Trump takes the lead in ABC poll - GoFuckYourself.com

onwebcam · 11-01-2016, 11:41 AM

13pt shift in a week and a half

METHODOLOGY
–
This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by landline and cellular telephone Oct. 27-30, 2016, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 1,128
likely voters. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3 points, including the design effect. Partisan divisions are 38-28-29 percent, Democrats-Republicans-independents.

http://www.langerresearch.com/wp-con...ackingNo10.pdf

Notice it is now a 10 percent oversampling between republicans and democrats. The current make-up for this election is more along the lines of 30-30-40 Democrats-Republicans-independents

JFK · 11-01-2016, 11:43 AM

OH NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

"I speak for Canada and the rest of the world when I say : I am completely fucking STUNNED beyond belief."

Coup · 11-01-2016, 11:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by onwebcam

13pt shift in a week and a half

Ouch.

onwebcam · 11-01-2016, 11:49 AM

Now every liberal news outlet out there is pushing the Trump wins popular and Hillary electoral. Just as I figured it's not going to end Nov. 8th..

2MuchMark · 11-01-2016, 11:50 AM

Hillary will win.

Bladewire · 11-01-2016, 11:56 AM

It's a shame for the GOP that more Democrats have voted early than Republicans so far

beerptrol · 11-01-2016, 11:57 AM

It's a good poll when it shows Trump doing well. It's biased and unfair when Hillary is ahead!

Bladewire · 11-01-2016, 12:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by beerptrol

It's a good poll when it shows Trump doing well. It's biased and unfair when Hillary is ahead!

It will be nice come November 9th , regardless of who wins though gonna be a tough 4 years, if we make it that far.

bronco67 · 11-01-2016, 12:05 PM

Trump has to win almost all of the swing states (in electoral votes BITCHES because that's what determines the winner!!!!) and Hilary only needs one. Two or three in the tightest scenario. The election will be over in the early evening of November 8th when one of the major swing states goes into Hilary's column.

I'm predicting 300 vs 238, and that's being very generous to the racist, white nationalist candidate who was just endorsed by the KKK's newspaper.

Are you idiots going to tell me that the next president of the United STates of America is also the candidate endorsed by almost all white supremacists? Not going to happen, dickheads.

onwebcam · 11-01-2016, 12:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by beerptrol

It's a good poll when it shows Trump doing well. It's biased and unfair when Hillary is ahead!

It's still biased. The last 3 polls they've increased democrats polled 1%. They are also polling democrats by percentage as if they were independents. So the reality is Hillary is actually probably 10pts down.

As I've said before.. Trump is going to win popular and the establishment will give her electoral and this will drag out likely past inauguration.

Joshua G · 11-01-2016, 12:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bronco67

Trump has to win almost all of the swing states (in electoral votes BITCHES because that's what determines the winner!!!!) and Hilary only needs one. Two or three in the tightest scenario. The election will be over in the early evening of November 8th when one of the major swing states goes into Hilary's column.

I'm predicting 300 vs 238, and that's being very generous to the racist, white nationalist candidate who was just endorsed by the KKK's newspaper.

Are you idiots going to tell me that the next president of the United STates of America is also the candidate endorsed by almost all white supremacists? Not going to happen, dickheads.

You talk like an affirmative action kiddie...you know, you got C grades to get into state college that everyone else got A's...

Now get back in your ignorant safe space, libbie.

Joshua G · 11-01-2016, 12:37 PM

OP most major polls give greater weight to dems because they have more registered voters. Of course, turnout is the key, & the place polls go haywire (or get fudged)

Previous ABC polls with the 12 point spread had the GOP weight at 26%, so lately they stopped fudging the GOP pool.

bronco67 · 11-01-2016, 12:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Joshua G

OP most major polls give greater weight to dems because they have more registered voters. Of course, turnout is the key, & the place polls go haywire (or get fudged)

Previous ABC polls with the 12 point spread had the GOP weight at 26%, so lately they stopped fudging the GOP pool.

OMG...shut your stupid mouth you mongoloid.

flashfire · 11-01-2016, 01:00 PM

polls are now an exact science according to Trump and his supporters...got it

electoral map though, RIGGED!

Joshua G · 11-01-2016, 01:16 PM

boy you dumb libs have a hurtin coming in 7 days. mark prince is the only one i see who got out of the liberal ozone & sees the writing on the wall.

kudos mark.

Coup · 11-01-2016, 01:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by beerptrol

It's biased and unfair when Hillary is ahead!

