AI system that correctly predicted last 3 US elections says Donald Trump will win - GoFuckYourself.com

wehateporn · 10-29-2016, 02:15 PM

The New York businessman with a penchant for celebrity television may suddenly find himself in love with artificial intelligence developed in India.

The polls and simulations that involve the skills and insight of human beings suggest Donald Trump could be heading for something of a pasting. But an artificial intelligence (AI) system developed in Mumbai, and which correctly predicted the last three US presidential elections, puts the Republican nominee ahead of his rival Hillary Clinton in the battle to secure the keys to the White House.

Continued AI system that correctly predicted last 3 US elections says Donald Trump will win | The Independent

Relic · 10-29-2016, 03:38 PM

EddyTheDog · 10-29-2016, 03:44 PM

Sounds familiar - Oh wait, that was an octopus that predicted the World Cup Winners...

altmman · 10-29-2016, 04:17 PM

headlines a year ago predicted Bernie Sanders would win:

University With 100% Accuracy Record Predicts Bernie Sanders Will Be America's Next President - Firebrand Left

mineistaken · 10-29-2016, 04:21 PM

Emperor Trump!

mineistaken · 10-29-2016, 04:27 PM

Comment from the article:

Quote:

With the overweighting of democrats in all of the major outlet polls, that Hillary is only leading by 2-5 pts and not creaming Trump by 50 is extremely BAD news for Hillary.

She can barely win the gift polls they're giving her? Democrats oversampled 50% and she isn't up 50 pts? Wow.

RealClearPolitics click the ABC link (and others) for methodology. In the latest ABC, they oversampled democrats by a 28% margin. Who can't win with a margin like that? Oh...Hillary...

What is he talking about? Has merit or BS?

ilnjscb · 10-29-2016, 09:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by altmman

headlines a year ago predicted Bernie Sanders would win:

University With 100% Accuracy Record Predicts Bernie Sanders Will Be America's Next President - Firebrand Left

All you needed to see was university to know that was bullshit

altmman · 10-29-2016, 10:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ilnjscb

All you needed to see was university to know that was bullshit

A university that correctly predicted the last 40 years of elections is wrong, but AI from an unknown indian startup that only predicted the last 8 years is right?

onwebcam · 10-29-2016, 10:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by mineistaken

Comment from the article:

What is he talking about? Has merit or BS?

I've been ranting about this for months. His percentages are off though. Depends on how you're figuring it. Considering there was a higher tunout of Repubs and lower turnout of Dems the sampling should be about even and inde's being the decider. If you use that alone they (ABC/huffpo) are oversampling by about 8-9%. With the last poll showing her 4 points up she's actually 2-4 behind. The previous 3 days had her 12pts up. So 8pt move in 3 days. Which is somewhat consistent with la times http://graphics.latimes.com/usc-pres...oll-dashboard/

Jigster715 · 10-29-2016, 10:53 PM

Both AI systems probably need to work on their election rigging algorithms.

Vendzilla · 10-29-2016, 11:03 PM

Looking at the ABC polls, they have Hillary just ahead of Trump. Then you look at the sampling and it's 7 points more than republicans and independents. The difference in size from dems to gops is about 1% now and independents out number both parties. Based on the polls then, Trump is going to win

Coup · 10-29-2016, 11:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Vendzilla

Looking at the ABC polls, they have Hillary just ahead of Trump. Then you look at the sampling and it's 7 points more than republicans and independents. The difference in size from dems to gops is about 1% now and independents out number both parties. Based on the polls then, Trump is going to win

The ABC poll had her at +12 just a few days ago. She's lost ten points on it.

onwebcam · 10-29-2016, 11:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coup

The ABC poll had her at +12 just a few days ago. She's lost ten points on it.

Didn't know they put out another. I found this pretty interesting

"Trump, further, has gone from a 6-point deficit to a 16-point advantage among independents, with more Republican leaners in their ranks. "

22pt move with inde's and this is pre bomb drop.

http://www.langerresearch.com/wp-con...rackingNo7.pdf

celandina · 10-30-2016, 09:56 AM

Vendzilla · 10-30-2016, 10:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coup

The ABC poll had her at +12 just a few days ago. She's lost ten points on it.

