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seven 03-10-2007 01:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alex from Montreal (Post 12051847)
Where can you get a $50K property in Boston that then could be leased at $1,200 per month?

By buying a high rise apartment complex and renting it out. You pay millions initially but by doing that you get each apartment for less than 50k, considering some apartments may stay vacant some months of the years and stuff you average the cost to 50k per apartment. My cous from Boston wanted me to invest in real estate in Boston is how I know that.
Quote:

Originally Posted by Alex from Montreal (Post 12051847)
Even here in Montreal, I'm paying more than $1,800 per month in expenses for something I'm leasing at about $1,300 per month. That's right I'm losing about $500 per month on it.

If you're paying 1300 for an apartment in montreal you got a very nice apartment in a very nice neighborhood (i'm trying to figure which neighborhood it would be since average apt in montreal cost less than half that amount) and if you're spending 500 on top of your rent you either got a bad habbit of wasting money or you're renting a condo that has security and other levies but either way that's a needlessly and worthlessly expensive living you should look at buying a house with front and backyard and ample of privacy which would cost you less than you 1,800/month :2 cents:

Axeman 03-10-2007 01:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by seven (Post 12051822)
Not correct. What you get for $1200 in boston is a half-decent apartment which would cost you about $50,000 to buy therefore $300 per month.

LMAO I want to see these half decent apartments in Boston for $50k

seven 03-10-2007 01:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Axeman (Post 12051886)
Scotia bank just came out with a study that showed in vancouver the average mortgage right now for a 2 bedroom house costs you $2800 a month but to rent a 2 bedroom house curerntly you will pay on average $1050.

So it really depends on your current market.

You got an URL to that study or is that a figment of your imagination?

Axeman 03-10-2007 01:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by seven (Post 12051897)
By buying a high rise apartment complex and renting it out. You pay millions initially but by doing that you get each apartment for less than 50k, considering some apartments may stay vacant some months of the years and stuff you average the cost to 50k per apartment. My cous from Boston wanted me to invest in real estate in Boston is how I know that.

If you're paying 1300 for an apartment in montreal you got a very nice apartment in a very nice neighborhood (i'm trying to figure which neighborhood it would be since average apt in montreal cost less than half that amount) and if you're spending 500 on top of your rent you either got a bad habbit of wasting money or you're renting a condo that has security and other levies but either way that's a needlessly and worthlessly expensive living you should look at buying a house with front and backyard and ample of privacy which would cost you less than you 1,800/month :2 cents:

Ok so your $50k is kinda a false premise based on the fact most people don't have access to millions of dollars to buy a multi unit property and average down the cost per unit.

For the basis of this thread your idea is pretty out of place.

Axeman 03-10-2007 02:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by seven (Post 12051905)
You got an URL to that study or is that a figment of your imagination?

Global News had a story on it two or three nights ago on the nightly news.

Quotealex 03-10-2007 02:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by seven (Post 12051897)
If you're paying 1300 for an apartment in montreal you got a very nice apartment in a very nice neighborhood (i'm trying to figure which neighborhood it would be since average apt in montreal cost less than half that amount) and if you're spending 500 on top of your rent you either got a bad habbit of wasting money or you're renting a condo that has security and other levies but either way that's a needlessly and worthlessly expensive living you should look at buying a house with front and backyard and ample of privacy which would cost you less than you 1,800/month :2 cents:

Actually it's a duplex in a working class area where the market rent is not that high; the $1,300 is the sum of both appartments.

Axeman 03-10-2007 02:04 PM

"Warren measured affordability by comparing mortgage payments to rents, and found that owning a home in Edmonton costs on average $590 more per month.

The gap is $899 in Toronto, $952 in Calgary and $1,794 in Vancouver. On balance, Warren rated Edmonton homes as relatively affordable."

http://www.canada.com/edmontonjourna...93da38&k=66871

Quotealex 03-10-2007 02:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by seven (Post 12051905)
You got an URL to that study or is that a figment of your imagination?

http://www.canada.com/vancouversun/n...14f64f&k=17430
"The Scotiabank Group report released Tuesday said the difference between the typical monthly mortgage payment on an average resale home in Canada and the average rent on a two-bedroom apartment is currently over $800 -- up from about $575 last year and as low as $250 per month in 1997"

the indigo 03-10-2007 02:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alex from Montreal (Post 12049705)
Example, on a per unit basis, a condo appartment cost alot more than an apartment in a multi-units property. Here in Montreal, it's not hard to find multi-units for less than $75,000 per appartment but the same size condo will cost you more than $130,000. thus, the rent will be less in an rental appartment than the mortgage and fees in a condo appartment.

