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mikeyddddd 08-19-2009 12:42 AM


kane 08-19-2009 12:50 AM

I was reading about this today. If the republicans go through with this it could define the direction of their party for many years. If this happens and the democrats pass a health care reform bill and the republicans do nothing but say they are against it, and it turns out to be decent, it will further crush the republican party. If they are right and the bill passes and it sucks they will use it as fodder and firepower to go after Obama in 2012. It will be interesting to see if they have the spine to actually go through with this over the coming weeks.

crowkid 08-19-2009 01:13 AM

i almost forgot why I dont hardly ever post in here, 99.5% democratic no matter how idiotic the idea we are talking about is. You're preaching to the choir guys n gals, that's all you're doing :-) I for one will enjoy the demise and the coming irrelevance of this horrible President.

a Nazi (because I question!)

oh yea i burn flags too

kane 08-19-2009 01:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by crowkid (Post 16206364)
i almost forgot why I dont hardly ever post in here, 99.5% democratic no matter how idiotic the idea we are talking about is. You're preaching to the choir guys n gals, that's all you're doing :-) I for one will enjoy the demise and the coming irrelevance of this horrible President.

a Nazi (because I question!)

oh yea i burn flags too

It is just the reversal of the party in power. When the republicans had the power they had an attitude that came off like anyone who didn't agree with them was not a patriot and hated the country. Now they are out and the democrats are in and if you don't agree with them you are a Nazi or a fascist.

Still, to me, anyone who assumes that Obama is done and that he will be a terrible president and that they know how the story ends 8 months into a 4 year term comes off as arrogant and ignorant.

MovieMaster 08-19-2009 02:26 AM

HAHA This should get good

cykoe6 08-19-2009 06:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr. Billy (Post 16205854)
It is a public option in addition to the private options. It will allow you to remain in any healthcare coverage situation that you have now if you choose to.

It is not government healthcare for all. It is an additional choice in the system and it can bring in competition that will force private health insurers to behave responsibly with regard to managing costs and actually treating their customers right to retain them.

You have the Obama talking points down very well. Nice work. :1orglaugh

BFT3K 08-19-2009 08:49 AM

Hey now!

baddog 08-19-2009 08:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kane (Post 16206320)
I was reading about this today. If the republicans go through with this it could define the direction of their party for many years. If this happens and the democrats pass a health care reform bill and the republicans do nothing but say they are against it, and it turns out to be decent, it will further crush the republican party. If they are right and the bill passes and it sucks they will use it as fodder and firepower to go after Obama in 2012. It will be interesting to see if they have the spine to actually go through with this over the coming weeks.

Lotsa ifs

Tom_PM 08-19-2009 09:20 AM

Chuck Grassley embodies the reason why democrats cant get mired down trying to appease the republicans on this. He was in the inner circle claiming to fight for things his party wanted, then during the recess he spouts off about pulling the plug on grandma, and how he's had his finger in the dike and he's proud of slowing down the process. He wants to be able to claim this as an honor down the line if what he hopes will happen, happens. Namely, nothing being done. Who needs support from a jerkoff like that? It's just a game to some of these lifers.

TheSenator 08-19-2009 09:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by crowkid (Post 16206364)
i almost forgot why I dont hardly ever post in here, 99.5% democratic no matter how idiotic the idea we are talking about is. You're preaching to the choir guys n gals, that's all you're doing :-) I for one will enjoy the demise and the coming irrelevance of this horrible President.

a Nazi (because I question!)

oh yea i burn flags too


BFT3K 08-19-2009 09:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PR_Tom (Post 16208544)
Chuck Grassley embodies the reason why democrats cant get mired down trying to appease the republicans on this. He was in the inner circle claiming to fight for things his party wanted, then during the recess he spouts off about pulling the plug on grandma, and how he's had his finger in the dike and he's proud of slowing down the process. He wants to be able to claim this as an honor down the line if what he hopes will happen, happens. Namely, nothing being done. Who needs support from a jerkoff like that? It's just a game to some of these lifers.

He and his ilk simply do not want change at all. Too many fucking corporate lobbyists buying our freedoms away! The Dems will have to go it alone on this one... assuming they can unite among themselves.

The GOP fat cats promote the unfounded fear that the govt will get between people and their healthcare, but right now it is the insurance companies that are already between the people and their healthcare, and as long as they have no competition nothing will change, and healthcare costs will just continue to skyrocket.

