-29-2018 07:58 AM

The guesses right now stand at: These have already missed: LouiseLloyd Nov 23, 3:00am - Passed, so
 
The guesses right now stand at:

These have already missed:

LouiseLloyd Nov 23, 3:00am - Passed, sorry
Shoplifter Nov 25, 11am - Passed, sorry
Onwebcam Nov 26th 11AM - Passed - sorry
Paul&John Nov 26, 1pm - Passed - sorry
adultchatpay Nov 27, 8am - Passed - sorry
Juicybunny Nov 27, 1pm - Passed - sorry
klinton Nov 27, 6pm - Passed - sorry
emmasexytime Nov 27, 7pm - Passed - sorry
blackmonsters Nov 27, 8pm - Passed - sorry
GspotProductions Nov 27, 9pm - Passed - sorry
ColMike7 Nov 27, 11pm - Passed - sorry
Matt-ADX Nov 28th 7am - Passed - sorry
bns666 Nov 28, 8am - Passed - sorry
AcePimp Nov 28, 9am - Passed - sorry
ianmoone332000 Nov 28, 8pm - Passed - sorry
AllAboutCams Nov 29, 3am - Passed - sorry

These are still in the running:

j3rkules Nov 29, 10am

bloggerz Nov 30, 12am
Smackdat Nov 30, 7am

Statiztics Dec 1, 1am
Bjorn_Tasty1 Dec 1, 13:01 (1:01 pm)

awxm Dec 2, 8pm
OneHungLo Dec 2, 11pm

The Porn Nerd Dec 5, 3pm

Ryulion Dec 8, 201am

Oracle Porn Dec 10, 11:23pm

Busty2 Dec 25, 12 noon

.

Mohawk Steve 11-29-2018 09:45 AM

Did I win? :upsidedow

sarettah 11-29-2018 10:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mohawk Steve (Post 22374101)
Did I win? :upsidedow

You're the number 1 weiner in my book :thumbsup

.

Mohawk Steve 11-29-2018 10:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sarettah (Post 22374127)
You're the number 1 weiner in my book :thumbsup

.


Smack dat 11-29-2018 04:32 PM

Holy fuck, just realised I made a monumental error. I meant 7pm, not 7am?

CaptainHowdy 11-29-2018 04:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Smack dat (Post 22374286)
Holy fuck, just realised I made a monumental error. I meant 7pm, not 7am?

:1orglaugh :1orglaugh . . .

sarettah 11-29-2018 05:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Smack dat (Post 22370693)
Quick guess.

Looks like you are approx 493.14 short of the $100k
Looks like you earn approx $54.79 a day from Chaturbate suggests you will hit the magic number in around 9 days so I will say:
30th November at 7am

Quote:

Originally Posted by Smack dat (Post 22374286)
Holy fuck, just realised I made a monumental error. I meant 7pm, not 7am?



If you want to change it we can check with Jesse and see if she has a problem with it or not.

Let us know please.

.

Shoplifter 11-29-2018 08:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sarettah (Post 22373913)
Midnight Total: $99,919.92

So, $80.08 to go.

I had $80+ days on the 12th, 19th and 24th of this month. So, it could be today (the 29th), I also have had a below $20 on the 25th and a below $30 on the 20th so it could be several days out yet. Numbers have been all over the place lately.

I had figured there might be some good days over the Thanksgiving weekend so I had chosen the 25th, but it's been pretty slow here.

sarettah 11-29-2018 11:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Acepimp (Post 22373811)
Can we do a 2nd place for whoever predicts the winner today by midnight?

:D

I forgot to answer this, sorry about that.

Sure, we can do that contest, how much prize money are you putting up? ;p

.

freecartoonporn 11-30-2018 01:54 AM

still going ?

good luck.

sarettah 11-30-2018 11:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Smack dat (Post 22374286)
Holy fuck, just realised I made a monumental error. I meant 7pm, not 7am?

Quote:

Originally Posted by sarettah (Post 22374309)
If you want to change it we can check with Jesse and see if she has a problem with it or not.

Let us know please.

.

I am still waiting on an answer to this question.

.

O MARINA 11-30-2018 11:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sarettah (Post 22370552)
$99,506.86


Congrats to the weiner.

.



Did you ask that Mohawk man for free iPod ?????
Super fre iPod status reached.

Mohawk Steve 11-30-2018 11:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by O MARINA (Post 22374581)
Did you ask that Mohawk man for free iPod ?????
Super fre iPod status reached.

1st Generation iPod Nano with the smallest available memory option :thumbsup Only the finest!

O MARINA 11-30-2018 11:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mohawk Steve (Post 22374583)
1st Generation iPod Nano with the smallest available memory option :thumbsup Only the finest!