You know what? There is a way in Quebec to buy a multi-units property (let's say 6 appartment) for $75k each and "convert" them legally into condos.

That means you can then sell these at $100k-$125k easily with basic revamping. Cost: 6x$75k = $450k - Resell @ 6x$110k = $660k one year later for $210k profit on a $112k cashdown investment. (187% profit)

Knowledge is power.

the indigo 03-10-2007 02:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by beemk (Post 12051255)
add up all your taxes, insurance, and interest and i bet you wont make much of a profit if any. and remember a house is only worth as much as people are willing to pay, not the state equalized value or what its appraised at.

Taxes, Insurance & Interest are pocket change compared to cash made annualy on appreciation. Not in USA though, real estate economic over there is ridiculous. It will crash within 5 years. People will have to sell way lower then their current market value with all the babyboomers retiring.

the indigo 03-10-2007 02:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alex from Montreal (Post 12051383)
Most people only remember the price they paid for the house and how much they resold it years later, they suffer from alzheimer when it comes to adding up all the other expenses....:1orglaugh

This is where you step in, and make money on other's people lack of interest and knowledge of the real estate market.

You are in the same bandwagon, just the opposite.

seven 03-10-2007 02:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Axeman (Post 12051906)
Ok so your $50k is kinda a false premise based on the fact most people don't have access to millions of dollars to buy a multi unit property and average down the cost per unit.

For the basis of this thread your idea is pretty out of place.

Not quite. It's based on the fact how much the apartment you're renting is really worth vs how much you're paying (he said a similar apartment would worth 400k to buy which is not right). The brand new condos (much better living quality) which a regular person would buy to rent out would be worth about 250k with monthly expense about 1500 (for rental properties thou one should pay cash or make a big down payment) would rent for 16-1800. You'll rent that condo only if you want something nicer than regular apartments. He'll really make a profit (unless he paid cash or big down) however when he sells the condo few years later and not while renting is why individual condos don't make too hot rental properties you're better off buying an old house for dirtcheap, renovating yourself if you got the skills and renting it out.

seven 03-10-2007 02:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the indigo (Post 12051969)
That means you can then sell these at $100k-$125k easily with basic revamping. Cost: 6x$75k = $450k - Resell @ 6x$110k = $660k one year later for $210k profit on a $112k cashdown investment. (187% profit)

not as easy as you make it sound but a good idea nevertheless.

Quotealex 03-10-2007 02:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the indigo (Post 12051969)
You know what? There is a way in Quebec to buy a multi-units property (let's say 6 appartment) for $75k each and "convert" them legally into condos.

That means you can then sell these at $100k-$125k easily with basic revamping. Cost: 6x$75k = $450k - Resell @ 6x$110k = $660k one year later for $210k profit on a $112k cashdown investment. (187% profit)

Knowledge is power.

It's no longer as easy as it used to be due to people abusing it. I know in Montreal, there is a by-law making it very hard to convert a multiplex into condos; and the basic revamping and titles will cost you a minimum $25,000 per units, thus I doubt you would make a 187% profit margin from such a conversion. I think a more reasonable profit margin as a promoter would be at around 30% or so.

the indigo 03-10-2007 02:46 PM

Problem is that people see Real Estate as very long term investment.

Most of the time, it's not.

You can make 100-300% in 2-3 years on one project and move on.

If this thread is all about buying a "standard" home in a "standard" location at a given "standard" timing, spending thousands on worthless in-home stuff to impress your friends, you won't make any profit in the long run.

I live in a condo... I bought it because it was in pre-construction (low-price / high 1st year appreciation), very unique waterfront location (long term appreciation) and it's located in a region where all babyboomers will want to retire in the next 5-10 years, near to all services. I bought for these reasons. Not based on my feelings. It is an investment to me.