Gerco 08-19-2009 10:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gwidomains (Post 16205972)
Basically, a lot of "anti" information in this thread is pure non-sense. I find it particularly hilarious given:

1.) Republicans under Bush passed the prescription drug care benefit a trillion dollar un-funded program.

2.) Medicare and VA are geninue real government run health care, have huge satisfaction rates, and "oddly" are not voted against by the "government can't run anything" crowd.

3.) the same crowd has no issues with defense spending -- something that is truly dragging down GDP spending and those yelling "statist" and what not have no problems with, and ignore.

4.) the people receiving the largest give-aways from both Bush and Obama have been Investment Bankers, Hedge Funds, Private Equity folks not the poor -- so please [bold] STFU [/bold] about people making bad decisions and being rewarded that's absolute bullshit.

Let's not forget the Fed Reserve basically GIVING away billion dollar profits to IBers.
And then accepting lower than market rates on the shitty CDO products.

Lastly to say the government can't get anything right -- as I recall the government has done a pretty good job of fostering the growth and development of the Internet, and for the most part prevented any one corporate entity from monopolistic behavior without choking commercial growth.



:2 cents:

Well written and spot on!

crockett 08-19-2009 10:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by crowkid (Post 16205807)
Like I said I'm all for the other side pushing this. I hope the Democratic leadership continues to label people who question a bill no ones even read "Nazis". I'm enjoying this. and no, I don't believe you would jump for joy once you become sick or very old to wait in line for a shitty government doctor; you've already been to the DMV. So I mean obviously you're a big supporter of the guy, I'm happy for you, I see you don't want him to fail. But this is a battle he won't win and if they keep fighting for this, the Republicans have the edge on this issue when you consider the majority of Americans voice the same opinions that the Republicans do which is : Yes, government-run institutions are a nightmare and most of the time don't work, government get the hell out of our way.

Actually last time I went to the DMV I was in and out in 15 mins the time before that took about 25 mins and it was very croweded. This is in Daytona Beach, not some little hick town.

Six days a week my socialist US govt paid mailman shows up at my mail box and delivers my mail. Hell most of the time it's within the same 30 mins time window each day. He does this at an amazingly cheap price of 42 cents a letter I think it is.

USP/Fedex on the other hand I never know when they will show up and typically waiting hours for a package. These guys are also more expensive than shipping packages via the US post office.

Last time I went to the emergency room in a "private for profit hospital" I had been in a car wreck. There was literally less than 5 people in the waiting room and it took them over 45 mins just to do the first check up to make sure I had to neck injuries.

They slapped me in a neck brace that they charge $125 for and sent me back to the waiting room for another 2 and a half hours. I finally get called in to only wait another hour and a half to have the doc check me in for less than 5 mins before he told me I was ok and gave me a prescription.

This cost about 1200 bucks..

The last time I saw a private Doc. It took 30 days to arrange my appointment using Athena heath insurance. When I got there, the insurance company gave the doc's office the wrong client ID number and they refused to see me because they wouldn't get paid.

This required me to make another appointment which took another 30 days. Second attempt had the same problem as the first. The nurse told me the HMO's use this tactic as a way to get out of paying and to hope the patient gives up.

Luckily after 30 mins on the phone we got it sorted and they saw me. The doctor gives me two prescriptions that I needed. When I went to get the prescriptions filled the HMO would only pay for one of them and denied me the more expensive medication that the "Doc" thought I needed.

Yes please by all means give me the evil socialist govt health care system, because it damn sure can't be any worse that what we already "PAY" for.

Not to mention Medicare and VA hospitals are govt run and pretty damn good in this country. You only saw trhe problems with the VA hospital that hit the news a year or so back "AFTER" Dick Chaney let private contractors run it..

Tom_PM 08-19-2009 10:36 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheSenator (Post 16208626)

Finally, someone answers these assholes the way they deserve. With open contempt for their idiocy, yet with civility and to applause.

crockett 08-19-2009 10:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheSenator (Post 16208626)


Oh fucking shit that is awesome.. I'd vote for him... :1orglaugh

Porn Grounds 08-19-2009 10:53 AM

Barney Frank is a funny GAY JEWISH REP from Boston. He did great in that town hall :)

kane 08-19-2009 11:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by baddog (Post 16208394)
Lotsa ifs

For sure. It is a big risk, big reward situation for both parties. If they decide not to work together and a bill passes with no republican support chances are one party will be a big winner and one will be a big loser. It could take a couple of years to see which is which.

theking 08-19-2009 12:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kane (Post 16209260)
For sure. It is a big risk, big reward situation for both parties. If they decide not to work together and a bill passes with no republican support chances are one party will be a big winner and one will be a big loser. It could take a couple of years to see which is which.

