Any ISPS that is accepting cross border transactions will be gone - that is happening now

Whoever can come up with a new exciting concept and the proper promotion will be the breakthrough's - again look for the adult internet to follow televisions lead, maybe a American Porn Star type thing (like American Idol)

Visa will most likely still be processing adult on-line entertainment transactions with more rules and regs (remember we have to pay $375 this year)

Visa international will most likely adopt most of Visa USA regs

AVS will need a serious overhaul at the least, in it's present form they are almost like a aggregator

Acadia will still be tied up in the courts

Programs won't go away because they are over 1% CB, they will go away behind the weight of the fines from being over 1% CB. Some will reform (new companies, new sites, new URL's, new front people) and come back, others will just walk - Partnership programs may have more market share if too many PPS programs get hit with fines and close or have to change their business model

Check processing will be more popular but until there is real time verification it won't replace CC's. Epassporte could increase market penetration once they have a model for recurring payments in place.

I'll be about the same, maybe some growth depending on how much the industry shakes out. My non-internet interests will grow (depending on the US economy)


MicroChick = Confucy

It's all about dollars.com. You'll see :)

i don't ever make bets on 3rd party processors. but i'm not so sure about your prediction :)

First they came for the processors but I never owned a processing company, so I didn't speak up.

Then they came for the paysite operators but I owned a TGP,
so I didn't speak up.

Finally I realized there was no one left to sell my traffic too
and by that time there was no one left to speak up

someone already tried that angle with acacia :)

I made a good living off tgp 3-4 months ago, now I don't touch it because its next to useless.

What adult?
Oh, adult online biz which existed up to 2004? Nothing to predict :(

focus on quality and giving the surfer what they want

without porn.. there is alot of horny fuckers that will need to get off some where else.. i think it would fuck the world up when a few million horny men running around looking to get off some where..

My Prediction: In and after 2004 i'll still dig on porn.

All 3rd party billing will require a fee from Visa/MC,
I see more payments via direct checks like probilling offers, and direct debit methods. Might be a rough at first but long term may be better. Just my :2 cents:

Yep -- of everything I read in this thread, this is the most right on. And I'm psychic.