Hello Esteeve!
I send you 1 sale which chargeback next day. Please express mail me iPod thxs

JesseQuinn 11-30-2018 11:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sarettah (Post 22374580)
I am still waiting on an answer to this question.

.

my bad, I thought you were waiting on a reply from SD

I think he's good people but honestly, a vote switch from anyone so late in the game isn't fair to the other participants. if it was onehunglow I'd be tempted to let him change it as him winning would piss a couple of people off, but even then it wouldn't be a fair thing to do.

you gave everyone a chance to re-vote, posted updates of all contestants and their time periods several times, and to change time period so close to the finish line, this late in the race really isn't fair to everyone else

just my two cents, this is YOUR contest so you make the final call por favor

sarettah 11-30-2018 11:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by O MARINA (Post 22374581)
Did you ask that Mohawk man for free iPod ?????
Super fre iPod status reached.

Nah, I don't ask for too much stuff. I like cash ;p

Thanks for the recommendation though.

.

sarettah 11-30-2018 11:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JesseQuinn (Post 22374586)
my bad, I thought you were waiting on a reply from SD

I think he's good people but honestly, a vote switch from anyone so late in the game isn't fair to the other participants. if it was onehunglow I'd be tempted to let him change it as him winning would piss a couple of people off, but even then it wouldn't be a fair thing to do.

you gave everyone a chance to re-vote, posted updates of all contestants and their time periods several times, and to change time period so close to the finish line, this late in the race really isn't fair to everyone else

just my two cents, this is YOUR contest so you make the final call por favor

Lol, yes I am still waiting on Smack Dat, not you. But thanks for the ruling though,

I sent him a pm to see if he was serious or not. You have made the rules calls so far, so in fairness to all I am going to go with your call on it.

.

sarettah 11-30-2018 12:09 PM

Lat night, at midnight, there was still a touch over $20.00 to go.

This morning when I got up at 6:40am (an ungodly hour I must say) we were at $99,999.99. I kid you not. You can't make this shit up.

I have been using a total screen from the stats and doing a date range of January 1, 2014 - Now for all the totals. When I went to double check the total, because it was just one penny, I took the last total from the 28th and added the 29th and a little from this morning to it and that way it came out to exactly $100,000.

I was like WTF? I checked both ways again. One way said 99,999.99 the other said 100,000.

Turns out that the total column in CB's stats does not contain the sum of the column but instead contains 20% of the total sales. When they do the rounding they lose the penny I was seeing.

Since I have been using the entire date range screen for the contest I decided to stick with that. So, as of 6:40 am this morning we are at $99,999.99

Here is a screen showing the mistake:

http://www.madspiders.com/images/cb_...math_error.jpg

Here are the stats as they were when I woke up:

http://www.madspiders.com/images/cbstats_11302018.jpg

And here is the calculation showing the total:

http://www.madspiders.com/images/cb_total_11302018.jpg

.

Mr. Deltoid 11-30-2018 12:47 PM

Good stuff. Have you guys noticed any changes in conversions over the past few years? It seems like Chaturbate might be getting quite saturated.

sarettah 11-30-2018 12:47 PM

At 8:04am this morning a $4.63 commission on a $23.16 sale by a member who signed up in September 2015 put me over the top.

So, from what I can see, the winner of the $100 via paypal is Smack Dat. He had the 7:00am spot this morning. The next closest guess would Statiztics who picked 1:00am tomorrow.

So, Smack Dat get with me and I will get the $100 to you.

This was fun, thanks to everybody who participated.

And Thanks to Chaturbate, Shirley (Punker), Steve, the support guys and my favorite enemies the developers for 5 good years. I hope to have many more.

.

JesseQuinn 11-30-2018 12:47 PM

damn, I was hoping you had already gone over before noon so SD would win fairly

I'm sorry, I should have spent more tokens on Jel aka hotstud4U this morning :(

this is probably a good time to mention the fine print of the contest, remember the part where the winner gives second place a bj and films it for me? :upsidedow

sarettah 11-30-2018 12:48 PM

The Weiner!

Smackdat Nov 30, 7am


.

JesseQuinn 11-30-2018 12:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sarettah (Post 22374621)
The Weiner!

Smackdat Nov 30, 7am


.

lol, I totally missed you last post, congrats to you both!!!

just remember the fine print

for real S, huge congrats :pimp


Acepimp 11-30-2018 01:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Acepimp (Post 22373811)
Based on the latest update, I predict that the winner will be:

➜ Smackdat Nov 30, 7am

Can we do a 2nd place for whoever predicts the winner today by midnight?