Or longer.

LiveDose 08-19-2009 12:15 PM

Yay Obama, gimme gimme gimme...

LiveDose 08-19-2009 12:43 PM

Does anyone see a good reason why Congress and the Senate are exempt from the health bill?

kane 08-19-2009 12:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by theking (Post 16209347)
Or longer.

I think if within 2-3 years we don't see that the bill is out and out bad it will greatly benefit the democrats (at least in the short term). If within a few years it is obvious that the bill sucks it will benefit the republicans. But you are correct it could take 10+ years before we know the true long term effect of the bill.

BFT3K 08-19-2009 01:01 PM

http://www.fetishsoup.com/GFY/protester.jpg

crockett 08-19-2009 06:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kane (Post 16209524)
I think if within 2-3 years we don't see that the bill is out and out bad it will greatly benefit the democrats (at least in the short term). If within a few years it is obvious that the bill sucks it will benefit the republicans. But you are correct it could take 10+ years before we know the true long term effect of the bill.


Oh trust me if it goes in favor of the Dems and the Republicans bash it.. it still wont stop the Republicans from claiming it was because of them we all got health care. They have the tendency to make shit up, for what ever sounds good at the moment.

LiveDose 08-19-2009 06:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by crockett (Post 16211017)
Oh trust me if it goes in favor of the Dems and the Republicans bash it.. it still wont stop the Republicans from claiming it was because of them we all got health care. They have the tendency to make shit up, for what ever sounds good at the moment.



FYI you just described both parties...

kane 08-19-2009 06:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by crockett (Post 16211017)
Oh trust me if it goes in favor of the Dems and the Republicans bash it.. it still wont stop the Republicans from claiming it was because of them we all got health care. They have the tendency to make shit up, for what ever sounds good at the moment.

I would assume if it ends up going sour the democrats will blame the republicans for sabotaging the whole thing.

Pleasurepays 08-19-2009 07:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheSenator (Post 16205917)
DMV runs pretty smoothly NJ. Your state must suck.

hahah.. the DMV runs so "smoothly" in Washington State that they had to contract it out to private companies.

:1orglaugh:1orglaugh:1orglaugh

baddog 08-19-2009 07:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BFT3K (Post 16208686)
The GOP fat cats promote the unfounded fear that the govt will get between people and their healthcare, but right now it is the insurance companies that are already between the people and their healthcare, and as long as they have no competition nothing will change, and healthcare costs will just continue to skyrocket.

Cash4Clunkers is going pretty well, this health care thing should be a breeze. :thumbsup

mozadek 08-19-2009 07:19 PM

Obama is a pussy, he'll back down to Republicans.

uno 08-19-2009 07:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pleasurepays (Post 16211144)
hahah.. the DMV runs so "smoothly" in Washington State that they had to contract it out to private companies.

:1orglaugh:1orglaugh:1orglaugh

Over the past 10 years, I've been in and out of the DMV (now the MVC in Joisey) within in hour for anything I've ever needed in NJ and NY. :2 cents:

directfiesta 08-19-2009 07:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaddyHalbucks (Post 16205867)
Long lines at the DMV, bankrupt blue states, bankrupt Medicare, bankrupt Medicaid, bankrupt Social Security...

...and now government is gonna do a great job with our health care?!

Are you out of your frickin' mind?!!

Fuck You Statists!

forgot : bankrupted war ...

LiveDose 08-19-2009 07:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by baddog (Post 16211198)
Cash4Clunkers is going pretty well, this health care thing should be a breeze. :thumbsup


haha, any dealer that honestly thought they would get paid in full by the fed deserves to get burned... Same story different bullshit program.

BFT3K 08-19-2009 08:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by baddog (Post 16211198)
Cash4Clunkers is going pretty well, this health care thing should be a breeze. :thumbsup

Real health care reform is too big to be easy. It will take years to work out the kinks even if a great reform bill is passed, but that is no excuse to do nothing. If they were ever to run another cash for clunkers program some day in the future, it is quite probable that it would run smoother.