Bottomline is: don't pretend that your home is an investment if you did not bought based on economic reasons, but only from your feelings.

Quote:

Originally Posted by jayeff (Post 12051406)
People talk about any increase in the value of their homes as if it were profit. But unless you have died or are otherwise leaving the property market, it isn't: you will usually be paying a similar %age increase in the price of your next home. And since most people (prior to retirement) move up the housing ladder, translated into dollars, that percentage increase often more than wipes out any nominal "profit".

The reality is that house purchase sets most people on the credit treadmill more surely that anything else in their lives. Particularly when people see prices rising and are tempted to take the maximum loan they can afford, they can end up with nothing if anything goes wrong. Many suffer less dramatically, but are forced to use other, more expensive forms of credit, to get by.

In Long-Term Perspectives on the Current Boom in Home Prices Robert Shiller of Yale University points out that US house prices - in real terms - were almost unchanged between 1900 and 2000. From that perspective it is almost impossible to see the astonishing leap in prices since 2000 (which seems to have blinded people to that longer term reality), as anything other than a bubble waiting to burst in a very big way.

Owning a home is not only about its investment value (or otherwise). You can, for example, personalize a home you are buying in ways which you may not be allowed to do if you live in a rented home. But there are also practical downsides, such as once you "own" a home, you will likely be less willing to pursue opportunities if they involve a move.

As this article in the Denver Post a couple of days ago suggests, home ownership is becoming a nightmare for many people. "Fed officials heard stories from Denver, Cleveland, Philadelphia and New York, where neighborhoods are deteriorating as borrowers struggle to pay loans or abandon their homes in foreclosure". "Some 1.2 million foreclosures were reported nationwide last year, up 42 percent from 2005, according to Irvine, Calif.-based RealtyTrac".


seven 03-10-2007 02:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alex from Montreal (Post 12051965)
http://www.canada.com/vancouversun/n...14f64f&k=17430
"The Scotiabank Group report released Tuesday said the difference between the typical monthly mortgage payment on an average resale home in Canada and the average rent on a two-bedroom apartment is currently over $800 -- up from about $575 last year and as low as $250 per month in 1997"

Yea just read that.. but the fact remains if you wanna totally waste 1000/month in rent or if you'd pay 1200 in mortgage+expenses=1500 towards owning something. If you can't afford to buy a home then the above url would be your consolation :2 cents:

the indigo 03-10-2007 02:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alex from Montreal (Post 12051766)
If you look at the the ratio of rent to home price in many market, you'll clearly see the "premium price you need to pay to own a house.

For example, In Boston, you can rent a two bedroom in a nice area for $1,200 per month; to purchase it, it would cost roughly $400,000 with and a monthly expense of roughly $3,000. You feel me now!

Also a currently rents are currently at their lowest price ever compared with home prices...

Don't buy in high class markets...

You can get a $800/month rent from a $80,000 appartment. The monthly rental rate should be around 1% of the unit value. It will cover all expenses (mortgage, taxes and inflation...)

If you can get better than 1%, it's even better.

Owner of that $400,000 unit is renting at only $1,200/month because it's a high class market. At 0,3% per month he better did not consider that unit as an investment at first....

the indigo 03-10-2007 02:57 PM

I'm posting too muhc

Axeman 03-10-2007 03:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by seven (Post 12052071)
Yea just read that.. but the fact remains if you wanna totally waste 1000/month in rent or if you'd pay 1200 in mortgage+expenses=1500 towards owning something. If you can't afford to buy a home then the above url would be your consolation :2 cents:

Again depends on the market. Your saying there is only a $200 gap up for the mortgage over rent where as the articles we provided show its closer to min of $800 and in the case of a city like Vancouver the gap is $1700 a month before the extra expenses of owning like prop taxes and insurance.

GigoloMason 03-10-2007 03:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DareRing (Post 12050122)
This is Darwin Award worthy advice. Sorry, nothing personal, I just think it's dangerous to promote owning IOUs before essential real-world assets. Secure a place to live first, then go ahead and gamble after you're debt free. Especially if you're supporting a family, anything less is irresponsible.

