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Ethersync 08-23-2010 06:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bill8 (Post 17436627)
All true of course. as I said, it's a complex subject. You attempt to simplify it with denial, and I empathize with that impulse.

It's not life that is at risk, short of a hydrogen sulfide event, which has happened in the past, it's civilization as we know it. but it's only civilization, we have already lost our best chance, so it doesn't really matter.

Violent storms, droughts, and famines are already happening. The predictive models say they will get worse. we will see.

6000 years ago citystates lived and died constantly, and the civilizations of those days responded to resource depletion and local desertification, such as happened in saharan africa, with migration. But there were only millions of us on the planet at that time, and we had always lived a kind of nomadic lifestyle, even after the invention of agriculture and cities - cities were built, lived in until the surrounding land was desert, then the people moved on to a better area.

There isn't anywhere to migrate now.

anyway, the results aren't really my concern. I dont believe humans can do anything about global warming, if the models are correct and it is happening it won't be me that has to deal with the migrating hordes and the consequences.

so like I said, put up your denial candidates, deny away. Nobody important is really paying attention to your denial, the insurers all know the costs of warming are going up, the corporations all know it, the military knows it, the rest of the world knows it, and the economies of our civilization are all reacting to it.

You have a few years to try to make political power out of denial, so go for it.

all your denials wont matter anyway - oil is a limited resource, and when the oil is gone we will burn every single piece of coal we can extract, then after that the lignite and the peat. nothing can stop what is going to happen.

The Cliff Notes Version: I am right, but I am also wrong because this time it will be different. We are all doomed so it does not matter and I am living in denial.

You talk about scientific facts, but you do not defend your position with any. You say it is all too complex and complicated to explain when the problem is you do not understand it. You just believe it. You throw out doom and gloom predictions like some bible nut preaching to heathens about the coming Apocalypse and God's wrath.

Stop pretending to be a scientist. You are a weather zealot.

In 20 years there will be still be oil, coal and natural gas. In 50 years there will still be oil, coal and natural gas. The planet may get warmer. The planet may get cooler. Regardless, your End of Days predictions will not happen like you predict. I hope you won't be disappointed.

Bill8 08-23-2010 06:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ethersync (Post 17436678)
The Cliff Notes Version: I am right, but I am also wrong because this time it will be different. We are all doomed so it does not matter and I am living in denial.

You talk about scientific facts, but you do not defend your position with any. You say it is all too complex and complicated to explain when the problem is you do not understand it. You just believe it. You throw out doom and gloom predictions like some bible nut preaching to heathens about the coming Apocalypse and God's wrath.

Stop pretending to be a scientist. You are a weather zealot.

In 20 years there will be still be oil, coal and natural gas. In 50 years there will still be oil, coal and natural gas. The planet may get warmer. The planet may get cooler. Regardless, your End of Days predictions will not happen like you predict. I hope you won't be disappointed.

I haven't predicted end of days. You are lying by claiming I have.

I dont recall talking about scientific facts either. I probably have a different definition of fact than you, but the closest thing to a fact that I have written here is the NSIDC measurements that say that a third of the arctic sea ice has melted since 2000. I try to explain how the science works, and sometimes talk about climate in general, such as when I answered your first question, which you claimed was serious, altho you are not now acting seriously.

I have never pretended to be a scientist, over and over I have said I am a curious layperson.

You pick a specific point and I will happily discuss it to the best of my ability.

The science is very complex, because the climate is very complex. You screaming wont make it less complex.

MaDalton 08-23-2010 06:31 PM

i already said on page 1 that discussing with some people on here is useless. you only get belittled but never presented a real argument

Bill8 08-23-2010 06:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ethersync (Post 17436678)
The Cliff Notes Version: I am right, but I am also wrong because this time it will be different. We are all doomed so it does not matter and I am living in denial.

You are right in stating that in the time of the dinosaurs it was much hotter yet life thrived.

You may be right in stating that 6000 years ago it was 4 degrees warmer, while I know a fair amount about civilization at that time I do not know what the temperature was then. I do know that cities appeared and dissappeared regularly as humans migrated from place to place.