Mr. Billy 08-19-2009 08:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mynameisjim (Post 16205881)
For those of you against healthcare reform, what are your suggestions because the current system is unsustainable.

1) Insurance companies keep shifting the cost to policy holders. It's the only way for them to make more and more money each quarter. They have to pay for less and less services. This is not going to change. Insurance companies are just like any other company, they have to work the numbers every quarter to meet or beat wall street estimates.

2) Medical care keeps going up faster than inflation or wages. Unlike technology, medical care is always going up, it never goes down.

How do you suggest those two issues be reconciled so that more people can be insured and the people that are insured, can have better care?

Having had a good chance to state our opinions it still comes down to the question posed by the poster I'm quoting here.

ottyhotties 08-19-2009 10:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kane (Post 16209524)
I think if within 2-3 years we don't see that the bill is out and out bad it will greatly benefit the democrats (at least in the short term). If within a few years it is obvious that the bill sucks it will benefit the republicans. But you are correct it could take 10+ years before we know the true long term effect of the bill.

The problem is this, the bill is written to go mostly in effect in what Obama hopes is his second administration, 2013. They did this for two in your face obvious reasons; they know that employers will drop their plans and it will be a lot more then just 46 million that will need to be insured and the bill really is a single payer bill, secondly it will require a middle class tax increase and Obama is hoping to put this off to his second term. Obama knows if he breaks the pledge of no new taxes he's done for and so the bill was written in this way.

Additionally two election cycles will take place that will most likely lead to a Senate that is more closely divided and will not have a Democrat cloture super majority and this will happen before people get government insurance. Funding will by 2013 be able to get blocked and the health appropriations won't get funded and/or definitely not fully funded. Republicans can't risk a government shut down some are thinking, well, it wouldn't be an entire government shut down it would be just one appropriations bill.

There's no price to Republicans in the next two cycles either and your if "it goes well or bad" calculus doesn't apply much in the next two cycles. The next two election cycles will be about deficits and government growth that are unsustainable. Also if reconciliation is used in the Senate it's ten years time limited so depending on funding in the future and what party controls what it will perhaps expire and we spent a trillion bucks for nothing.

As to people talking about the VA and Medicare... It doesn't fully fund and is already unsustainable and Medicare is one reason why we have high premiums today because doctors and hospitals charge 135% to those with insurance while Medicare pays 85%, so Medicare really isn't some government program to use as a point in favor of health care. Of course seniors are happy with it, they aren't paying the doctors a dime. Their happiness with Medicare doesn't change the fact Medicare requires serious reform, so my opinion is this lets first reform Medicare and expect our government to prove first it can run that slice of the health care industry in the black and not the red before we bankrupt our country even more.

Speaking of Medicare reform; reform isn't accounting gimmicks to say we're saving billions of dollars only to pass some unfunded mandate and accounting trick onto the states where they will undoubtedly be forced to raise taxes.

Medicare reform will also require end of life panels of some kind to make decisions as to whether the government should really allow a 90 year old to lay in a bed in a nursing home on life support for five more years. Yes, there's cases where this conservative and speaking for me only, wants to kill Granny because we can't bring down health care costs when most of our dollars in Medicare are being spent in the final two months of an old fart's life. Republicans played that end of life stuff for political points and it worked but the fact is we have to start making such decisions if the bill is to do what they claim it will do -- and that is bring down costs.

kane 08-19-2009 11:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ottyhotties (Post 16211708)
The problem is this, the bill is written to go mostly in effect in what Obama hopes is his second administration, 2013. They did this for two in your face obvious reasons; they know that employers will drop their plans and it will be a lot more then just 46 million that will need to be insured and the bill really is a single payer bill, secondly it will require a middle class tax increase and Obama is hoping to put this off to his second term. Obama knows if he breaks the pledge of no new taxes he's done for and so the bill was written in this way.

Additionally two election cycles will take place that will most likely lead to a Senate that is more closely divided and will not have a Democrat cloture super majority and this will happen before people get government insurance. Funding will by 2013 be able to get blocked and the health appropriations won't get funded and/or definitely not fully funded. Republicans can't risk a government shut down some are thinking, well, it wouldn't be an entire government shut down it would be just one appropriations bill.