Rather funny considering that real-estate is essentially an IOU as well. You do realise that you don't actaully 'own' real estate in most countries right?

All this talk regarding appriciation differentials is rather silly anyway. The real boom in real estate is fairly recent (last 30-40 years) prior to that it tended to appreciate in line with inflation (which was for all intents and purposes non-existant on the kenshin\gold standards).

All people keep doing in this thread is using ancedotal evidence to support their opinion. Yes you CAN make money in real estate yes you CAN make money in stocks. As an overall investment stocks TEND to average out to a better overall return over MOST timelines in which you own them.

That said you have to live somewhere, and you'll either end up owning or renting. There's actually an index out there that tells you given the region in which you live which is a better fiscal investment once you figure in taxes, upkeep, average rental prices, cost of aquiring capital etc.


FIN. :2 cents:

PS: People really need to figure out how ammortization schedules work. You realize how long it takes for you to start paying any significant $ into your home on a 30-year? Most people never 'build euity' they're just paying interest.

seven 03-10-2007 03:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Axeman (Post 12052124)
Again depends on the market. Your saying there is only a $200 gap up for the mortgage over rent where as the articles we provided show its closer to min of $800 and in the case of a city like Vancouver the gap is $1700 a month before the extra expenses of owning like prop taxes and insurance.

Yo dude! I pay property taxes, ins and all that too and I know very well about the expenses in Vancouver (which isn't really the largest or most expensive city in Canada anyways in contradiction to a popular belief of BC people.. quite a few close friends I have in this biz are from there) let me tell you the gap wouldn't be anywhere close to $1700.. $500 to $800 is more like it on average home vs average apartment. Besides scotia bank isn't the biggest bank in Canada probably for reasons :winkwink: Either way, buying a house ain't no poor man's game who's hardly getting by, it's for people who can afford it and afford it well. When you say investment you should mean investment ie. you got the money to invest not that you barely have an equivalent of rent money to invest :2 cents:

GigoloMason 03-10-2007 03:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lenny2 (Post 12051598)
This conversation is so ridiculous I can't believe we're actually having it. People who think renting is a better long term financial decision than buying really need a course in remedial math.

More accuratly you need a course in remedial finance :2 cents:

Axeman 03-10-2007 03:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by seven (Post 12052265)
Yo dude! I pay property taxes, ins and all that too and I know very well about the expenses in Vancouver (which isn't really the largest or most expensive city in Canada anyways in contradiction to a popular belief of BC people.. quite a few close friends I have in this biz are from there) let me tell you the gap wouldn't be anywhere close to $1700.. $500 to $800 is more like it on average home vs average apartment. Besides scotia bank isn't the biggest bank in Canada probably for reasons :winkwink: Either way, buying a house ain't no poor man's game who's hardly getting by, it's for people who can afford it and afford it well. When you say investment you should mean investment ie. you got the money to invest not that you barely have an equivalent of rent money to invest :2 cents:

Your an absolute idiot but that is besides the point. Vancouver and Toronto are very similar in their cost of living. Nobody is arguing that fact anyway. I've pointed out the market you are in determines the value of renting vs buying. And in a city like Vancouver where the average "HOUSE" is now $540k and a mortgage of $2800 a month and the rent for a house of similar size (location can vary) is renting for $1050 average.

You keep trying to compare houses to apartments. Are apartments going to be a lower gap than houses? Of course. But some families needs houses and not apartments. Some singles or couples don't need space and like apartments over houses.

But you percieved reality over hard facts from a major lending bank in Canada says it all. The average gap for a 2 bedroom home "IS" $1700 a month over renting in Vancouver right now. Whether you choose to believe it or not.

But if you want to buy in Windsor, Ontario you are paying even if not a bit cheaper to buy a house or a condo over renting there. All depends on the area you want to live and if you want to do renovations are not. In that market you are better off buying since there is no gap.

Again its all moot if you dont use that difference in rent vs mortgage payments to invest in other things.

Snake Doctor 03-10-2007 04:12 PM

Ok I did some research on this and basically it depends on what housing market you live in.
With the overheated housing market of last few years, the cost of buying versus renting has inverted substantially.