No one said it wasn't biased. It is pretty interesting that a poll that, as far as I'm aware, has always show hillary to be a front runner no longer does.

onwebcam · 11-01-2016, 03:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by flashfire

polls are now an exact science according to Trump and his supporters...got it

electoral map though, RIGGED!

You keep missing the point that he's winning on rigged/oversampled polls.

11-01-2016, 11:41 AM	#1
onwebcam Fake Nick 1.0 Industry Role: Join Date: Oct 2005 Location: Rent free, your head Posts: 27,652	Trump takes the lead in ABC poll 13pt shift in a week and a half METHODOLOGY – This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by landline and cellular telephone Oct. 27-30, 2016, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 1,128 likely voters. Results have a margin of sampling error of 3 points, including the design effect. Partisan divisions are 38-28-29 percent, Democrats-Republicans-independents. http://www.langerresearch.com/wp-con...ackingNo10.pdf Notice it is now a 10 percent oversampling between republicans and democrats. The current make-up for this election is more along the lines of 30-30-40 Democrats-Republicans-independents __________________ PLEASE WAIT WHILE BIDEN ADMIN UNINSTALLS ITSELF..... ██████████████████▒ 99.5% complete.

11-01-2016, 11:43 AM	#2
JFK FUBAR the ORIGINATOR Industry Role: Join Date: Jan 2002 Location: FUBARLAND Posts: 67,382	OH NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO "I speak for Canada and the rest of the world when I say : I am completely fucking STUNNED beyond belief." __________________ FUBAR Webmasters - The FUBAR Times - FUBAR Webmasters Mobile - FUBARTV.XXX For promo opps contact jfk at fubarwebmasters dot com

11-01-2016, 11:49 AM	#4
onwebcam Fake Nick 1.0 Industry Role: Join Date: Oct 2005 Location: Rent free, your head Posts: 27,652	Now every liberal news outlet out there is pushing the Trump wins popular and Hillary electoral. Just as I figured it's not going to end Nov. 8th.. __________________ PLEASE WAIT WHILE BIDEN ADMIN UNINSTALLS ITSELF..... ██████████████████▒ 99.5% complete.

11-01-2016, 11:50 AM	#5
2MuchMark Videochat Solutions Industry Role: Join Date: Aug 2004 Location: Canada Posts: 48,530	Hillary will win. __________________ VideoChat Solutions \| Custom Software \| IT Support https://www.2much.net \| https://www.lcntech.com

11-01-2016, 11:56 AM	#6
Bladewire StraightBro Industry Role: Join Date: Aug 2003 Location: Monarch Beach, CA USA Posts: 56,232	It's a shame for the GOP that more Democrats have voted early than Republicans so far __________________ Skype: CallTomNow

11-01-2016, 11:57 AM	#7
beerptrol Confirmed Asshole Industry Role: Join Date: Feb 2003 Location: Half way between sobriety and fubar. Posts: 12,722	It's a good poll when it shows Trump doing well. It's biased and unfair when Hillary is ahead! __________________ “If we are to have another contest in the near future of our national existence, I predict that the dividing line will not be Mason and Dixon's but between patriotism and intelligence on the one side, and superstition, ambition and ignorance on the other.” -- Ulysses S. Grant

11-01-2016, 12:05 PM	#9
bronco67 Too lazy to set a custom title Join Date: Dec 2006 Posts: 29,035	Trump has to win almost all of the swing states (in electoral votes BITCHES because that's what determines the winner!!!!) and Hilary only needs one. Two or three in the tightest scenario. The election will be over in the early evening of November 8th when one of the major swing states goes into Hilary's column. I'm predicting 300 vs 238, and that's being very generous to the racist, white nationalist candidate who was just endorsed by the KKK's newspaper. Are you idiots going to tell me that the next president of the United STates of America is also the candidate endorsed by almost all white supremacists? Not going to happen, dickheads. __________________

11-01-2016, 12:37 PM	#12
Joshua G dumb libs love censorship Industry Role: Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 8,198	OP most major polls give greater weight to dems because they have more registered voters. Of course, turnout is the key, & the place polls go haywire (or get fudged) Previous ABC polls with the 12 point spread had the GOP weight at 26%, so lately they stopped fudging the GOP pool.

11-01-2016, 01:00 PM	#14
flashfire ICQ 1 6 7 8 5 3 4 9 2 Join Date: Feb 2003 Posts: 13,098	polls are now an exact science according to Trump and his supporters...got it electoral map though, RIGGED!

11-01-2016, 01:16 PM	#15
Joshua G dumb libs love censorship Industry Role: Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 8,198	boy you dumb libs have a hurtin coming in 7 days. mark prince is the only one i see who got out of the liberal ozone & sees the writing on the wall. kudos mark.