There's no price to Republicans in the next two cycles either and your if "it goes well or bad" calculus doesn't apply much in the next two cycles. The next two election cycles will be about deficits and government growth that are unsustainable. Also if reconciliation is used in the Senate it's ten years time limited so depending on funding in the future and what party controls what it will perhaps expire and we spent a trillion bucks for nothing.

As to people talking about the VA and Medicare... It doesn't fully fund and is already unsustainable and Medicare is one reason why we have high premiums today because doctors and hospitals charge 135% to those with insurance while Medicare pays 85%, so Medicare really isn't some government program to use as a point in favor of health care. Of course seniors are happy with it, they aren't paying the doctors a dime. Their happiness with Medicare doesn't change the fact Medicare requires serious reform, so my opinion is this lets first reform Medicare and expect our government to prove first it can run that slice of the health care industry in the black and not the red before we bankrupt our country even more.

Speaking of Medicare reform; reform isn't accounting gimmicks to say we're saving billions of dollars only to pass some unfunded mandate and accounting trick onto the states where they will undoubtedly be forced to raise taxes.

Medicare reform will also require end of life panels of some kind to make decisions as to whether the government should really allow a 90 year old to lay in a bed in a nursing home on life support for five more years. Yes, there's cases where this conservative and speaking for me only, wants to kill Granny because we can't bring down health care costs when most of our dollars in Medicare are being spent in the final two months of an old fart's life. Republicans played that end of life stuff for political points and it worked but the fact is we have to start making such decisions if the bill is to do what they claim it will do -- and that is bring down costs.

Well, at this point there are as many as 5 different bills floating around so I think it might be a little premature to say anything definite about any of them. As for it not taking effect/getting funded until 2013, that, to me is a pretty big risk for Obama if true. He has been pounding away that we need it now. He said he needed before they went on summer break, now it is by the end of the year. It doesn't make much sense politically to hurry up and pass something then tell people, "Oh, you don't get it for three more years." But then I won't be too surprised if that is how is actually ends up working out. I just think if he does it that way it could bite him in the ass.

My thought that if it goes well it could crush the republicans could take place in two election cycles. Chances are they will get a few seats back in both houses in the next election. Then in 2012 it depends. If there is health care and it looks like it is a good bill and the republicans did nothing to help it they could be hurt badly by it. Even if it doesn't take effect until 2013 the bill will be published and out there and it can be heavily looked over. Not too mention we will have a little more clear idea where the economy stands.

As for it being a single payer bill, I don't think that is going to happen. There are a lot of democrats in the last few days that have come out against that and Obama, while still in love with that idea, is no longer married to it. I think the final bill will basically be changes to laws that will force insurance companies to cover preexisting conditions and it will be funding to help people on lower incomes pay for insurance.

Mr. Billy 08-19-2009 11:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by baddog (Post 16211198)
Cash4Clunkers is going pretty well, this health care thing should be a breeze. :thumbsup

You bite your tongue.....you!:1orglaugh:1orglaugh:1orglaugh

ottyhotties 08-20-2009 12:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kane (Post 16211785)
Well, at this point there are as many as 5 different bills floating around so I think it might be a little premature to say anything definite about any of them. As for it not taking effect/getting funded until 2013, that, to me is a pretty big risk for Obama if true. He has been pounding away that we need it now. He said he needed before they went on summer break, now it is by the end of the year. It doesn't make much sense politically to hurry up and pass something then tell people, "Oh, you don't get it for three more years." But then I won't be too surprised if that is how is actually ends up working out. I just think if he does it that way it could bite him in the ass.

I initially replied to you Kane because you're an intelligent guy and you post good opinions. You're surprised it's 2013 because you're intelligent to see what a huge risk that is and why a fiscal conservative like myself would be so happy to have two elections about deficits, higher taxes, and government growth. However this is a bureaucratic nightmare to set up and it will take at least that long to implement (formulate regulations, hire, etc., etc.,) and in 2010 Democrats can't afford to go to the polls with a poorly implemented program. I agree with you about 2012 and it can't be predicted but I will say this Democrats have more Senate seats up in 2012 and are unlikely to get back a super majority cloture proof Senate again. That makes it in my opinion 60/40 that if this bill passes it'll never get funded anyway and the Democrat sank their majority at least in the House by 2012 on big dreams when they first should have proved themselves by reforming Medicare.

http://voices.washingtonpost.com/ezr...rm_begins.html

Another reason implementation of the bill has to stay in 2013 is they need to keep the CBO scores down with some accounting tricks. They have to do it this way or the Senate parliamentarian will rule against it in reconciliation if they can't point to some kind of scoring that makes the bill deficit neutral and within the Byrd rule's regulations for reconciliation. Google health bill and 2013 because it really is going to be implemented in Quarter 1 of 2013.