Basically home prices jumped through the roof, and people being the sheep they are flocked to buy these homes at outrageous prices.
With low interest mortgage and lax lending requirements this has created a shortage of renters in these markets which means landlords aren't able to hike rents.

So in some areas it may temporarily be true that renting is better than buying I don't see that being the case long term.
Eventually alot of the idiots who took adjustable rate mortgages will get foreclosed, which will simultaneously put reasonably priced homes back on the market and flood the rental market with prospective tenants.
This should put rents vs mortgages back into proper balance.

Long term however, owning your own home is still the way to go for financial security. Depending on what housing market you live in, this may not be the best time to buy though.

Obviously if you're renting a place for $1000 a month, and buying the same place would cost you $2000 a month, then renting is the way to go. In most markets that isn't the case though, which is why this whole topic is making most of us shake our heads in disbelief.

Axeman 03-10-2007 04:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lenny2 (Post 12052373)

Obviously if you're renting a place for $1000 a month, and buying the same place would cost you $2000 a month, then renting is the way to go. In most markets that isn't the case though, which is why this whole topic is making most of us shake our heads in disbelief.

Yep as long as you take what you would have put in for a down payment and then also use that extra $1000 a month to invest elsewhere, you are probably better off doing so than buying a house.

GigoloMason 03-10-2007 04:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lenny2 (Post 12052373)
Long term however, owning your own home is still the way to go for financial security. Depending on what housing market you live in, this may not be the best time to buy though.

The thing you seem to be missing is the ONLY thing working in joe blows favor when 'owning' a home is that he gets the opportunity to take advantage of leveraging and everything that comes with it.

He's taking making (simple numbers) a 100k investment when he doesn't actually HAVE 100k. That's great if the house appreciates ahead of his additional expenses as he generates a return on money he 'doesn't have', but you seem to be ignoring the downside. Only difference is a bank will give you a loan to buy a house, but is far less likely to issue that same loan against a stock cert for the average person.

Problem with leveraging is that it can cut both ways, if the house depreciates you can get stuck with a loan you can't buy yourself out of because you can no longer sell the house untill you can service the lien.

Leveraging IN ITSELF isn't good or bad, it's just a powerful tool. You can use a chainsaw to cut down a tree or to cut off your arm depending how you apply it. Homes in my opinion are actually far riskier for the average person because in essence they're investing money they don't have and crossing their fingers, even if most choose not to look at it that way.

GigoloMason 03-10-2007 04:24 PM

You're also failing to take into account liquidity and the discounting that you SHOULD be doing to your cash flows in your equasions.

Jimmer 03-10-2007 04:33 PM

I bought a new house and made $40K in two years. I read this thread because I thought you figured a better way to invest this money.

Snake Doctor 03-10-2007 04:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GigoloMason (Post 12052397)
The thing you seem to be missing is the ONLY thing working in joe blows favor when 'owning' a home is that he gets the opportunity to take advantage of leveraging and everything that comes with it.

He's taking making (simple numbers) a 100k investment when he doesn't actually HAVE 100k. That's great if the house appreciates ahead of his additional expenses as he generates a return on money he 'doesn't have', but you seem to be ignoring the downside. Only difference is a bank will give you a loan to buy a house, but is far less likely to issue that same loan against a stock cert for the average person.

Problem with leveraging is that it can cut both ways, if the house depreciates you can get stuck with a loan you can't buy yourself out of because you can no longer sell the house untill you can service the lien.

Leveraging IN ITSELF isn't good or bad, it's just a powerful tool. You can use a chainsaw to cut down a tree or to cut off your arm depending how you apply it. Homes in my opinion are actually far riskier for the average person because in essence they're investing money they don't have and crossing their fingers, even if most choose not to look at it that way.

The thing that you seem to be missing is that even if real estate never appreciated...let's say prices and wages were frozen today and would never change again for the rest of our lives....you're still better off buying because when you retire you can live rent free, because your house is paid for.
Having a paid for house is the only reason most people are even able to quit working when they're old. A renter will always have that expense.

the indigo 03-10-2007 04:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GigoloMason (Post 12052198)
PS: People really need to figure out how ammortization schedules work. You realize how long it takes for you to start paying any significant $ into your home on a 30-year? Most people never 'build euity' they're just paying interest.