If you look at the methodology , here's who are being polled
Partisan divisions are 37-28-30 percent, Democrats-Republicans-independents.
Independents make up almost 40% of the nation and Dems outnumber Reps by only 1%
So using this, I would conclude that Trump is way ahead if this poll is say that Clinton is ahead by 1%

Spunky · 10-30-2016, 10:37 AM

Go Rumpster Go!

Coup · 10-30-2016, 10:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Vendzilla

If you look at the methodology , here's who are being polled
Partisan divisions are 37-28-30 percent, Democrats-Republicans-independents.
Independents make up almost 40% of the nation and Dems outnumber Reps by only 1%
So using this, I would conclude that Trump is way ahead if this poll is say that Clinton is ahead by 1%

I agree. With a drop like that, and as you said about sampling methods, speaks volumes.

10-29-2016, 02:15 PM	#1
wehateporn Promoting Debate on GFY Industry Role: Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 27,173	AI system that correctly predicted last 3 US elections says Donald Trump will win The New York businessman with a penchant for celebrity television may suddenly find himself in love with artificial intelligence developed in India. The polls and simulations that involve the skills and insight of human beings suggest Donald Trump could be heading for something of a pasting. But an artificial intelligence (AI) system developed in Mumbai, and which correctly predicted the last three US presidential elections, puts the Republican nominee ahead of his rival Hillary Clinton in the battle to secure the keys to the White House. Continued AI system that correctly predicted last 3 US elections says Donald Trump will win \| The Independent __________________ Sexy Girls Teasing

10-29-2016, 03:44 PM	#3
EddyTheDog Just Doing My Own Thing Industry Role: Join Date: Jan 2011 Location: London, Spain, New Zealand, GFY - Not Croydon... Posts: 25,040	Sounds familiar - Oh wait, that was an octopus that predicted the World Cup Winners... __________________ - Chaturbate Script - https://gfy.com/fucking-around-and-b...er-issues.html - Now supports White Labels

10-29-2016, 11:03 PM	#11
Vendzilla Biker Gnome Industry Role: Join Date: Mar 2004 Location: cell#324 Posts: 23,200	Looking at the ABC polls, they have Hillary just ahead of Trump. Then you look at the sampling and it's 7 points more than republicans and independents. The difference in size from dems to gops is about 1% now and independents out number both parties. Based on the polls then, Trump is going to win __________________ Webair died? Carbon is not the problem, it makes up 0.041% of our atmosphere , 95% of that is from Volcanos and decomposing plants and stuff. So people in the US are responsible for 13% of the carbon in the atmosphere which 95% is not from Humans, like cars and trucks and stuff and they want to spend trillions to fix it while Solar Panel plants are powered by coal plants think about that

10-30-2016, 10:37 AM	#16
Spunky I need a beer Industry Role: Join Date: Jun 2002 Location: ♠ Toiletville ♠ Posts: 133,930	Go Rumpster Go! __________________ *YOUR INFORMATION HERE*

10-29-2016, 03:38 PM	#2
Relic So Fucking Banned Join Date: Aug 2002 Posts: 10,300

10-29-2016, 04:17 PM	#4
altmman Confirmed User Industry Role: Join Date: Jan 2015 Location: usa Posts: 468	headlines a year ago predicted Bernie Sanders would win: University With 100% Accuracy Record Predicts Bernie Sanders Will Be America's Next President - Firebrand Left

10-29-2016, 04:21 PM	#5
mineistaken See signature :) Industry Role: Join Date: Apr 2007 Location: ICQ 363 097 773 Posts: 29,656	Emperor Trump!

10-29-2016, 10:53 PM	#10
Jigster715 So Fucking Banned Industry Role: Join Date: Jul 2015 Location: elmer blackwood mansion Posts: 1,459	Both AI systems probably need to work on their election rigging algorithms.

10-30-2016, 09:56 AM	#14
celandina Too lazy to set a custom title Industry Role: Join Date: Jun 2006 Posts: 11,408