And again it has to be in 2013 because he has to raise taxes on the middle class. That makes three election cycles that would be favorable to Republicans and it means the Democrats have to win the White House in 2012 for this bill to ever get implemented too.

Not directed to you Kane but to other people that were so happy to hear Obama is gonna get tough and go it alone... It means nothing if you factor in how our system of government actually works. Do the odds increase if he goes it alone... yes! Does it mean the bill will ever get implemented. No! It just means it's up in the air for the next two cycles.

kane 08-20-2009 12:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ottyhotties (Post 16211935)
I initially replied to you Kane because you're an intelligent guy and you post good opinions. You're surprised it's 2013 because you're intelligent to see what a huge risk that is and why a fiscal conservative like myself would be so happy to have two elections about deficits, higher taxes, and government growth. However this is a bureaucratic nightmare to set up and it will take at least that long to implement (formulate regulations, hire, etc., etc.,) and in 2010 Democrats can't afford to go to the polls with a poorly implemented program. I agree with you about 2012 and it can't be predicted but I will say this Democrats have more Senate seats up in 2012 and are unlikely to get back a super majority cloture proof Senate again. That makes it in my opinion 60/40 that if this bill passes it'll never get funded anyway and the Democrat sank their majority at least in the House by 2012 on big dreams when they first should have proved themselves by reforming Medicare.

http://voices.washingtonpost.com/ezr...rm_begins.html

Another reason implementation of the bill has to stay in 2013 is they need to keep the CBO scores down with some accounting tricks. They have to do it this way or the Senate parliamentarian will rule against it in reconciliation if they can't point to some kind of scoring that makes the bill deficit neutral and within the Byrd rule's regulations for reconciliation. Google health bill and 2013 because it really is going to be implemented in Quarter 1 of 2013.

And again it has to be in 2013 because he has to raise taxes on the middle class. That makes three election cycles that would be favorable to Republicans and it means the Democrats have to win the White House in 2012 for this bill to ever get implemented too.

Not directed to you Kane but to other people that were so happy to hear Obama is gonna get tough and go it alone... It means nothing if you factor in how our system of government actually works. Do the odds increase if he goes it alone... yes! Does it mean the bill will ever get implemented. No! It just means it's up in the air for the next two cycles.

I kind of feel like if he gets a bill passed, regardless of when it actually ends up getting implemented (you make a great point about it being a bureaucratic nightmare) that alone might be enough to propel Obama to a win in 2012. Especially if he can keep any bad news that is likely to accompany the bill in the closet. If the bill is decent (or appears to be) and the economy is looking good it won't matter who the Republicans run against him, they will lose. The passage of a decent bill could also hold off any big republican moves in the house and senate at least until 2012. The democrats will most likely still lose seats. They won in areas they don't normally win in over the last 4 years and that is unlikely to keep happening. 2012 could be a different story. if the economy is still not doing well it will hurt the democrats (that is, if the republicans can get their shit together, but in the small areas that representative elections take place the overall problems that the republican party has matter a whole lot less than they do for Senate and Presidential elections).

If the economy is doing well and they pass a health care bill that at least appears to be pretty good, I think it will be difficult for the republicans to make any big moves until at least 2014. There is the census and redistricting next year that will hurt them in some areas and if the stimulus and health care turn out to at least look good they will be hard pressed to defend themselves. You know every democrat up for election will remind the voters every day that the republicans did nothing but stand by and disagree.

I too am a fiscal conservative and I have sick feeling this health care bill is going to be bloated, ugly and expensive. But I'm glad to see someone trying to fix things. I think health care will eventually bankrupt this country one way or the other. Either by means of a huge, bloated government program or by means of nothing happening and it just gets more and more expensive and more and more people lose insurance or get denied treatment by their insurance. I guess I am pretty pessimistic about it all.

That said, I think if Obama can pass a bill and the economy turns around some he has a decent chance of actually getting it funded. A good economy and reasonable health care bill will really help the democrats hold onto power for a little while longer.


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