It all comes down to the cashdown/leverage.
We don't have 12-18% interest rates anymore...

Maybe it applys with a 10% cashdown, but otherwise it's not a valid argument. The only personal amount you need to consider is the cashdown. Everything else is backed up by the bank. It's not even your money.

Let's say you buy a $200k unit with 25% deposit. (I always put 30-35%)

Investment = $50k
Mortgage = $150k
Unit Value = $200k

Mortgage is 6% per year.
Inflation is 2% per year.
Appreciation is 8% per year.

First year, you pay 6% + 2% inflation interests on the $150k = $12k
First year, appreciation is 8% on the $200k = $16k

There you have a $4k profit before other expenses. That is $4k on the initial $50k (8%). You should be able to break even after paying taxes, insurance, etc.

That is great for the first year. No win, no loss.

In 10 years, the mortgage will be lower and the unit value will be higher. The same 6% - 8% rates will apply but in the profit zone.

Mortgage = $120k
Unit Value = $420k

11th Year, you pay 6% + 2% inflation interests on the $120k = $9.6k
11th Year, appreciation is 8% on the $420k = $33.6k

$24k profit before other expenses.

And the taxman won't charge you anything on profit when you sell.

the indigo 03-10-2007 04:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GigoloMason (Post 12052397)
He's taking making (simple numbers) a 100k investment when he doesn't actually HAVE 100k. That's great if the house appreciates ahead of his additional expenses as he generates a return on money he 'doesn't have'...

That's the key point most people in this thread ignore. Deposit, Cashdown, Initial Investment... that's the only reference that should be used. Leverage is done by the bank.

I don't see the real estate market going anywhere but UP... except in USA and some high class place in Canada. Would I buy a condo in Florida? Hell NO!

warlock5 03-10-2007 04:55 PM

Gee, real estate is a great investment when the Fed drops interest rates to 1% and mortgage lenders hand out money without confirming the borrower's credentials.

Snake Doctor 03-10-2007 04:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the indigo (Post 12052454)
It all comes down to the cashdown/leverage.
We don't have 12-18% interest rates anymore...

Maybe it applys with a 10% cashdown, but otherwise it's not a valid argument. The only personal amount you need to consider is the cashdown. Everything else is backed up by the bank. It's not even your money.

Let's say you buy a $200k unit with 25% deposit. (I always put 30-35%)

Investment = $50k
Mortgage = $150k
Unit Value = $200k

Mortgage is 6% per year.
Inflation is 2% per year.
Appreciation is 8% per year.

First year, you pay 6% + 2% inflation interests on the $150k = $12k
First year, appreciation is 8% on the $200k = $16k

There you have a $4k profit before other expenses. That is $4k on the initial $50k (8%). You should be able to break even after paying taxes, insurance, etc.

That is great for the first year. No win, no loss.

In 10 years, the mortgage will be lower and the unit value will be higher. The same 6% - 8% rates will apply but in the profit zone.

Mortgage = $120k
Unit Value = $420k

11th Year, you pay 6% + 2% inflation interests on the $120k = $9.6k
11th Year, appreciation is 8% on the $420k = $33.6k

$24k profit before other expenses.

And the taxman won't charge you anything on profit when you sell.

You're not going to get 8% appreciation over the long term. As a rule housing prices can't rise faster than wages.
If the average wage earner can't afford the average home in the area, then there's a bubble and it will eventually pop.

Wages aren't rising at 8% a year, and that will never happen because if it did we'd have massive inflation and your appreciation would be worthless anyways.

Biggy 03-10-2007 05:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alex from Montreal (Post 12049611)
Over the long term, smart money would pick stock over real estate.

#1 place where fortune 500 ceos park their cash (you know, the cash they get from all their option exercises): real estate.

IllTestYourGirls 03-10-2007 05:11 PM

where i live houses are going for 250 to 350$ a square, the bubble is about to burst. :321GFY

the indigo 03-10-2007 05:14 PM

Interesting article on the Global Propert Housing Boom:
http://www.globalpropertyguide.com/a...cle_id=68&cid=

kane 03-10-2007 05:20 PM

In the end, for most people real estate is almost a kind of "forced" savings account. they buy a house, live it for a long time and then sell it. They sell it for more than they paid for it and have some money in their pockets. When everything is factored in, they didn't make a much of a profit, but they do have cash that they wouldn't have had otherwise.