This time it will be different, because we have only had a fossil carbon industrial civilization for 400 years and an oil civilization for 100 years, and we have never had a population as dense as this. Nothing like our current civilization has ever happened before.

With a few diffeence sin technology the agricultural civilization of 6000 years ago was not substantially different from the roman empire or medeival feudalism,

So, yes, this will be different. Different better, maybe. If you belive that those equatorial billions will invent new tech to adapt to heat, and not migrate, then maybe it wont be a problem.

dav3 08-23-2010 06:40 PM

Guys... turn of the fucking TV and stop parroting what you see/hear. Mass brainwashing is real, this thread is proof.

DaddyHalbucks 08-23-2010 09:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ethersync (Post 17436600)
The guy in that interview was the founder of The Weather Channel. He did a news segment called, "Global Warming: The Other Side." Here it is...

Part 1


Part 2: https://youtube.com/watch?v=-eyebK_mFkc

Part 3: https://youtube.com/watch?v=Iww0a_eIYL8

Part 4: https://youtube.com/watch?v=ZjfQS_qXWzg

Part 5: https://youtube.com/watch?v=XJLpfI8cKFY

Part 6: https://youtube.com/watch?v=SsX-z1XfU24

Part 7: https://youtube.com/watch?v=cf1A5eI3_og

Good stuff!

DaddyHalbucks 08-23-2010 09:59 PM

Although carbon dioxide is a greenhouse gas, it is a poor one. Methane is 23 times more potent as a potential warming agent.

http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/glossary.html

Bill8 08-23-2010 11:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaddyHalbucks (Post 17437022)
Although carbon dioxide is a greenhouse gas, it is a poor one. Methane is 23 times more potent as a potential warming agent.

http://www.epa.gov/climatechange/glossary.html

hence all the concern about methane.

Quagmire 08-24-2010 01:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bill8 (Post 17437081)
hence all the concern about methane.

then we need to stick corks in cow bums and not worry about the SUVs

Bill8 08-24-2010 03:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Quagmire (Post 17438799)
then we need to stick corks in cow bums and not worry about the SUVs

Sorry, you've completely misunderstood the problem. Let me explain it.

Cow methane does not come from fossil or stored carbon. Cows eat biomass and convert some of it to methane - but that biomass was already part of the current carbon cycle, so it doesn't add anything to the total of greenhouse gasses.

If the cows were eating oil or coal, then farting methane, that would be a problem, but they are just eating plants, and therefore have a small effect on the gas balance of the atmosphere.

It's only when fossil or stored methane is released that there can be a net increase in the greenhouse gases.

The big methane problem is the stored methane in the northern permafrost bogs - hundreds of thousands of years of methane can be released all at once as the north warms up.

There are trillions of tons of carbon stored in rain forests and mud and biological formations of all kinds - but those typically represent a few thousand years of stored carbon, enough to be trouble, but not on the scale of the hundreds of thousands and hundreds of millions of years of stored carbon in the permafrost, clathrates, and of course the fossil carbon.

The even bigger methane problem is the clathrates. But lets hope that doesn't get released, because the consequences of that would mean an end of days scenario. So lets not even mention it. Lets hope the ocean floors remain cold enough to keep the clathrates stable.

Ethersync 08-24-2010 05:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bill8 (Post 17438973)
Cow methane does not come from fossil or stored carbon. Cows eat biomass and convert some of it to methane - but that biomass was already part of the current carbon cycle, so it doesn't add anything to the total of greenhouse gasses.

Tell that to the European countries that are taxing farmers for the methane produced by their cows.

Bill8 08-24-2010 06:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ethersync (Post 17439287)
Tell that to the European countries that are taxing farmers for the methane produced by their cows.

It's hardly a secret. This is carbon 101.

And I have no power to tell european countries anything, they would tell me to mind my own fucking business and that I should be talking to my politicians about our own carbon.

which I dont bother to do, because as I have said, I understand the human mind, and we will not do anything realistic to conserve fossil carbon.