:D

^^ Called it 2 days ago!!! :cool-smil:thumbsup


Quote:

Originally Posted by Smack dat (Post 22374286)
Holy fuck, just realised I made a monumental error. I meant 7pm, not 7am?

Wait, so i actually won, right?? Oh but then I would have to give him a BJ and film it... nah I'm good lol

Congrats Smackdat!!

Smack dat 11-30-2018 04:35 PM

Oh wow! So I won huh!

I guess now it's speech time!

Thankyou GoFuckYourself for allowing this contest and congratulations to Sarettah for generating $100,000 in sales with Chaturbate. One of the best adult webcam affiliate sites.

The most amazing thing about this contest is that my "guess" wasn't just a guess it was a prediction based on income generated over along time period.
When you have a large amount of data over a long period of time it's pretty easy to predict when a specific thing will happen.
Of course there are no guarantees however I was pretty confident.
The time of course was chosen based on the exact time of the initial contest post.

I only had one wobble and that was the other day when I wanted to change the time. I saw how close it was and started to doubt myself. I then said fuck it, trust your instincts and perhaps surprisingly it worked out for me.

Although God dammit I need the cash right now with Christmas coming up and all I'm sorry Sarettah I can't accept the prize. I would like to see the proceeds donated to a children's charity instead.
I hope you understand, please give my doantion to children in the world that are in greater need than we.

The real meaning of Christmas isn't about Jesus or Santa or presents. It's about good will to all men. It's about sharing and looking out for others. It's about thinking about others before yourself.

I may not have $100 in my PayPal account but I hope that in some small way the $100 goes to helping a child have a brighter Christmas. One devoid of abuse and hunger and sadness. I hope that the $100 makes each and everyone of you rethink the meaning of Christmas and give just a little extra love to those in the shadows.

sarettah 11-30-2018 04:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Smack dat (Post 22374717)
Oh wow! So I won huh!

I guess now it's speech time!


yadda yadda yadda, wibble

.

Read the rules please. You will find that I have stated that if you want to give it to charity you may do so. The money goes from me to you and then you can send it to whomever you choose.

So, as I asked in my PM, please confirm your paypal for me so I can send you the paypal.

Also, while it is very nice of you to want to give to charity, you have 2 children at home that also deserve a nice Christmas. Charity begins at home. If home is not covered then you have no business in giving money away to others.

Just my opinion there.

So please confirm the paypal address otherwise I will just send it to the one I think it is and I will hope for the best.

Thanks in advance.

.

sarettah 11-30-2018 05:17 PM

The prize has been sent via Paypal.

Thank you to all who participated. I hope you enjoyed it.

And again Thank You Chaturbate!

.

Adult-biz 11-30-2018 05:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sarettah (Post 22374727)
The prize has been sent via Paypal.

Thank you to all who participated. I hope you enjoyed it.

And again Thank You Chaturbate!

.

Congrats on your success with them and a nice touch doing the linked contest. :)

emmasexytime 12-01-2018 03:39 AM

We hope to touch that amount with chaturbate soon too.

Great success for a great program.

NatalieK 12-01-2018 04:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sarettah (Post 22374621)
The Weiner!

Smackdat Nov 30, 7am


.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Smack dat (Post 22374717)
Oh wow! So I won huh!

I guess now it's speech time!

Thankyou GoFuckYourself for allowing this contest and congratulations to Sarettah for generating $100,000 in sales with Chaturbate.

congrats to both of you :thumbsup

Sabby 12-01-2018 09:38 AM

Congrats on that. Amazing. It’s so hard to do affiliate stuff these days that’s truly inspiring. I guess December 13.

Sabby 12-01-2018 09:40 AM

Oops you already made it lol.

CaptainHowdy 12-01-2018 12:49 PM

This was a cool contest :pimp . . .

CurrentlySober 12-01-2018 01:13 PM

Be honest... When you checked had you just come off of the toilet? I know my prediction couldn't have won, due to it not being within your rules (which is fine) but I'm just curious as to if I were correct or not lol :)

LMK ?

sarettah 12-01-2018 01:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CurrentlySober (Post 22375147)
Be honest... When you checked had you just come off of the toilet? I know my prediction couldn't have won, due to it not being within your rules (which is fine) but I'm just curious as to if I were correct or not lol :)

LMK ?


I really don't think so. Sorry.

.

CurrentlySober 12-01-2018 03:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sarettah (Post 22375150)
I really don't think so. Sorry.

.

Fair play - Thanks anyhoo :) :thumbsup

sarettah 12-01-2018 06:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CaptainHowdy (Post 22375136)
This was a cool contest :pimp . . .

Thanks.

.


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