Here are two examples:
example 1
If you are going to rent a house for $1200 month and live there for 15 years even if your rent never goes up at the end of that 15 years you move out and you get nothing from the landlord except maybe a cleaning deposit. If you buy a house and pay $1200 a month after 15 years the house will have gone up in value and you've paid down the mortgage, you sell it and when you move out you get a nice chunk of change in your pocket. So in the end at least some of the money you have been paying in house payments you get back.

example #2

You buy a house for 150K and live in it until you are ready to retire. When you retire the house is paid off and is now worth 250K. you can sell it and put that money in your pocket or you can live there and your only housing cost is insurance and taxes. If you have rented all this time, you still pay rent and you have nothing of value.

The only way to make a lot of money in real estate is to either buy it and sell it relatively quickly or to buy it and rent it out.

cybermike 03-10-2007 05:23 PM

interesting discussion, anyone buy real estate in nyc area with some tips

GigoloMason 03-10-2007 05:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the indigo (Post 12052454)
It all comes down to the cashdown/leverage.
We don't have 12-18% interest rates anymore...

Maybe it applys with a 10% cashdown, but otherwise it's not a valid argument. The only personal amount you need to consider is the cashdown. Everything else is backed up by the bank. It's not even your money.

Let's say you buy a $200k unit with 25% deposit. (I always put 30-35%)

Investment = $50k
Mortgage = $150k
Unit Value = $200k

Mortgage is 6% per year.
Inflation is 2% per year.
Appreciation is 8% per year.

First year, you pay 6% + 2% inflation interests on the $150k = $12k
First year, appreciation is 8% on the $200k = $16k

There you have a $4k profit before other expenses. That is $4k on the initial $50k (8%). You should be able to break even after paying taxes, insurance, etc.

That is great for the first year. No win, no loss.

In 10 years, the mortgage will be lower and the unit value will be higher. The same 6% - 8% rates will apply but in the profit zone.

Mortgage = $120k
Unit Value = $420k

11th Year, you pay 6% + 2% inflation interests on the $120k = $9.6k
11th Year, appreciation is 8% on the $420k = $33.6k

$24k profit before other expenses.

And the taxman won't charge you anything on profit when you sell.


Apparently, you missed the disclaimer that I was trying to simplify the example. Apparently you also missed the part where I said the only ADVANTAGE of buying vs renting is taking advantage of leverage. The assumption that you sheep keep making is that real estate always appreciates (more specifically appreciates at a rate greater than your interest rate). Apparently that's to much to wrap your head around.

Sure if we're all just going to make up numbers we can come up with examples that show one is better than the other both ways. I never said real estate is ALWAYS a bad choice relative to renting, I said the idea that it's ALWAYS better than renting is fucking retarded as it tends to go either depending on the region you live in.

GigoloMason 03-10-2007 05:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the indigo (Post 12052469)
That's the key point most people in this thread ignore. Deposit, Cashdown, Initial Investment... that's the only reference that should be used. Leverage is done by the bank.

I don't think you understand what leverage is. When you buy a home with a loan it's a leveraged investment. That doesn't mean the bank 'does' leverage.

Quote:

The thing that you seem to be missing is that even if real estate never appreciated...let's say prices and wages were frozen today and would never change again for the rest of our lives....you're still better off buying because when you retire you can live rent free, because your house is paid for.
Having a paid for house is the only reason most people are even able to quit working when they're old. A renter will always have that expense.
If you're just going to make up imaginary scenarios we might as well discuss the local dragon population's effect on practical real estate.

Freezing prices and wages (inflation) is chosing to disgregard one of the fundamental blocks of the rent vs own debate.

You admitted yourself that it ultimatly breaks down to a region by region analysis and there is no universal 'right' answer which is all I said in the first place. What exactly are you arguing now?

The irony of course being that I was just pointing out your analysis was over simplistic and your response was to simplify it even more to defend a point you'd already conceded lol


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