We humans are not conservative. So called political conservatism is the exact opposite of real conservation, and the neoliberals are even worse.

xmas13 08-24-2010 07:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaDalton (Post 17436731)
... you only get belittled but never presented a real argument

http://tinyurl.com/lf8nuk
http://tinyurl.com/3579x2c

http://www.artsz.org/wp-content/uplo.../Freud-art.jpg

DaddyHalbucks 08-24-2010 09:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ethersync (Post 17436600)
The guy in that interview was the founder of The Weather Channel. He did a news segment called, "Global Warming: The Other Side." Here it is...

Part 1


Part 2: https://youtube.com/watch?v=-eyebK_mFkc

Part 3: https://youtube.com/watch?v=Iww0a_eIYL8

Part 4: https://youtube.com/watch?v=ZjfQS_qXWzg

Part 5: https://youtube.com/watch?v=XJLpfI8cKFY

Part 6: https://youtube.com/watch?v=SsX-z1XfU24

Part 7: https://youtube.com/watch?v=cf1A5eI3_og

MaDalton,

What do you say about these very informative videos?

What do you say about the phony formulas used to produce the "hockey stick" graph?

What do you say about the data being manipulated?

What do you say, Sir?

Bill8 08-25-2010 04:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaddyHalbucks (Post 17439673)
MaDalton,

What do you say about these very informative videos?

What do you say about the phony formulas used to produce the "hockey stick" graph?

What do you say about the data being manipulated?

What do you say, Sir?

Youtube videos are not typically a legitimate source of science OR science news.

You have grasped the difference between editorial opinion and the actual science, yes?

So, what is the phony formula used to produce the hockey stick graph? You present your side's view and we can discuss it and look at the current scientific critiques.

http://www.newscientist.com/article/...ven-wrong.html

I'm not a hockey stick graph expert, because it's just one small part of the measurements and because it's a dendrochronological picture of historic trends it by definition is less important than current measurements.

But, let's take a look at it.

http://www.newscientist.com/data/ima....400-2_752.jpg

Ethersync 08-25-2010 06:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bill8 (Post 17441869)
Youtube videos are not typically a legitimate source of science OR science news.

Those videos were from a news segment done by the founder of The Weather Channel. Do you only consume information that supports your viewpoint? It sure seems that way. Watch the videos. I look forward to your comments.

Darrah 08-25-2010 06:31 PM

Alaska is melting. What once was ice covered is now gone, turned into lakes, and with running waterfalls. Polar bears are now mating with regular bears because the polar bears have moved inland because of the weather change. They have Iditarod races where the dogs are getting injured because they're racing now on actual land instead of the sheets of ice they use to before.

Glaciers are breaking apart the size of states and MOVING towards land. And just weeks ago I read somewhere something about glaciers on the ocean FLOOR are breaking apart.

Bill8 08-25-2010 06:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ethersync (Post 17442110)
Those videos were from a news segment done by the founder of The Weather Channel. Do you only consume information that supports your viewpoint? It sure seems that way. Watch the videos. I look forward to your comments.

As I said, my interest is in the science. Weather channel is news.

And as I also just said, I dont take youtube seriously as a source of either science or news. Just like I don't take history channel or discovery channel seriously as sources on science. News is for entertainent and profit - science has an entirely more rigorous set of standards, protocols, and ethics.

Are you personally incapable of articulating your own arguments?

Pick a topic, articulate it, and lets discuss it.

I understand it's difficult to speak about these complex issues on your own, but I'd be curious to see you try.

Bill8 08-25-2010 06:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ethersync (Post 17442110)
Those videos were from a news segment done by the founder of The Weather Channel. Do you only consume information that supports your viewpoint? It sure seems that way. Watch the videos. I look forward to your comments.

I'll tell you what - you transcribe an argument you find convincing from those opinion videos, and put it on the table, and we can discuss that.

That way, all you have to do is repeat the argument. Not so hard. No actual reading of science sources required.

I'm always happy to discuss specific issues. It should be fun.

Peace 08-25-2010 10:04 PM

no global worming is happening. they created it to collect new tax. Why you even discuss this so long. it is all a part of mind manipulation. Relax and live YOUR lives


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