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Old 12-14-2015, 07:26 PM   #1
lakerslive
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What if you flip an unbiased coin every second for 100 days

What if you flip an unbiased coin every second for 100 days straight...which side of the coin would have won more days / losing days ?

How many good days will you have and how many bad days? it should be 50 50 correct?

Defninition of What is a good day and bad day.
Exampe: Heads up by +100 units . = good day head wins for that day (monday)
Heads down by -10 units = bad day for heads (tuesday)

So looking at the above so far, the win ration loss ratio for heads is at 50/50
it was up monday, down on tuesday.. and so on..

so basically, a down day is a,, down day regardless of unit count?
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Old 12-14-2015, 07:40 PM   #2
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so, basically you can't understand how a 50% probability works.... which is what? 7th grade math? maybe there is a developmentally disabled board for you somewhere? spend a few years there, then come back?
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Old 12-15-2015, 04:00 AM   #3
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You were in special ed, right?
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Old 12-15-2015, 04:11 AM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lakerslive View Post
What if you flip an unbiased coin every second for 100 days straight...which side of the coin would have won more days / losing days ?

How many good days will you have and how many bad days? it should be 50 50 correct?

Defninition of What is a good day and bad day.
Exampe: Heads up by +100 units . = good day head wins for that day (monday)
Heads down by -10 units = bad day for heads (tuesday)

So looking at the above so far, the win ration loss ratio for heads is at 50/50
it was up monday, down on tuesday.. and so on..

so basically, a down day is a,, down day regardless of unit count?
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Old 12-15-2015, 05:22 AM   #5
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Originally Posted by TheSquealer View Post
so, basically you can't understand how a 50% probability works.... which is what? 7th grade math? maybe there is a developmentally disabled board for you somewhere? spend a few years there, then come back?
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Old 12-15-2015, 07:10 AM   #6
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Introduction to Probability and Statistics

see: 128 flips
Go figure
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Old 12-15-2015, 07:17 AM   #7
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I am very curious to know - why do you ask this?
:D
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Old 12-15-2015, 07:35 AM   #8
Barry-xlovecam
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This is a real world experiment
* your results may differ

Quote:
[...]8:~$ cat randfile
0
1
[...]8:~$ echo > rancount
[...]8:~$ for n in {1..1000}; do shuf -n1 randfile >> rancount ; done
[...]8:~$ grep -c "1" rancount
507
[...]8:~$ grep -c "0" rancount
493
[...]8:~$ echo > rancount
[...]8:~$ for n in {1..10000}; do shuf -n1 randfile >> rancount ; done
[...]8:~$ grep -c "0" rancount
4841
[...]8:~$ grep -c "1" rancount
5159
[...]8:~$ rm rancount
Computer random functions are not theoretical randoms.
"In every case, the peak probability is at half the number of flips and declines on both sides, more steeply as the number of flips increases."

The answer is a question: How many molecules of sweat are on each side of the coin you are flipping
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Old 12-15-2015, 07:59 AM   #9
lakerslive
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Originally Posted by LetterTwenty7 View Post
I am very curious to know - why do you ask this?
:D
Because i have 4 months of data to see if u can use chaos theory to see if lady luck is blind when it comes to unit count.

Some things people just cannot wrap their minds around
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Old 12-15-2015, 08:02 AM   #10
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Originally Posted by lakerslive View Post
Because i have 4 months of data to see if u can use chaos theory to see if lady luck is blind when it comes to unit count.

Some things people just cannot wrap their minds around
Some people just don't know how to do math or ask a question in a way it makes sense...
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Old 12-15-2015, 08:06 AM   #11
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Don't forget the roughly 1:6000 chance of coins similar in dimension to a US nickel landing on the edge.
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